Aditya Shah Profile picture
Nov 5 15 tweets 4 min read
"NPAs have bottomed out"
-SBI's favorite quote

SBI just reported a spectacular set of results🤯🤯🤯

Have the NPAs bottomed out?🧐🧐
Is SBI regaining its lost Mojo?

A thread🧵analyzing each and every aspect of the result

Lets go👇

(1/15)
Loan Growth:-

🏦Loans grew at about 19.93%
🏦Corporate loan growth at 18%

For many years SBI has struggled to grow!
20% loan growth from the largest bank in this country is massive!

It Bodes extremely well for the Indian economy.

(2/15)
Deposit growth:-

The deposit growth at just 9.99% is a disappointment.

Makes 19% deposit growth from HDFC Bank look impressive.

Nonetheless, given the strong franchise of SBI,the deposit growth will be back

(3/15)
Cost of funds and NIMs:-

The cost of deposits came in at 3.84%
The NIMs further expanded to 3.59%

The cost of funds is not a problem for the banks given the super-quality franchise.

(4/15)
Capital Adequacy:-

SBI has a capital adequacy of 13.51%
Tier-1 capital adequacy at 9.53%.

This is the lowest among all top banks

Given the strong loan growth,the bank will look to raise capital in the near future

(5/15)
Asset Quality:-

🏦The Gross NPAs fell to 3.52% from 3.91%
🏦The slippages at 3000cr were down significantly.
🏦The PCR remains extremely strong at 91%
🏦The credit cost ratio came in at 0.28%(best in many quarters)

(6/15)
Slippages and SMA book:-

Slippages came in at just 2399cr..Multi-quarter low.

SMA book did increase to 8497cr...however this too isn't as big to make a material impact on asset quality

(7/15)
Verdict:-

Asset quality has eased up for the bank
Covid-19 problems are now behind both bank
Slippages are at a multi-quarter low.

Bank is ready to push loan growth into the system.

(8/15)
RoA and RoE expansion:-

For the first time in many years the RoA has gone above the 1% mark
RoE came in at a massive 16%

These are exceptional numbers from SBI.
As slippages continue to come down,the expansion of RoA and RoE is a given

(9/15)
Record Profits

Strong loan growth
Record low slippages

Means SBI posted a profit of nearly 14,000cr.
The best in its history.

(10/15)
Valuation:-

SBI is available at 1.67x P/Bx

Given the larger number of subsidiaries of SBI.
The valuation becomes even cheaper.

However the valuation is not cheap when compared with its history

(11/15)
We are at the bottom of a credit cycle.

Credit growth is at a 50-year low.

We need strongly capitalized banks with clean balance sheets to achieve the vision of $5 trillion economy.

(12/15)
SBI has:-

1. Strong Balance Sheet
2. Strong Management
3. Strong capital to deploy
4. Huge physical as well as digital presence to tap growth

(13/15)
The result is spectacular to say the least.

Loan growth is robust.
Asset quality is strong

And the future is bright!

(14/15)
SBI is extremely strong and the scope of opportunity means that it can do extremely well.

Given ICICI+HDFC+SBI all have done exceptionally well

All three will lead India in the 2-3 years!

(15/15)

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A thread🧵explaining why index funds should be a part of ur equity MF portfolio!

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Passive Strategy:-

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A small thread🧵which can help u in this process

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First things first:-

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Everybody has their own framework.

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One should create their own framework

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What is happening?

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(2/23)
Business for IEX:-

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Oct 23
IDFC First Bank is a red-hot stock on Twitter!

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(1/17)
Loan growth:-

The Bank reported loan growth of 25%.
Predominantly a retail asset bank.
Unsecured loans remained 60% of the book.
Credit cards book has started to grow sharply

(2/17)
Legacy IDFC Book is as good as gone!

The Bank hold enough provisions on the book and over the 2-3 quarters the bank should complete the running down of the book

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Oct 22
Is ICICI Bank the next HDFC Bank?
Is ICICI Bank the new market leader?

ICICI Bank just posted its results
How do the results compare with HDFC Bank?

A comprehensive thread🧵 analyzing the results of ICICI Bank and the comparison with HDFC Bank

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(1/16)
Loan growth:-

ICICI Bank grew loans at 23%
HDFC Bank grew loans at 23.5%

Retail loan growth was 21% for ICICI Bank while
it was 21.5% for HDFC Bank

Corporate loan growth 23% for ICICI Bank
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(2/16)
Verdict:-
Both Banks are leading the way in Loan growth

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ICICI is covering up the corporate growth slowdown!

But together both are gaining market share in loans

(3/16)
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Kotak Mahindra Bank is an important part of the Nifty!
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A short thread🧵analyzing each & every aspect of the Kotak Bank result

Lets go👇

(1/9)
Advances+Deposit growth:-.

🏦Advances grew at 25%
🏦Personal Loans and credit cards grow at 80%🤯
🏦Deposits grew at 9%(which is disappointing)

(2/9)
Deposit growth lags:-

The deposit growth came in just at 9%.
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Inversely the bank did not raise deposit rates which saw slow deposit momentum.

This should reverse in the coming quarters

(3/9)
Read 9 tweets

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