Outstanding over of batting from Hardik & Virat - both targetting the shorter straight boundary. 20 runs off the over & a 10% swing towards India, who are up to 22% to win now. #T20WorldCup
Pakistan are holding the Nawaz over right back until the last, just as they did in the Asia Cup game a few weeks ago. Full credit to India for the way they took him on - the numbers weren't in their favour but finger spin has travelled today. #T20WorldCup
Utterly ridiculous batting from Kohli. When he's set at the death there is no more destructive player. Remarkable power & poise against high-end pace. #T20WorldCup
90,000 people, India-Pakistan & endless drama. We might just have watched one of the best T20 matches of all time. #T20WorldCup
Virat Kohli today
First 24 balls: ••2••••12•11111•••1•112• | 15 runs
Last 29 balls: 6114141•12141•12•14241416626 | 67 runs
He soaked up the pressure, withstood the early barrage & then exploded. We've seen it before but never like that.
It'll be lost in the madness but a critical over in that match was the 12th, bowled by Nawaz, which went for 20. Until that point he'd tied Hardik & Kohli down for 9 off 12 but the way they took him down lit a fire under the chase & messed with Pakistan's deployment. #T20WorldCup
Both Hardik & Virat have been slowed by SLA spin in the last few years but the way they took that over on - smartly targeting the short straight boundary - shows that match-ups aren't necessarily predictive. Great players can do great things. Credit to them both. #T20WorldCup
The eight finger spin overs today went at 10.75 RPO. This is why Hardik (& pace all rounders generally) is so valuable: it enabled India to leave four overs of Axar/Ashwin unbowled whereas Pakistan had to bowl Nawaz. Pakistan should pick Wasim Jr for Haider v Zim. #T20WorldCup
Hardik’s struggle against Pakistan’s death bowling—in particular when they were bowling back of a length, which troubled all the batters today—further underlined how brilliant Kohli was. v pace Hardik scored 8 off 11 balls shorter than 8m; Kohli scored 30 off 14. #T20WorldCup
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🇮🇳-🇵🇰 tactical thread. As with Aus-NZ yesterday this is a huge game that carries a massive qualification swing with it. If Pakistan win their SF probability goes from 39% to 59%; if India win their SF probability goes from 55% to 71%. #T20WorldCup
India v Pakistan has traditionally pitted India’s batting strength v Pakistan’s bowling might: this is as true today as it ever has been. Under Dravid India have become a more aggressive batting unit while Pakistan's bowling attack is arguably the best in the world. #T20WorldCup
Pakistan’s attack is the world's fastest & has superb role coverage but India’s batting order is incredibly strong against pace & bounce. However, Pakistan’s primary spinners both turn the ball from right-to-left which matches up very well with India’s right-handers. #T20WorldCup
🇦🇫-🏴 tactics thread. No team has a bigger bat-first toss preference than Afghanistan & no team has a bigger chasing preference than England so the toss should sort itself out in this one - unless Afghanistan get spooked into chasing by the rain. #T20WorldCup
Conditions in Perth (short straight & lots of pace & bounce) will make life harder for Afghanistan’s spinners. Expect quicks to go into the pitch a lot. The majority of the interest in this game lies in England’s strong batting v Afghanistan’s strong bowling. #T20WorldCup
Rashid has taken 4-31 off 49 balls v Buttler. Afghanistan generally backload him but must be tempted to bowl him early against England’s best batter. Mujeeb remains a good match-up though & it’d be a surprise if they moved away from their system. #T20WorldCup
🇦🇺- 🇳🇿 tactics thread. With 80% chance of rain forecast both sides should consider XIs for a shortened game with a frontline bowler for an all rounder the obvious move with five proper bowlers more important than batting depth as the game gets shorter. #T20WorldCup
Australia’s XI is more settled than NZ’s who have lots of decisions around their middle order, team & bowling balance. Sodhi & Santner match up nicely v Australia’s RHs so Bracewell may miss out despite good form but could play ahead of Chapman. #T20WorldCup
Warner is, as he will often be, the key wicket to protect Australia’s RHs from right-to-left spin & mess with NZ spin overs. Boult & Southee will seek inwards movement v Finch’s front pad early on. Maxwell & David v Lockie’s high pace will be interesting match-ups. #T20WorldCup
With the Super 12s starting tomorrow it is worth underlining the volatility of T20 & the comp format - particularly with rain forecast. In matches between the top sides no team will start as more than 60% favourites & the favourite has arguably never won the comp. #T20WorldCup
The top six ranked teams (Aus, Eng, NZ, Ind, Pak & SA) are definitely clear of the other six teams - this doesn't mean that they won't drop points to the other sides but it does mean that matches between the big six are likely to carry decisive significance. #T20WorldCup
Ultimately qualification for the SFs might hinge on one result so while World Cups are often used as indicative of broader narratives (& sometimes that's right, eg. 2012-2016 WI changed the game & 'deserved' a WC) it's important to recognise how volatile they are. #T20WorldCup
The World Test Championship Final between India v New Zealand starting on Friday is arguably the single most important Test match ever played. On a very basic level a Test has never had a world title riding on it but the match carries broader significance as well. #INDvNZ
The WTC is imperfect but it has all been building to this moment, this match. If it’s a good & memorable one it should help lend significance & context to the next WTC cycle which could help reinvigorate the format, the opposite might be true if it’s a dud. #INDvNZ
In a way this shows how the way we watch sport is weird—no single match should carry so much broader significance—but context is so important & this is essentially the first attempt at a World Cup of Test cricket—150 years after the first Test match. That’s also weird. #INDvNZ
Cool little package from Nass on Kane Williamson’s superpower: playing the ball late. Every time I watch Kane bat I am reminded of AB de Villiers’ box theory. 🎥 . #ENGvNZ
There’s playing the ball late and then there’s playing the ball when Steve Smith plays it - which is—frankly—absurd. If it looks like Smith has a fraction of a second longer to make his decisions that’s because he does. Freak. #ENGvNZ
For what it's worth, Kohli's average interception point v pace in this timeframe is 2.18m - one of the earliest in the world. As is often the case it is extreme approaches that breed success. Playing late allows time to adjust; playing early can nullify movement. #ENGvNZ