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Freddie Wilde

@fwildecricket

Oct 23

Outstanding over of batting from Hardik & Virat - both targetting the shorter straight boundary. 20 runs off the over & a 10% swing towards India, who are up to 22% to win now. #T20WorldCup

Pakistan are holding the Nawaz over right back until the last, just as they did in the Asia Cup game a few weeks ago. Full credit to India for the way they took him on - the numbers weren't in their favour but finger spin has travelled today. #T20WorldCup

Utterly ridiculous batting from Kohli. When he's set at the death there is no more destructive player. Remarkable power & poise against high-end pace. #T20WorldCup

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Freddie Wilde

@fwildecricket

Oct 23

🇮🇳-🇵🇰 tactical thread. As with Aus-NZ yesterday this is a huge game that carries a massive qualification swing with it. If Pakistan win their SF probability goes from 39% to 59%; if India win their SF probability goes from 55% to 71%. #T20WorldCup

India v Pakistan has traditionally pitted India’s batting strength v Pakistan’s bowling might: this is as true today as it ever has been. Under Dravid India have become a more aggressive batting unit while Pakistan's bowling attack is arguably the best in the world. #T20WorldCup

Pakistan’s attack is the world's fastest & has superb role coverage but India’s batting order is incredibly strong against pace & bounce. However, Pakistan’s primary spinners both turn the ball from right-to-left which matches up very well with India’s right-handers. #T20WorldCup

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Freddie Wilde

@fwildecricket

Oct 22

🇦🇫-🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 tactics thread. No team has a bigger bat-first toss preference than Afghanistan & no team has a bigger chasing preference than England so the toss should sort itself out in this one - unless Afghanistan get spooked into chasing by the rain. #T20WorldCup

Conditions in Perth (short straight & lots of pace & bounce) will make life harder for Afghanistan’s spinners. Expect quicks to go into the pitch a lot. The majority of the interest in this game lies in England’s strong batting v Afghanistan’s strong bowling. #T20WorldCup

Rashid has taken 4-31 off 49 balls v Buttler. Afghanistan generally backload him but must be tempted to bowl him early against England’s best batter. Mujeeb remains a good match-up though & it’d be a surprise if they moved away from their system. #T20WorldCup

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Freddie Wilde

@fwildecricket

Oct 22

🇦🇺- 🇳🇿 tactics thread. With 80% chance of rain forecast both sides should consider XIs for a shortened game with a frontline bowler for an all rounder the obvious move with five proper bowlers more important than batting depth as the game gets shorter. #T20WorldCup

Australia’s XI is more settled than NZ’s who have lots of decisions around their middle order, team & bowling balance. Sodhi & Santner match up nicely v Australia’s RHs so Bracewell may miss out despite good form but could play ahead of Chapman. #T20WorldCup

Warner is, as he will often be, the key wicket to protect Australia’s RHs from right-to-left spin & mess with NZ spin overs. Boult & Southee will seek inwards movement v Finch’s front pad early on. Maxwell & David v Lockie’s high pace will be interesting match-ups. #T20WorldCup

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Freddie Wilde

@fwildecricket

Jun 16, 2021

The World Test Championship Final between India v New Zealand starting on Friday is arguably the single most important Test match ever played. On a very basic level a Test has never had a world title riding on it but the match carries broader significance as well. #INDvNZ

The WTC is imperfect but it has all been building to this moment, this match. If it’s a good & memorable one it should help lend significance & context to the next WTC cycle which could help reinvigorate the format, the opposite might be true if it’s a dud. #INDvNZ

In a way this shows how the way we watch sport is weird—no single match should carry so much broader significance—but context is so important & this is essentially the first attempt at a World Cup of Test cricket—150 years after the first Test match. That’s also weird. #INDvNZ

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Freddie Wilde

@fwildecricket

Jun 2, 2021

Cool little package from Nass on Kane Williamson’s superpower: playing the ball late. Every time I watch Kane bat I am reminded of AB de Villiers’ box theory. 🎥 . #ENGvNZ

There’s playing the ball late and then there’s playing the ball when Steve Smith plays it - which is—frankly—absurd. If it looks like Smith has a fraction of a second longer to make his decisions that’s because he does. Freak. #ENGvNZ

For what it's worth, Kohli's average interception point v pace in this timeframe is 2.18m - one of the earliest in the world. As is often the case it is extreme approaches that breed success. Playing late allows time to adjust; playing early can nullify movement. #ENGvNZ

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