1. I know we all hope for a big young-voter turnout. I have had a suspicion a lot will wait to vote in-person tomorrow, so I remain hopeful. But they are social issue voters for the most part and historically that has not been as reliable as bread-and-butter issue voters.
2. The Fascist's (fka GOP's) attack on #SocialSecurity remains baffling. I think it may be put down to hubris at a point where they looked to be a shoe-in for control of Congress. But the attack on people currently on Social Security and Medicare is predictably something to
3. spur turnout in mail-in and early-voter numbers in the over 65 demographic. The numbers are eye-popping. I think it's reasonable to assume that most people already on Social Security do not support taking it away. And so if that assumption holds,
4. and the in-person numbers track these numbers, tomorrow night could be wild. But like I said, also totally predictable.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tim Hogan 浩勤

Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TimInHonolulu

Nov 8
1. I keep harping back to the fact that the fascists ran on ending Social Security. That is so far from normal that I would expect it to spur turnout by registered GOP retirees who turn around and vote @TheDemocrats. So you might see large turnout but could be an illusion.
2. The early vote and mail-in were heavily skewed towards retirement-age voters by a lot nationally. If I was asked to pick a single issue to screw up the GOP performance, an announced plan to kill Social Security would be my first choice. And they did it.
3 So, if as I surmised, the young Dobbs driven voters are voting today in numbers, and the early and mail-in continues with a high-retirement age electorate, it could be a long night and may take weeks.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 4
1. When I open up Twitter for the day and post the news, the first several accounts on my Tweetdeck are folks whom I've covered reporting on Ukrainian and Syrian wars. Some for as long as seven years.
2. I fear that's likely what Musk and his foreign partners are tying to end.

My dad was a front line war correspondent. I enjoy reporting facts to try to defeat propaganda. I will continue. Comparing how I can sit in comfort and get more war data in a day that he
3. could get in months at the front, I'm thinking of just monetizing my blog. Try to get it amplified beyond Twitter. I don't trust Elon. Telegram is not safe IMO. It's somebody's spyware. That's what Twitter is becoming.
I've signed up for Tribel, Mastadon and CounterSocial
Read 4 tweets
Nov 4
1. On the CNN special counsel story, first, CNN is not a trusted source. It's become a right-wing FoxNews wannabe. Second, DOJ regs don't require a Special Counsel when the party being prosecuted is not a member of the same party as POTUS. Reg catch-all is how Barr weaseled to
2. put now disgraced John Durham in the role. I can't imagine Garland turning it over to a special counsel because he and the Deputy trust their own judgment better than any other prosecutor. We're all being played by CNN right before an election. The reality is, if there is
3. any truth to DOJ discussing this now that the story is was dopped they would be more likely to charge him than wait for him to announce. We don't know when Patel was immunized and we don't know if he has been in the grand jury.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 3
1. Since 2014 & continuing today, I have believed that Putin and his crime syndicate's objectives in Ukraine are focused on beach front and the Navy: Crimea, Azov, Odesa and Mykolaiv ship yard. So every time I see a report that the Russians are leaving Kherson I remain skeptical.
2. Right before the reported attack on Sevastopol I saw evidence that Russia was forming an amphibious group likely to try to use the grain corridor to attack Odesa. It included two Rapuchas and at least one Alligator. Until Russia is out of Ukrainian territory no withdrawal
3. should be considered permanent but simply strategic redeployments. Lastly, in past several weeks, Russia has greatly increased the military presence in Sevastopol. I have taken that to mean they are setting it as the line of last defense and all other areas are subject to
Read 5 tweets
Nov 3
1. @elonmusk's fails to find ways to increase revenues because he looks only at the selfish reasons for people to engage and expect that the verified folks will pay Twitter to remain in a hierarchy. I'm no crypto fan and as a long time Ponzi litigator remain convinced it has
2. all the elements of one. But he could use it to create a way for people to donate to others. To vetted charities or to people who need help with a small transactional fee paid to Twitter. The size of the base is so great that when scaled could result in a large income stream.
3. But it won't happen because he lacks empathy and cannot see altruism as force more powerful than the insatiable quest for power and greed. Also, he sees Crypto as a way to defraud the Govt and therefore his plans will always be defeated by the Govt that will remain his master.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 1
1. We need to wall Russia up. Allow only a small number of vetted diplomats to travel to the free world. No more Oligarchs in Miami. Ban them and their spawn for life. Limit our contacts with Putin cult to things like non-proliferation and disease control. No social or cultural
2. connection with a country that openly espouses genocide as official policy. Wall them up. Stop all transit between Konigsberg (aka Kaliningrad) and Belarus. Remove the roads and rail lines. And put a large wall around the stolen enclave.
3. If the Russians are willing to live as Putin's slaves, we should have no part in them in our society. Make countries that allow Russians to freely enter, be limited on their own movements to the West. #BuidTheWall.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(