With the first vote drop from Weld County, Republican Barb Kirkmeyer is taking the Weld portion of the new #CO08 by 56.8 to 39.4 over Dem Yadira Caraveo. Libertarian Richard Ward is capturing 3.8%.
Kirkmeyer needs to run up her vote share in Weld to win.
Kirkmeyer is ahead by less than 10,000 votes in the Weld portion of #CO08. But it’s unclear how much of the total Weld vote these numbers represent. #copolitics
In Colorado HD50, incumbent Dem Rep. Mary Young is ahead 51.1 to 45.5 over Republican Ryan Gonzalez. Young has a lead of 641 votes. #copolitics
In the Adams County portion of #CO08, Dem Yadira Caraveo leads Republican Barb Kirkmeyer 55.7 to 40.3. Caraveo leads by about 14,000 votes.
Adams so far is lifting Caraveo over Kirkmeyer for the seat, 49.4 to 46.7.
Libertarian Richard Ward playing spoiler with 3.9%
According to @AP, Dem Caraveo leads Republican Kirkmeyer in #CO08 49.2 to 46.9 with an estimated 60% of the vote counted. Libertarian Ward has 3.9%. #copolitics
In #CO08, Republican former Weld County Commissioner Barb Kirkmeyer, who currently holds a state Senate seat, has gained more votes in Adams County than she has in Weld.
Adams: 35,991
Weld: 33,366
That could mean she has more votes from Weld not yet counted.
• 52,000 votes still to be counted in Adams County.
• 28,000 votes still to be counted in Weld County.
• 3,500 votes still to be counted in Larimer County.
The Twitter verified fiasco reminds me of something. Allow me to thread.
Back when I worked at the @GreeleyTribune and the newspaper still had its own press in the back, every so often all employees would have to attend government-mandated safety hazard meetings because of the ink and related chemicals being stored in the building.
The meetings weren't terrible. Half of it was the standard "Don't climb on big racks of things because you're def gonna die when they fall over" videos.
- Supreme Court reduces rights for half the population (the half that votes more and lives longer).
- Dem over-performance in special elections.
- Generic ballot average showing Dem growth and GOP decay.
But forecasters and national media got duped by a constant stream of GOP-aligned and funded pollsters claiming bonkers numbers that nonpartisan pollsters just never found.
Dems kept their own polling close to their chest, and that choice seems interesting now.
But we should also talk about the general lack of quality polling this year.
#CO08, one of the most expensive House races in the country, has ZERO nonpartisan public polls.
Greeley is getting a lot of hate on social media today because of a Tweet with a Map about cities in every state that people like to Dunk On.
But I just want to note real quick that the VAST MAJORITY of the hate re: Greeley is 1. factually inaccurate and 2. largely just prejudice against poor and working class people.
People who haven't lived or probably even visited Greeley like to claim that it smells like cow poop here constantly, but that is laughably false. At worst it smells bad for like an hour one day per month.