How's the election result?

SUPER TIGHT result. Was supposed to be a blow-out. The PATTERN for first midterms after party takes White House is from 40 to 60 bloodbath in Congress. That is the pattern we should have seen. But there was NO RED WAVE

It is razor-thin, can go either Image
In Senate the Georgia race goes into a run-off. Senator Warnock won his first runoff. He got more votes against the Fake Cop Herschel Walker. This is FAVORED to go our way. We won't know until Dec, but if we hold Georgia, we hold Senate. So Trump wiped Mitch McConnell out - again Image
The Nevada vote count is not finished and we have a good shot at Senator Catherine Cortez Masto still winning re-election in the Nevada race. In that case Georgia runoff will not even matter

We cannot call the Senate yet. But we have significantly better chance of holding it Image
In the House it SHOULD have been a blow-out. 30 seat gain AT LEAST, and could have been 40-50 seats. GOP was running against an 'unpopular' sitting President, and the newsmedia was hyping 'inflation' as the boogie man. Yet Congress may be gain of 3-9 seats to GOP. AND.. Image
AND it is still very plausible we hold the House. The final math favors the GOP but only barely. And these last counts could well go our way. We are IN IT to KEEP the House. The only reason for this catastrophic election day failure by GOP is... Trump

#LetTrumpBeTrump Image
Can you imagine how stupid it would have been, after Nixon resigned, for the Republican Party to have let Nixon be their public face going into the NEXT elections? That would have been catastrophic

But that is what GOP is doing now with Trump. They are stuck with their monster Image
You will see a lot of pundits, and some Republicans try to proclaim the party has to move past Trump

They CANNOT. Trump OWNS the BASE of GOP

The Maganutters will obey Trump, destroy anyone on GOP side that Trump hates (see Liz Cheney). Trump cannot harm us. He will damage GOP Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tomi Ahonen Standing With Ukraine

Tomi Ahonen Standing With Ukraine Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @tomiahonen

Nov 13
This is a massive win for Democrats. We kept the Senate, in the first midterms after one party took the White House. This cycle should have been devastating against us

Two big keys: Trump got involved, & reaction to Roe vs Wade. But also great politics by DEM

I will do a Thread Image
So understand. We were SUPPOSED TO LOSE

In nearly every cycle in as far as anyone can remember, the party who took the White House, loses in the next midterms (exception was 2002 because of Osama Bin Laden terrorist attack on Sept 11 & wave of patriotism cancelled this pattern) Image
If we had lost the Senate, not only would Joe Biden's agenda be dead for the next 2 years, GOP would have run all sorts of nastiness, forcing Biden to veto nearly everything - weakening Biden for 2024

And worse: the Teenage Mutant Mitch McTurtle would have controlled judges Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 10
Why is failed Bond Villain wannabe, the Chrischristie in the news? Or Cancun Cruz, America's most hated man talking about personality? Or Never Trumper John Kasich demanding move beyond Trump? Because the race for 2024 has started on GOP side. Even Lord of Flies thinks has chance Image
Trump said he will announce on Tuesday. Now everybody who thinks they have a chance, have to stake their ground

And the newsmedia - driven by right wing media owners - is pushing Death Santis as their new Trump. DeSantis is too smart to run against Trump. He's playing Trump Image
Ted Cruz is the front-runner AFTER Trump is no longer viable. Cancun Cruz is only playing the game of never angering Trump but preparing his day, for when Trump is in prison. He will then promise to pardon Trump too. Cruz is playing long game. But he won't go against Trump Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 10
My fellow Russians

My quick & easy three day war into Ukraine has now run into its 9th month. We lost the battle of Kyiv, their capital & largest city. As you can see, my war started out tremendously well.. for the Ukrainians

#SlavaUkraini #TableBoy #CzarLilliPutin #LilliPutin Image
After we lost the battle of Kyiv, we proceeded to lose the battle of Kharkiv too. Kharkiv is their second largest city. After a prolonged battle we lost at Snake Island. Then we lost the battle for Izyum, a town we had seized. As you can tell, this war was going remarkably well Image
We have been eagerly retreating so much since March, that half of the terrain we once held in Ukraine has already been handed back to the Ukrainians. In the words of my pet & sex toy, Donald Trump, I call this unconventional type of military maneouvering: 'winning' Image
Read 17 tweets
Nov 9
My Dearest Vladimir

How's your war going in Ukraine? Why are you retreating out of Kherson? Only losers retreat. You should have built a wall

I'm miserable. The election has been a disaster. These Republicans are all morons

I miss hearing your voice. Couldn't you just call me Image
My Sweetest Trumpy-Pumpkin

Daddy's a bit busy with this war in Ukraine. My incompetent army is just fucking losing & goddamned retreating. That incompetent General Shoigu just ordered a total retreat from Kherson!

He's gonna be taking a look at the view from an open window soon Image
Dearest Chairman Kim Jong-Un

I noticed you fired up some rockets again. Were you selling some missiles to Russia? Did you talk to Vladimir Putin? Did he say anything about me? He isn't returning my calls

How I miss the gentle touch of your hand in mine when we had our walks Image
Read 12 tweets
Nov 9
First take on 2022 Midterms

This SHOULD have been a blow-out to that party which just took the White House 2 years prior. Usually this cycle, either for Dems or for GOP is blowout. From 30 seats to 60 seats pick-up

Thanks to Trump, and Roe vs Wade - it was not a red wave Image
They are still counting and we have 4 Senate races not called. The MOST likely outcome is net zero gain and 50/50 Senate split remains. NEXT most likely outcome is 51/49 for DEMs, a net gain of one

This is OPPOSITE of a red wave. This almost NEVER happens in first midterms.. Image
In the House we currently have 9 pickups for GOP and 3 pickups for DEMs, with several dozen close races not yet called. It means net gain of 6, where 5 is what switches control from DEM to GOP. And the last House seats to be called can very well go back to DEMs keeping the House. Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8
Tidbit from exit poll: Abortion. 11% of Republican voters listed abortion as their reason to vote. Because of Roe vs Wade overturned by SCOTUS, it would seem most GOP who rate abortion as important matter, would be voting on this now. My guess most of that is votes AGAINST SCOTUS
so if most of this 11% of GOP vote where top issue was abortion was AGAINST the Roe decision - these angry voters have almost certainly voted against GOP, against men, against their sitting members of Congress who now are anti abortion. Could be a hidden protest vote inside GOP
So where turnout numbers reveal by party split (also a) strong GOP turnout - those could be mostly women voters inside GOP now turning out on abortion to vote against GOP. If say 9 out of 10 such voters (ie out of that 11%) vote blue, we could gain 3% nationally out of this BUT
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(