Gaurav Sabnis Profile picture
Nov 11 13 tweets 4 min read
Dems definitely holding the House from what I'm seeing. That is going to shake the GOP so much!
Methinks 219-216, but it's very much likely that Dems will have 1 seat majorities in both the chambers.
As we would day in Pune, the Republicans parrot has occurred.
If Democrats keep both chambers like I feel and have talked about from the start, it will mean something so much more on a personal level this time, especially given how much @k_rupal worked in swing districts. We really participated a lot in this election, not just watched.
This is also the first election I approached with the knowledge that "predicting" elections is just an entertainment product for TV & social media.

Democracy is a participation sport. You don't predict. You campaign and you volunteer and you get out the vote until the last sec.
Most people, other than voting, think of themselves as exogenous to the political system. But we are its components. If you start off saying months in advance, oh Dems will lose, oh BJP will keep winning... Then you are basically campaigning FOR them.
So yeah, you can make snide comments about those who volunteer or tut tut the #BharatJodoYatra with a pessimistic "oh Modi only will win, I am telling you" 2 years in advance, then as we say in Hindi, are you a human or are you a pyjama?

BJP wins by superior GOTV. That's it!
BJP still has a ceiling of 40% in even their biggest wins. At least Democrats have a demographic plurality in US. BJP coalition is of the elites.

But they work like crazy at grassroots levels, literally strategizing on a per-page of voter rolls.
Among my friends in the US who are Democrats and politically interested, there are sooo many who volunteer, even more who donate in large amounts.

Among my friends in India who are non sanghi, it's mainly just criticizing Rahul, Mamta, Uddhav, as if criticizing an athlete.
I know less than a handful of people in India who actually hit the streets and make a difference during campaigns or political upheaval.

I miss @surekha. She was one. Went to #CAA protest to be fake mom for detained youths. At great risk to personal safety.
I was very impressed with the @dccc app we used when we went door to door. Also the very clear strategy. Changing by day, looking at the map and other cues. Some days, just visit Dems and remind them. Other days, try to sway independents.

Never went to a GOP house.
Our heroine craved instant ramen & wok tossed egg. This is one of those things REALLY elevated by a quick toss in the wok.

Btw this quite literally takes me just 5 minutes or less to make. Should do a video next time. ImageImage
This was really the perfect fried egg on top of the ramen. A candidate she knocked doors for saying where she knocked doors was crucial in him getting a narrow win. That satisfaction, that's why my anxiety has been very low this election.

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More from @gauravsabnis

Nov 14
This deserves a separate thread. Cos I keep getting asked about this. Why are US sanghis active in Democratic party?

How can someone support BJP in India & Dems in US? Well, fascists aren't known for principles so I don't find this at all surprising or out of character.

But..
But it is a valid question as to why the Democratic party "accepts" them.

Here you have to remember that parties work differently in US than India. No one can stop you from registering yourself as a Democrat or Republican, running in primaries, and if you win, holding office.
It's not like someone can "expell" you from the party.

Most desis are in blue states.

Blue state politics means that the only real contest at state levels is in the Democratic primaries. And only real power or connections in NJ,NY,CA are in the Dem party. GOP very weak.
Read 18 tweets
Nov 14
These midterm results have shaken sanghis in India & NRI MAGAsanghis. Until now, they had explicitly picked to side with the GOP thinking Trumpism is ascendant & dominant to the extent Modism is in India. But it's now 3 successive election wins by the libs in US. So vexing lol.
A hat trick of Congressional wins plus presidency for Dems. Lula wins in Brazil. Chile, Colombia markedly tilted left recently. Tories in chaos in UK. Russia getting pushed out of Ukraine.

The fascist wave is running into the progressive rocks and breaking.
A lot of Modism & Sanghism is defined by glamorizing wins above all else. Many sanghis are bandwagon sanghis protecting their privilege than out of any ideology. They misread 2016 to think Trump is a winner for the long term in US, burnt bridges with the Democrats for no reason.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 13
Republicans have now lost at least one chamber of Congress in 3 successive elections since Trumpism became the party platform. Despite boosting Republican turnout. Cos Democrat turnout is even higher.

This is a center-left country electorally no matter what the media says.
There are lots of pro-choice Republicans but negligibly few anti-abortion Democrats.

That's the reality of America, no matter how much the content chasing media boosts MAGA.
I noticed that this was the first midterm in which none of the major media outlets were showing or discussing the total popular vote. You have to Google really deep to even get a source for the data, or add up the tallies yourself.

Cos Democrats have a thumping advantage there.
Read 10 tweets
Nov 13
Neighbor praised us for how much of the fallen Ash tree we have cleared using just hand held hacksaws and axes, no power tools.

He said he knows a guy who will clear away other fallen trees AND pay us. We said nah, we cool with the others. Fallen trees are part of the ecosystem. ImageImage
Yup, totally. I love looking at the fallen trees and what lives on or in them.

We are only clearing this one cos it fell right at the (narrow) entrance to the property.

Elsewise, wanna leave The 4 acres untouched except for firewood. 😁🌿🌱🍀

Not all! It is high quality Ash wood perfect for wooden utensils. So gonna buy a wood carving kit, make chopping boards, salad bowls, spatulas etc. And gift to friends and family. 😁😁

Read 6 tweets
Nov 12
To the Desi in me, it's amazing that in America, just a ribbon is enough to indicate the boundary of your property. And encroachment is not even remotely a concern for a property owner. Image
Oh totally! It is completely the result of affluence. Was not always so.

In fact when hiking in today's barrier free Northeast US woods, you come across so many rock walls that used to be the boundary between properties.

In fact #OurWawar used to be a disputed property 80 years ago and once housed an illegal casino catering to #BorschtBelt tourists.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 12
What does Allah mean to you?
In case the point isn't clear, all 3 are valid responses.

Posted the poll cos one thing I've seen uniting MAGAs and Sanghis is that they act like anyone saying "Allah" is like straight away ramming something into a downtown Manhattan building.

It literally just means god.🤷🏽
If you believe there is something called God, you also believe in Allah.

If you don't believe in God, you also don't believe in Allah.

There is no difference between Allahu Akbar and Praise the Lord.

But "praise the Lord" makes you pious "Allahu Akbar" makes you terrorist.
Read 6 tweets

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