#TalkingPoint
π·πΊ missiles are targeting πΊπ¦ heavy industry.
π·πΊ wants to destroy the future of πΊπ¦, sending it into a stone age.
This will allow π·πΊ to get over πΊπ¦ even in case of loosing the war, swallowing nonexistent economy.
Targets for π·πΊ has changed, once again.
First they were targeting storage facilities and military targets
Then they have switched to power generation and distribution
Now they are going for strategic factories.
This is planned crime world all can observe in real time.
πΊπ¦ is one of the worlds developed countries. Developed that was mainly inherited from the collapsed empire and lost in time of independence with the help of Eastern neighbours.
Industry was waiting for the dawn, but may not meet one.
It is possible to destroy the factory, but it's impossible to destroy the industry while there are people to keep the knowledge.
So it's important to save life's if it's not possible to save buildings.
π·πΊ should pay for all the damage they've made.
The question of reparations is complicated and I see no legal methods to make them pay anything at all.
That will require international unity and coordination in the question of π·πΊ taxation to finance πΊπ¦ rebuild.
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#Map
Tension round Avdiivka is rising once again.
π·πΊ has managed to take over Opytne and advancing towards Vodiane on the South.
π·πΊ have occupied the valley East of the city with no chance to leave it since April. With main goal to pass by the city from the North.
There are at least 2 independent π·πΊ groups at the South and East that were acting independently for last couple of months.
After the fall of Pisky direction of π·πΊ offense has turned north beyond M04.
πΊπ¦ defense at Opytne was erased so they were forsed to withdraw.
Vodiane would be the next target to open the road to Tonenke in the attempt to pocket Avdiivka from the south.
πΊπ¦ is capable to defend along the streams, to prevent that π·πΊ should be forced to expand towards the city.
What is remarkable about Nova Kakhovka - it's 40 km away from the point where Novooleksiivka can be reached with HIMARS.
That allows to control both exits from Crimea.
That can decimate π·πΊ supplies, encircling half of their army and they have no reserves to resist.
Why is that important right now.
π·πΊ has started to move ~40-50 BTG towards the East and place some troops do defend the river.
πΊπ¦ is smashing their defense and following the enemy cutting off their supply line, leaving the horde without a stock.
After the retreat from Kherson π·πΊ got into troubles, jammed between the BS and the Dnipro river, with a 150km long highly vulnerable border in the river delta.
πΊπ¦ has full fire control over the North Crimean Canal peninsula, with a flat terrain and channels along the coast.
π·πΊ is locked in the area with 2 major channels Crimean and Kahovka. None of the can be used as a defensive line, going North to South it creates more issues for the area supply. Making Kalanchak and Brylivka a local hubs.
π·πΊ is also digging tranches just on the edge of πΊπ¦ artillery reach, as was noticed in Novokam'yanka that is 20km away from the front.
Similar activities should be expected along the whole line.
Expects 3 lines of defense at 0, 5, 20km marks.
The area around Kherson is covered with channels, so any offense goes through narrow gap over the barrier.
That limits the mobility and development options for the attacking army.
To succeed, πΊπ¦ should gradually move forward avoiding immediate gains.
The winter is coming, the losses are piling up and there is no signs that π·πΊ is ready to give up.
All the mob are exchanged for time for no reason?
π·πΊ want's Europe to freeze and give up.
The great example of this fight is Kherson.
So how would i defend Kherson?
π·πΊ is insane in their actions but not stupid. All their steps are meant to serve some purpose.
All the treaties would be tested for any flaws and π·πΊ will squeeze most out of them exploring all the dark corners of international law, as we can se with PMCs, grain deal, etc...
π·πΊ have no mercy for anyone even for their own citizens, so there should be no illusions about their intentions.
Everything they are doing in Ukraine and what we all called genocide, is just a reasonable price in their mind.
Because they are surrounded by the enemies.