New: There are 32 House races the AP hasn't called yet, but they aren't all created equal. My best (reported) guess about which way they're breaking, and whether Dems have any shot at the majority. politico.com/news/2022/11/1…
Breaking it down, 2 of them are in D-vs.-D Calif. races, 2 GOP candidates have conceded, Dems are favored in 2 RCV tabulations. Then there are a dozen-plus other races where there's a clear favorite. politico.com/news/2022/11/1…
For those keeping score at home, these are the 11 races we think are up for grabs: #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #CA47, #CA49, #CO03, #NY22, #OR06, #WA03.
GOP currently leads in 6, Dems lead in 5. GOP needs to win 3, Dems need to win 9.
GOP currently leads in 6, Dems lead in 5. GOP needs to win 3, Dems need to win 9.
One other note, if any of the races we’ve tentatively assigned to a party, it would shift those numbers. So it Dems beat Mike Garcia in #CA27, they only need 8 of this 11, and vice versa for Rs in D-designated seats.
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