Ukraine Scholars, as co-chair of the Ukraine Program at #ASN it is my pleasure to invite you all to please join us at this year’s @ASN_Org convention @HarrimanInst 1/8
President Zelensky “Dear Ukrainians! Today, the enemy launched another massive missile attack on our country. A total of 90 missiles... & when did it happen? As soon as the first day of the G20 summit ended in Indonesia…” 1/6 @ZelenskyyUa
“... Moreover, today what we warned about happened a long time ago. We talked about it. Terror is not limited to our national borders. Already spread to the territory of Moldova. today, Russian 2 missiles hit Poland…People died.”2/6 @ZelenskyyUa
“…Please accept condolences from all Ukrainian brothers! How many times has Ukraine said that the terrorist state will not be limited to our country? Poland, the Baltic states... It's only a matter of time before Russian terror goes further…”3/6 @ZelenskyyUa
.@ZelenskyyUa addresses “the peoples of the Caucasus, Siberia and other indigenous peoples of Russia.
Dagestanis do not have to die in a vile and disgraceful war of Russia. Chechens, Ingush, Ossetians, Circassians and any other peoples who came under the Russian flag.” 1/4
.@ZelenskyyUa addresses “the peoples of the Caucasus, Siberia and other indigenous peoples of Russia.
Dagestanis do not have to die in a vile and disgraceful war of Russia. Chechens, Ingush, Ossetians, Circassians and any other peoples who came under the Russian flag.” 2/4
.@ZelenskyyUa addresses “the peoples of the Caucasus, Siberia and other indigenous peoples of Russia.
Dagestanis do not have to die in a vile and disgraceful war of Russia. Chechens, Ingush, Ossetians, Circassians and any other peoples who came under the Russian flag.” 3/4
Anatol Lieven wrote a piece about why its necessary to encourage negotiations with Russia - but it’s based on problematic assumptions/assessments. 1 is premise that “factors that have worked against Russia will do the same to Ukrainian forces if they launch mass offensives” 1/9
Let me explain why people who study war but do not study Ukrainian society should be mindful of the assumptions they make & calculations they project on the trajectories of battle, war aims, and outcomes. The reason why the Russian offensive failed is not simply logistical or 2/9
about how this “type” of conflict (like WW2) gives the upper hand to the defensive side. It is because Russia did not find a society willing to support or join their war effort. Hence having to resort to violent war crimes including concentration camps, torture, reeducation. 3/9
🧵1) Ukrainians have been dying 4 European values + chance 2 join EU since 2014! That’s not why they deserve #candidatestatus. #Ukraine deserves candidate status because even in context of war, economic crisis & pandemic their democracy strengthened & consolidated #EmbraceUkraine
2) Since 2014, in face of Russian invasion + pandemic - Ukrainians went to polls 8 times: 2 presidential (1 with 2 rounds), 2 parliamentary, 3 national local elections (1 at the height of the pandemic). All = free & fair. Unlike elsewhere in Europe voters shunned radical parties!
3) Since 2014 pol elite (although not without their moments of infighting) rallied around key reforms. 2014-2019 we saw numerous reforms with most important in transparency & decentralization. Latter = hugely successful increased local faith in democracy