Ryan Anderson Profile picture
Oct 23 5 tweets 2 min read
It's Sunday in Georgia, and over 816,000 people have voted in the 2022 election so far.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
The headline numbers for 2018 behavior are that 67% of current voters also voted early in 2018, 17% voted on election day, and 16% didn't vote.

In other words, over 134,000 voter for this election didn't vote in 2018. But how does that compare to 2020 and 2021?
Well, basically everyone who has voted so far also voted in those elections.

The Early/Day of/No Vote numbers are:
2020: 91%/2%/7%
2021: 87%/6%/7%

So only 7% of voters so far, or about 55,000 people, didn't vote in the 2020 and 2021 elections.
A lot of those folks, over 24,000 of them, are newly registered voters who weren't eligible to vote in the previous elections.

Not surprisingly, given the turnout level for those 2 elections, we aren't seeing a huge swell of new voters.
For what it's worth, there were just under 440,000 people newly added to the voter file in 2021 and 2022, or about a 5.5% turnout rate so far.

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More from @gtryan

Oct 25
986,597 people have voted so far in Georgia's 2022 elections. Today's thread is an explainer of how folks can use those numbers to make whatever point they want.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
You'll see a lot of people trying to tell you what these vote totals mean, usually in a way that lines up with what they want to be true.

Here are a few examples of how you can play with that.
First, let's go the easy route. Assume that all the mail and in-person votes currently cast follow their 2020 statewide breakdown. (D+30 on mail, R+6 on in-person)

That would give Republicans a 27k vote lead.
Read 10 tweets
Oct 21
A little earlier file update tonight! We're up to 573,598 total votes, with ~519k in-person and ~54k by mail.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
This is a lot of votes, yes. But also, articles like this one are way off. And if the SoS office is giving people this impression, rather than journalists just getting it way wrong, I hope they stop.

abcnews.go.com/Politics/georg…
Through 4 days of early voting in 2020 over 1.2 million people had voted: 574k in-person, and 650k by mail.

While the in-person numbers have been comparable, the mail vote is an order of magnitude lower.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 20
Socialism is randomly picking Britons to be PM until everyone is guaranteed £115k/year

It’s weird that at some point my brain just clicks and starts understanding the German language in this interview.

Read 4 tweets
Oct 19
Ok, rested and caffeinated. Let's take a quick peak at early vote numbers so far.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
First, thanks to all you weirdos checking out the site. Hopefully the new AWS backend is working and it won't freeze up like it did at a couple points last year.
Second, a couple hundred of you have found the new page I launched last night. It looks at a few daily demographic statistics (for in-person voting only) and compares them to 2018 and 2020. Right now it's just gender, White/Black, and 65-Plus.

georgiavotes.com/graphs.php
Read 6 tweets
Oct 18
File processing...
123,834 people voted early today across Georgia. That's nearly 53,000 more than in 2018.

I'm working on a couple new views for how this compares to other elections, so keep an eye out for that this week.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
For instance, here's a little more info comparing day 1 in-person early voting for 2020 and 2022.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 12, 2021
The pandemic has been a wave of ups and downs for everyone, but jeez this GoFundMe op-ed broke me in a way very few things have.

Here are just a few quotes pulled from it.

usatoday.com/story/opinion/…
" Since March, an American has started a COVID-related fundraiser on GoFundMe every two minutes."
"In fact, when the pandemic began, 1 in 3 fundraisers on GoFundMe were related to COVID-19, and the activity has persisted at an alarmingly high rate."
Read 10 tweets

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