It is a flat rate public transport ticket – for 49 Euro you can travel on all local and regional buses, trams, metros, S-Bahn and regional trains for 1 calendar month in the whole of Germany.
Is 49 Euro for this a good deal?
Yes. A monthly public transport ticket for some individual cities has until now cost more than 100 Euro. So this reduces the costs for regular commuters pretty much everywhere.
Will it replace all existing other monthly tickets?
Probably not all of them, no – especially the tickets that are less than 49 Euro per month. There is also a discussion about how to make a version of the ticket for low earners and for students - not yet been resolved.
Can I take children or a bicycle along with me on my 49 Euro Ticket?
Probably not, but the exact rules have not yet been cleared up. Likely children older than 6 will need their own tickets.
What journeys does the ticket cover and not cover?
The ticket is for regional public transport, but across the whole of Germany. De facto this means city and regional buses, trams, metros, and S-Bahn and regional trains – RB, RE and IRE.
IC, ICE and Flixtrain are NOT included.
Does the ticket only cover public transport operated by publicly owned operators?
No. A lot of public transport in Germany is operated by private companies that have won tenders, especially in regional rail. Whoever the operator, if it’s a regional route it’s in.
So I could travel from München to Hamburg as many times in a month as I wanted on this ticket?
Yes, but only using regional trains. That would take you 12 hours with 4 changes, versus about 6 hours direct on a ICE – but ICEs are not included in the 49 Euro Ticket!
How did this idea come about?
German government proposed a fuel tax reduction for the summer of 2022. The Green Party only agreed if public transport tickets were likewise reduced in price – out of this emerged the so-called “9 Euro Ticket”.
49 Euro Ticket is the follow up.
Who can buy a 49 Euro Ticket?
At the time of writing this has not been confirmed, but the 9 Euro Ticket was available to everyone – residents and non-residents alike. So it is a fair assumption this ticket will not have any sort of residence requirement.
How can someone buy a 49 Euro Ticket?
We do not know yet. It will definitely be available digitally, but it is unknown if paper tickets will be available too. There has been talk of it being a subscription that can be cancelled monthly - but again there’s no detail yet.
When will the scheme start?
Transport Minister Wissing wants the scheme to start on 1st January 2023, but a start date in March or April of 2023 is more likely.
As more details emerge the blog post will be updated accordingly. Likewise if anything with the post or this thread is unclear do let me know and I will try to clear up any misunderstandings!
/ends
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(Oh and of course were this to happen… it’s going to kick off one hell of a fight. Imagine Johnson gets 105 public backers, declares he is running… and then the results from the 1922 show 95 MPs for Johnson. It’d be 💥)
Version 1.0.0, headline figures
Sunak - 4️⃣3️⃣% chance
Johnson - 3️⃣4️⃣% chance
Mordaunt - 1️⃣3️⃣% chance
Someone else - 2️⃣% chance
Chaos as procedure rendered invalid - 7️⃣% chance
This diagram is rather different to the ones in the past, for there are three inputs - assessing whether each of the 3 candidates who are favourites will indeed run, and then if they will actually get to the ballot of Tory members
This isn’t about what I want to happen, or what ethically should happen, but is about what could well actually happen - basically there are no value judgments in here
The Q: which MPs that could stand will get 100 nominations?
Sunak - highly likely
Johnson - possible (he’s already at 41)
Mordaunt - probably
Wallace probably doesn’t want to run - and that’d be to Sunak’s advantage
Braverman, Badenoch: unlikely to get 100
So that leaves us with 2 or 3 candidates in the MP ballot
There’s a question implicitly being asked in UK politics just now: how could Britain end up with someone so obviously ill suited to the job of Prime Minister as Liz Truss? And is she even intelligent?
I think I can partially explain it
For the record: I’ve never met Liz Truss. I have however met and worked with a bunch of notionally successful politicians in the UK and elsewhere over twenty years
One particular story starts when I was a wide eyed 22 year old, working for a MEP in Brussels
Completely by chance I met then, and continued to know and later work with, a person who would become a MP in the UK, and a rising star in their party