Thread by @charles_gaba

Hmmmm…out of a random sample of 5,000 accounts which were following me on Twitter as of 10/27, 128 have deleted their accounts and at least 175 others have set up Mastodon accounts (only includes those who’ve added the link to their Twitter profile). #xp

Update: Out of 25,000 accounts which followed me as of 10/27, 707 have been deleted and at least 889 others have set up Mastodon/CS accounts. That's 2.8% deleted + at least 3.5% Masto/CS so far.

Update: Out of 50,000 accounts which followed me as of 10/27, 1,420 have been deleted & at least 1,753 others have set up Mastodon/CS accounts. Again, 2.8% & 3.5% respectively.

Remarkably close from group to group, suggesting that this may be representative across Twitter?

Update: Out of 50K who followed me on Twitter as of 10/27, 1,555 have deleted their accounts (3.1%) and at least 1,813 have set up Mastodon/CS accounts (3.6%).

Update: I double-checked and my follower export was actually done 3 days later. Of 50K followers as of 10/30/22, 3.2% have deleted their accounts & at least 3.7% have set up Mastodon/CS accounts.

Of 50K followers as of 10/30/22, 3.3% have deleted their accounts & at least 3.7% have set up Mastodon/cs accounts.

Of 50K followers as of 10/30/22, 3.4% have deleted their accounts & at least 3.7% have set up Mastodon/CS accounts.

Assuming the deletion rate so far continues, and assuming these 50K accounts are representative of Twitter at large, it would take another 773 days for every Twitter account to disappear.

That would be around January 6, 2025, aka the 4th anniversary of the January 6th insurrection. Huh.

CW: #BirdSite
Of 50K of my #BirdSite followers as of 10/30/22, 3.5% have deleted their accounts & at least 3.7% have set up #Mastodon/CS accounts.

Of 50K followers as of 10/30/22, 3.6% have deleted their accounts & at least 3.7% have set up Mastodon/CS accounts.

Out of 50K followers as of 10/30/22, 3.7% have deleted their accounts & at least 3.8% have set up Mastodon/CS accounts.

Wow. I don't know how many were suspended by Musk for making fun of him vs. how many suspended their own accounts out of disgust, but 47 more of my followers accounts have disappeared in just the last 14 hours.

Another 53 of my followers' accounts have been deleted in the past day and a half.

Another 25 of my followers' accounts have been deleted in the past 19 hours.

An average of 57 accounts have been deleted per day since 10/30. At that pace 100% of my followers accounts will be deleted by March 25, 2025.

Another 22 of my followers accounts have been deleted over the past day or so. 4% total since Musk took over.

I assume some of this is normal churn but...

49 more follower accounts deleted since 12/06. That's 4.1% of my followers gone from the platform since Musk took over.