Michael McAteer Profile picture
Nov 8 8 tweets 2 min read
Kirkland Capital Chairman and CEO Kirk Yang nails it. Tech demand will be weak due to the replacement cycle. Everyone bought cell phones and new computers to help cope with the pandemic and they won't replace them for another 3-4 years.
That leaves the other driver of profits — new products, but phones and computers are mature technologies.
The U.S. trade war with China that started several years ago has taken on measures of national security and not mere commercial sanctions.
High-end semi conductors are not made available to China and software, manufacturing equipment are two more choke points to slow down China's development of information technology that modern warfare is based on.
China will still have market access to mid-level chips increasingly used in consumer items. Yang thinks that Asian manufactures will move heavily into the manufacture of electric vehicles as the next big market.
This suggests that significant price drops will trigger the substitution effect in the economy and we will go electric sooner than we think.
But what about the cost of electricity? Saskatchewan has the highest electrical bills of any Canadian province.
Over 30% of total electrical demand is produced by burning lignite coal, the dirtiest coal on the planet. Scott Moe's threats of insurrection are based on his attempt to nullify the Federal law that demands the burning of coal for the production of electricity cease by 2030.
The production and sale of electricity in Saskatchewan is a government monopoly. Monopolies, be they public or private, suffer from the same deficiencies: they become rent seekers; they don't invest in new technologies — they end up not giving consumers what they want. #skpoli

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More from @Monetarius

Sep 12
Isaiah Berlin identified a core populist idea: the notion that an authentic “true people” have been “damaged by an elite, whether economic, political, or racial, some kind of secret or open enemy.”
The exact nature of that enemy—“foreign or native, ethnic or social”—doesn’t matter, Berlin adds. What fuels populist politics is that concept of the people battling the elite.
As the French populist leader Marine Le Pen put it in 2015, “Now the split isn’t between the left and the right but between the globalists and the patriots.”
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Sep 12
Canadians will come to see that Poilievre and the CPC represent the failure of civic virtue.
They will blame the "elites" and the institutions of government, but the failure is theirs. Their calls of freedom are a demand for licentiousness. This they've already demonstrated.
The virtues and vices of the people have greater influence on their political institutions than political institutions will have upon the people.
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Aug 17
@DianeMariePosts @LeslynLewis @jordanbpeterson I read her doctorate dissertation that qualifies Lewis to call herself Dr., and I question what she added to human knowledge.
@DianeMariePosts @LeslynLewis @jordanbpeterson I went to Peterson's show in Saskatoon a few years ago with my son. I can applaud anyone who can fill the house to pay to hear him lecture, but there was nothing he said from his european epistemology that I hadn't heard before. Meaningless to an Indigenous subject.
@DianeMariePosts @LeslynLewis @jordanbpeterson 10% of Saskatchewan's current population of a little over a million self identifies as Indigenous.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 15
The Meewasin byelection is going to hit home on two big fronts: healthcare and education. On the latter, the left proposes to end all public funding of private schools. The right proposes that more public choice in education is a good. #skpoli
Classic liberalism says that people should have the freedom to do what they want so long as they don't harm others, therefore the first question from liberal lips is, "Where's the harm?". #skpoli
The physical abuse of children is illegal and its incidence in private schools is not a generality. The teaching of creationism in fundamentalist Christian academies may be general and I can't help but believe this is a form of abuse. #skpoli
Read 4 tweets
Aug 11
The fix for medicare that is in accord with the Canada Heath Act has been apparent for years, or certainly since Romanow's 2005 report: a substantial increase in taxes. Show me a political party that wants to run on that platform.
The delivery of universal healthcare does not preclude the participation of market generated entities. Many states manage the universal delivery of healthcare within hybrid systems.
It's a huge political problem because it is the elderly that tap the healthcare to the greatest extent, but it is not as if they are drawing down from a pool of credits after a lifetime of contribution.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 10
Wage push has always been considered by economists to be a fundamental factor in rising inflation...it's part of the the good news, bad news story of the the long wave of economic activity described by Kondratiev.
By his reckoning, we are due to start a new long wave, and in fact, I believe strongly that we already have. This chart of wage and salary growth from the U.S. labour bureau clearly shows the break in trend that signals what to expect in the first half of the new wave.
Inflation will continue to rise until it reaches a crisis peak in 20 to 30 years, like it did in 1980, but it will bounce off a more gradual trend line than the spike we are witnessing now.
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