Charlie B Profile picture
Nov 12 21 tweets 32 min read
1/ ASEAN-China Summit:
Joint Statement on The 20th Anniversary of The Declaration on The Conduct of Parties in The #SouthChinaSea

@raylockman @CollinSLKoh @GregPoling @graham_euan @Sharon__Seah @AsiaMTI @Scs_Connect @ChongJaIan @alessionaval @becstrating ImageImage
@raylockman @CollinSLKoh @GregPoling @graham_euan @Sharon__Seah @AsiaMTI @Scs_Connect @ChongJaIan @alessionaval @becstrating 2/ "Continue to exercise self-restraint in the conduct of activities that would complicate or escalate disputes and affect peace and stability, and avoid actions that may further complicate the situation"

This stmt historically precedes a 🇨🇳 missile test into #SouthChinaSea
3/ Spokesperson for the ASEAN Summit, Kung Phoak, stated that unlike in previous years, the #SouthChinaSea dispute is no longer a hot topic for ASEAN leaders to discuss at the Summit.

eacnews.asia/home/details/1…
4/ I suppose this being the 10th anniversary of the 2012 ASEAN Summit chaired by 🇰🇭 which had no joint communique due the #SouthChinaSea issues, this statement is techtonic progress.

2012 article:
bbc.com/news/world-asi…
5/ Readout of President Joe Biden’s Meeting with Prime Minister Hun Sen of Cambodia

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
6/ ASEAN-U.S. Leaders’ Statement on the Establishment of the ASEAN-U.S. Comprehensive Strategic Partnership

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
7/ #MaritimeCooperation featured prominently in the US-ASEAN statement.

Look fwd to see an "integrated" Plan of Action for US #MaritimeCooperation, not just a list of sporadic activities by different departments & agencies.

@GregPoling @MarSec_Bradford @BDHerzinger @graham_euan ImageImage
8/ Here is that list of sporadic activities, by the way.

@GregPoling

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
9/ Blurb on #MaritimeCooperation highlights the USAID Sustainable Fish Asia (SuFiA) project:
usaid.gov/asia-regional/…

@marsecgina Image
10/ I 💙 that they left this in the press release:

"And I want to thank the Prime Minister of — for Colombia’s [Cambodia’s] leadership in the ASEAN — as ASEAN chair and for hosting all of us."
🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️

@GregPoling @graham_euan @Sharon__Seah @BDHerzinger

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
@GregPoling @graham_euan @Sharon__Seah @BDHerzinger 11/ ASEAN-U.S. Leaders’ Statement on The Establishment of The ASEAN-U.S. Comprehensive Strategic Partnership

@Sharon__Seah @raylockman @graham_euan @hmarston4 @beth_te ImageImageImage
12/ ASEAN-U.S. Leaders’ Statement
#MaritimeCooperation highlighted again:

"..promote cooperation and coordination among our relevant agencies, including maritime law enforcement agencies, to collaborate to improve maritime domain awareness.."

@marsecgina @GregPoling Image
@marsecgina @GregPoling 13/ "ASEAN Network for Combatting IUU Fishing (AN-IUU)"

More info:
www4.fisheries.go.th/dof_en/view_ne…

Concept Paper:
asean.org/wp-content/upl…

@marsecgina @GregPoling @raylockman @CollinSLKoh Image
16/ #EastAsiaSummit:
"...Indo-Pacific Partnership for Maritime Domain Awareness, through which 🇺🇸🇦🇺🇯🇵🇮🇳, are helping ASEAN nations and other Indo-Pacific partners to undertake marine conservation, counter illegal fishing, and respond to humanitarian disasters."

@GregPoling Image
17/ It's that awkward time period between end of #ASEANSummit and the publication of the final statements.

Everyone waiting for for the #EastAsiaSummit EAS communiqué.

@MayWongCNA
@graham_euan
@raylockman
@Sharon__Seah
@ChongJaIan
@hmarston4
@MayWongCNA @graham_euan @raylockman @Sharon__Seah @ChongJaIan @hmarston4 18/ Everyone checking ASEAN website for #EastAsiaSummit statement:

<F5 refresh> <F5 refresh> <F5 refresh> .....
@MayWongCNA @graham_euan @raylockman @Sharon__Seah @ChongJaIan @hmarston4 19/ Phnom Penh Statement on Trilateral (🇯🇵🇺🇸🇰🇷) Partnership for the Indo-Pacific:

➡️"They commit to addressing key issues of concern for the Pacific Islands... including #IUUFishing ...including through the Partners in the Blue Pacific"

@marsecgina

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
@MayWongCNA @graham_euan @raylockman @Sharon__Seah @ChongJaIan @hmarston4 @marsecgina 20/ 🇺🇸🇦🇺 readout:

"emphasized the importance of the new Partners in the Blue Pacific to help address challenges in the Pacific...and to bolster maritime domain security"

@AnnaPowles @ashleytownshend

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
21/ Waking up and no #EastAsiaSummit EAS joint statement.

Guess they don't work overnight at ASEAN.

And guess there is no joint statement.

Wonder if it was 🇷🇺 this time?

@raylockman
@Sharon__Seah Image

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More from @supbrow

Nov 16
1/ CRS Report by Ron O'Rourke:
Defense Primer: Geography, Strategy, and U.S. Force Design

This report really breaks down the baked-in force design assumptions.
Although the word "Army" is not in there once.🤔

crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF… ImageImage
2/ "Although U.S. policymakers do not often state explicitly in public the goal of preventing the emergence of regional hegemons in Eurasia..."

huh. Image
3/ "Strategy Is a Policy Choice, Force Design is a Consequence" Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 15
1/ US-China Economic and Security Review Commission @USCC_GOV
🔖2022 Annual Report to Congress

An important reference for all China watchers.
Will some take time to read & digest this. Image
2/ "In foreign policy, 🇨🇳’s leaders chose to preserve close ties with 🇷🇺even after the country’s unprovoked invasion of 🇺🇦, increased the brazenness of 🇨🇳’s confrontations in the #SouthChinaSea and around 🇹🇼, and made more aggressive pushes for overseas basing options" ImageImage
3/ "China’s aggressive activities in the #SouthChinaSea led to dangerous encounters between Chinese and other countries’ ships and aircraft in the region." ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Oct 27
1/ National Defense Strategy finally released publicly.

defense.gov/National-Defen…
2/ My first favorite quote:
"Campaigning requires discipline...In service of strategic prioritization, we will focus day-to-day force employment on a more narrow set of tasks than we do currently."
➡️Look fwd to see how this is implemented, esp by the Navy in the IndoPacific.
3/ "Working with Allies and partners, we will build and exercise force elements needed in crisis or conflict, such as infrastructure, logistics, command and control, dispersal and relocation, and mobilization."
➡️This means #SEALIFT
@mercoglianos @johnkonrad @zach_ota
Read 28 tweets
Oct 17
1/ Look fwd to the critical analysis of the new TRANSCOM Strategy by @mercoglianos & @johnkonrad.
2/ "Global Mobility Posture is the foundation of power projection and depends on operational access, basing, and overflight (ABO)"

➡️Can't do anything without ACCESS in & through partner countries.

@SEA_NFAO @zach_ota
3/ "If these threats are left unresolved, our power projection capability will be put at risk and will force us to 'fight to get to the fight.'”

➡️ We WILL have to fight to get to the fight. Plan on it.

I'm reminded of @DavidLarter's article:
defensenews.com/naval/2018/10/…
Read 5 tweets
Oct 12
1/ US National Security Strategy is finally published.

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
2/ On Integrated Deterrence:

"Our National Defense Strategy relies on integrated deterrence: the seamless combination of capabilities to convince potential adversaries that the costs of their hostile activities outweigh their benefits."
3/ On #IndoPacific:
"We have entered a consequential new period of American foreign policy that will demand more of the United States in the Indo-Pacific than has been asked of us since the Second World War."
Read 18 tweets
Oct 11
1/ Started browsing Army FM-3-0, to look at it form the Maritime angle and also regarding #Sealift.

This will be a rambling🧵over several days ....

@mercoglianos @zach_ota @Navy_Hipple @cdrsalamander @cgberube @WDMills1992 @salisbot @johnkonrad @NavMechEng @will_yale Image
2/ Firstly, the word counts:
"Maritime" is found 232 times, but mostly in part of a list of the various domains
"Sealift" is found 9 times
3/ There is an entire chapter on the Maritime Domain:
Here are the table of contents for that chapter Image
Read 13 tweets

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