Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #IndoPacific

Most recents (24)

Not all realists share #Mearsheimer views on Russia's war against Ukraine. I am positioned in the #realpolitik corner while using #geopolitics and #geoeconomics as the main pillars of #foresight.This is my assessment since Dec 2021 (see pinned tweet) on Russia's plan.
Thread🧵👇
There won't be any peace negotiations no matter how often Germany & France (small-size countries in Europe have no geopolitical weight) call Putin. Once Russia establishes control over Donbas & reaches its war goals in the this phase, Moscow will unilaterally declare ceasefire.
Preventing Russia from winning in this critical phase of the war requires the heavy weapons deliveries to Ukraine to sustain the Russian attacks. If Ukraine has to give up on territories in Donbas for the sake of Western appeasement, this won't stop the war. On the opposite.
Read 26 tweets
Amatorskie refleksje do dywagacji realistów jak #Mearsheimer czy #Kissinger, że "by zakończyć agresję rosji w Ukrainie, trzeba się zgodzić przynajmniej na stan sprzed 24 lutego" 1/16
2/16 Choć #Kissinger został chyba opacznie zrozumiany ostatnio, gdy nawoływał do powrotu do stanu przed 24 lutego nie nowych koncesji – wszak to podobnie jak @ZelenskyyUa uznający to za możliwy początek negocjacji
3/16 Załóżmy, że mamy takie zawieszenie broni, ale oczywiście bez znoszenia sankcji - są za Krym i inne, to i za Donbas i Ługańsk, a zachód przed oczami ma wszystkie Bucze Ukrainy
Read 16 tweets
1/7
On #defence and #security policy choices in the #IndoPacific :
I recently produced research assessing how 12 nations are aligning, looking at defence spending, arms imports, military exercises, intel sharing, and force presence agreements.

Who balances against #China?
2/7
Looking at trends in the values of stocks of imported #armaments, #Vietnam and #Indonesia seem clearly to be balancing against #China, whereas #Malaysia drops off strongly, suggesting #bandwagoning. Singapore stable.
3/7
A statistical analysis on trends in stocks of imported armaments shows most countries with a break (a change) around the year 2014 - this is consistent with threat perceptions towards #China going up around 2012.
Read 7 tweets
Happening now: News conference by @SecDef Lloyd Austin & #Canada DefMin Anita Anand
"We know we can count on the enduring partnership" w/#Canada, per @SecDef
US, #Canada spoke not just about #Ukraine but also about "a free & open #IndoPacific" per @SecDef
Read 10 tweets
We are LIVE tweeting the panel discussion with @carlbildt, @MalikAshok, Ming-Shih Shen, @DCTwining, @LisaCurtisDC, @LynnKuok

Stay tuned for updates!

Join us using this link:

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue
.@LynnKuok: The #US has put working towards a common cause with its closest allies at the centre of advancing its national interest. The strength of the US as well as its partners matter.

#Raisina2022
.@carlbildt: If you look at the handling of the #Russia crisis, we are flying together. We are closer than in the past, covering all aspects of #security. There is a significant strengthening of #NATO and #transatlantic aspects of security.

#Raisina2022
Read 18 tweets
With #Raisina2022 in full swing, @orfonline is delighted to announce the #RaisinaEdit— a selection of commentaries that unpack, interpret, & problematise contemporary global developments.

Edited by @anahitakhanna95 & @PreetiLourdes

orfonline.org/series/the-rai…
A key reason for the growth of the passion #economy is that it offers alternative ways of making money, innovative paths toward professional fulfilment & unprecedented career opportunities, writes @utkarsh_amitabh or-f.org/103498
The #circulareconomy is based on three principles driven by design: Eliminate waste and #pollution, circulate products and materials (at their highest value), and regenerate nature, says @Bharati09. orfonline.org/expert-speak/t…
Read 11 tweets
The report by @mihirssharma @swatiprabhujnu @gananyashree talks about #sustainable finance, the need for politics of sustainability & the role of public development banks in the #IndoPacific.

#Raisina2022
orfonline.org/research/recla…
The #IndoPacific region encompasses two-thirds of the world's population & continues to struggle with #sustainable development challenges in lieu of the security-based narrative, state @mihirssharma @swatiprabhujnu @gananyashree.

#Raisina2022 orfonline.org/research/recla…
Private development banks are key actors in the #sustainable development agenda in the #IndoPacific as a central role of financing & most trusted implementers of sovereign requirements: @mihirssharma @swatiprabhujnu @gananyashree

#Raisina2022 orfonline.org/research/recla…
Read 4 tweets
We are LIVE tweeting the panel discussion with @TimSCahill1, Admiral R Hari Kumar, @CDF_Aust, General Koji Yamazaki, @INDOPACOM, Air Marshal Luc De Rancourt, and @Lisa_Singh.

Stay tuned for updates!

Join us using this link:

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue
.@TimSCahill1: There is a wide range of threats that we are facing today, such as the continuing struggle of #terrorism, emerging asymmetric capabilities, & #military & #economic competition. The domains in which our adversaries operate now are very broad.

#Raisina2022
.@TimSCahill1: While we have been occupied with #COVID19, our adversaries have grown stronger & expanded their capabilities. There is a need to develop an ability to counter our adversaries’ #hypersonics.

#Raisina2022
Read 22 tweets
Good morning and welcome to the final day of #Raisina2022. We will be starting with the Welcome Address by Meenakashi Lekhi (@M_Lekhi)

Stay tuned for updates.

Watch it LIVE here:
.@M_Lekhi: The last two years have seen turbulent times, and the #pandemic has taken a toll on our lives. We have witnessed a 180-degree change but it has made us resilient, letting us know we can overcome difficulty.

#Raisina2022
.@M_Lekhi: The world is one big family, it is all about respecting each other's values and boundaries. This is the very basis of our #diplomacy.

#Raisina2022
Read 8 tweets
We are LIVE tweeting the panel discussion “Dragon’s Fire: Deciphering China after Ukraine” with @AdmTonyRadakin_, Maj. Gen. Jung Hae-Il, @bueti, Gudrun Erika Wacker, and @BBCYaldaHakim

Stay tuned for updates!

#Raisina2022
Join us for the session LIVE here:

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue #TerraNova
.@AdmTonyRadakin_: We have to be cautious with the #Ukraineconflict since it is still going on. Strategic errors lead to strategic consequences. It will have implications for the world and #Russia.

#Raisina2022
Read 14 tweets
With #Raisina2022 in full swing, @orfonline is delighted to announce the #RaisinaEdit— a selection of commentaries that unpack, interpret, & problematise contemporary global developments.

Edited by @anahitakhanna95 & @PreetiLourdes.

#RaisinaDialogue
orfonline.org/series/the-rai…
#Putin has clearly underestimated the resolve of the #Ukrainian leadership & citizens to fight back, while also receiving widespread criticism in the form of major sanctions from the broader European community and beyond: @AlicaKizekova or-f.org/103372
Julia De Clerck-Sachsse: Beyond #Europe’s immediate allies, support in defending the current order will be hard to come by. But convincing these countries is crucial if its geopolitical awakening is to translate into a more prominent geopolitical posture. orfonline.org/expert-speak/e…
Read 12 tweets
We are LIVE tweeting the conversation between .@WBHoekstra and Harsh V Pant.

Stay tuned for updates!

#Raisina2022
Watch the session LIVE here:

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue #TerraNova
.@WBHoekstra: The most important conversation that we are having now across #Europe is about the #Ukrainian crisis—the blatant breach of international law—and we stand shoulder to shoulder with #Ukraine in this period of crisis.

#Raisina2022
Read 13 tweets
We are LIVE tweeting the panel discussion with @AHuitfeldt, @AnzeLog, @HonTonyAbbott, @SanjayVermalFS, @GERonAsia, and @MZZRS

Stay tuned for updates!

#Raisina2022
Watch the session LIVE here:

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue #TerraNova
Peter Grk (@MZZRS): We are embarking on the unknown with the ongoing #foodcrisis, dysfunctional #multilateral organisations & the #pandemic.
Read 17 tweets
We are LIVE tweeting the Raisina AMA with @DrSJaishankar and @samirsaran

Stay tuned for updates!

Watch it LIVE here:

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue @MEAIndia
.@DrSJaishankar: Three things keep me up at night — the shocks that the international order is experiencing, particularly in the past two years—the #COVID19 pandemic, #Afghanistan & #Ukraine, & the friction between the #West & #Russia, the #USA and #China

#Raisina2022 @MEAIndia
.@DrSJaishankar: You need to develop an operational matrix to respond to a changing world. In our case, especially since 2014-15, we have had greater clarity on how we engage the world—concentric circles, neighbourhood first, but also a conscious policy engaging the major powers.
Read 20 tweets
Curtain Raiser | In Conversation

Featuring @vonderleyen, President @EU_Commission and @samirsaran, President @orfonline

Watch it here:

#Raisina2022
.@vonderleyen: I am deeply convinced that #India and the #EU will move towards a free-trade agreement, an investment agreement, and geographical indications. We are vibrant democracies, large economies and we share the same values.

#Raisina2022 #IndiaEU @EU_Commission
.@vonderleyen: India is the pharmacy of the world. The second big role for India, which it shares with the #EU, is an investment in fighting #climatechange, with innovation and technologies in Africa.

#Raisina2022 #IndiaEU @EU_Commission
Read 8 tweets
Good evening & welcome to the Inaugural Session of the 7th edition of the #RaisinaDialogue 2022.

We are LIVE tweeting the session with @vonderleyen, President @EU_Commission, @SunjoyJ, Chairman @orfonline & @samirsaran, President @orfonline.

Follow for updates!
@MEAIndia Image
Watch the session LIVE here:
.@samirsaran: #Global institutions created in the 20th century were no longer able to protect us from the challenges of the 21st century. We need to refocus, reengage, and rewire our world.

#Raisina2022 Image
Read 25 tweets
With #Raisina2022 kickstarting today, @orfonline is delighted to announce the launch of the 6th edition of our flagship annual journal of essays, the #RaisinaFiles.

Edited by @samirsaran and @anahitakhanna95.

Click here to read: or-f.org/103384 Image
Are the contours of a new geopolitical formation—the DragonBear—characterised by deepening relations between #China & #Russia in key strategic areas, now increasingly visible? If so, what are #Putin's geopolitical choices?

From @vtchakarova

#Raisina2022 or-f.org/103384
To forestall ceding more manufacturing output and control over critical #supplychains to #China, other nations must be prepared to rethink long-standing conventions about international #trade, writes Jeffrey Jeb Nadaner.

#Raisina2022 #RaisinaDialogue2022
or-f.org/103384
Read 18 tweets
🧵Having devoted loads of time on 🇪🇺EU-🇮🇳India relations in last 4 years, I’m sharing some thoughts ahead of European Commission President @VonderLeyen’s trip to India (24-25 Apr). 1/n
Quick summary of von der Leyen’s trip, see 👇. If you’re interested in knowing more, keep on reading.
If you’re looking for regular expert commentary on EU-India relations, I’d suggest following @GarimaMo @stebenaglia @ConstantinoX (and me ofc) on Twitter.
At @ResearchUI, me & @HCAspengren have conducted several studies 👇ui.se/english/resear…
Now to my thoughts. 3/n
Read 22 tweets
Happening now: @CIA Director William Burns speaking at @GeorgiaTech to college students from across the #Atlanta metro area
.@CIA Dir Burns says he has come to @GeorgiaTech from Washington, DC which is "as self absorbed as ever..."

Notes he will not drone on in what is his 1st public speech since taking the reins at the US spy agency
"We usually operate in the shadows" per @CIA Dir Burns "But I am convinced that in our democracy, where trust in institutions is in such short supply, it's essential to explain our selves as best we can & be as open as possible"
Read 37 tweets
JUST IN: @DeptofDefense releases 2-page fact sheet on 2022 National Defense Strategy

Top 4 priorities:
-Growing multi-domain threat posed by #China
-Deterring strategic attacks vs US, Allies, & partners
-Deterring aggression
-Building a resilient Joint Force/defense ecosystem
MORE: on priority #3 - deterring aggression, @DeptofDefense says it must be done "while being prepared to prevail in conflict when necessary, prioritizing the PRC [#China] challenge in the #IndoPacific, then the #Russia challenge in #Europe"
MORE: "The Department will remain capable of managing other persistent threats, including those from #NorthKorea, #Iran & violent extremist organizations" per @DeptofDefense fact sheet
Read 4 tweets
What's the impact of the #UkraineRussiaWar to India?

A general overview of a complex : Russia, Pakistan, QUAD, Tibetan plateau, China, food.
#UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineUnderAttaсk #RussianUkrainianWar #Russia #Ukraine
1/17
🧵🇺🇦🇮🇳🇷🇺
2/ India has a special relation with Russia, since Nikita Khrushchev supports India on the Kashmir issue in 1955.

#UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineUnderAttaсk #RussianUkrainianWar #Russia #Ukraine

archive.org/details/memoir…
Read 22 tweets
NEW: "With the PRC [#China] as the department's pacing challenge, #Taiwan is the department's pacing scenario" @DeptofDefense Asst Sec for #IndoPacific Affairs @elyratner tells HASC
"We aim to deter & deny PRC aggression thru a combination of Taiwan's own defenses, its partnership w/the #UnitedStates & growing support from like-minded democracies" per @DeptofDefense's @elyratner
#NorthKorea's Kim Jung Un-"I think he is focused solely internally, on protecting his regime & that what this nuclear testing, the rockets are really about" @USForcesKorea Cmdr Gen Paul LaCamera tells HASC Image
Read 9 tweets
New US #IndoPacific #Strategy!

Read full text here: whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…

"The #PRC..pursues a sphere of influence in the Indo-#Pacific & seeks to become the world’s most influential power. The PRC’s coercion & aggression spans the globe, but..is most acute in..Indo-Pacific."
#INDOPACIFIC: The Region by the #s

#POPULATION: Over half the world’s people, including 58% of youth

#ECONOMY: 60% of global GDP

#GROWTH: 2/3 of global economic growth

#GEOGRAPHY: 65% of the world’s oceans &🌊 25% of its land

>#STRATEGY: whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
From the new U.S. #IndoPacific #Strategy:

"The United States is the leading international provider
of education to students from the Indo-#Pacific—nearly 68% of international students studying in the United States hail from the region..."

Read full text: whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
Read 13 tweets
.#Thread @indiannavy Chief Adm R Harikumar at @OfficialCLAWSIN webinar outlines 3 factors influencing the contours of #warfare - contemporary geopolitical climate specifically return of #GreatPower Competition, technology and evolution of #cyber as a vital domain for warfare
…Great Power Competition. Underscored by a multipolar world order with overlapping spheres of influence, this comp. is leading to jostling between nations on day-to-day basis, across regions and domains. …if unchecked or unregulated is likely to lead to conflict: Navy Chief
We are all aware that at the operational and tactical level, this competition is already manifesting in the form of greyzone warfare, hybrid warfare, salami slicing, etc: @indiannavy Chief Adm Harikumar on Great Power competition #IndoPacific #IOR
Read 9 tweets

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