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Jacob S. Rugh Profile picture
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Nov 21 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I mourn the mass murder of LGBTQ people in Colorado and send my love to all my LGBTQ students, family, and colleagues everywhere.

I am saddened to learn the shooter was a member of my LDS faith community.
I condemn his hateful action and any and all hate directed at my queer brothers and sisters, including words of those of my faith.

Even and especially because we do not have class this week, I want you to know that my classroom and office will always be a safe space.
A brave space where all can come to thrive, not just survive.

God loves all his children, and we should feel godly sorrow.
None of us should argue or minimize this incident but feel that sorrow and advocate, vote, and work for laws and policies that protect LGBTQ people from deadly hate and discrimination.

God loves you and I do, too.
😢💔💜❤️🧡💚💙 #ColoradoSprings

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More from @JakeRugh

Jacob S. Rugh Profile picture
Nov 23
As the election canvass is nearly over @Thorongil16 & I can confirm:

✅McMullin did achieve the HIGH SUPPORT Dems (D +88), Ind. (I +23), and est. 27% of GOP voters (Lee +46, huge defection) needed.

❌Evan McMullin lost historic 2022 Utah Senate race 53-43 (!) due to LOW TURNOUT Image
Latest results: electionresults.utah.gov/elections/fede…

Official turnout by party (you'll have to swap in all registered voters instead of active voters denominator that inflates figures):
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
via
utahcounty.gov/dept/clerkaud/…

Voter registration:
vote.utah.gov/current-voter-…
ICYMI @Thorongil16 @SplitTicket_ & I expected Lee +8 the most likely in in the historic Utah US Senate race, the closest in nearly 50 years.

On election night, Lee was up +15, but McMullin closed in with the final canvass today to just Lee +10
split-ticket.org/2022/10/28/doe…
Read 5 tweets
Jacob S. Rugh Profile picture
Oct 28
Hat tip to @Thorongil16 @lxeagle17 @SplitTicket_ for collaborating on our exploration of the Senate race in Utah.

The Lee-McMullin contest is the most competitive Utah Senate race in my lifetime.

A McMullin upset is unlikely, but we show 1 scenario (of 3) how it could happen.
While a Lee +8 win (scenario 2) is most likely, McMullin has a narrow path via:
☑️ Anti-Trump/Lee vote in highly educated cities like Provo
☑️ High Dem/Ind turnout, though could still be 7 pts < GOP turmout
☑️ 80%+Dem, 65%+ Indy vote share
☑️ AND >30% GOP vote
A very narrow path
In our article we show how these 3 scenarios in the Lee-McMullin race play out:
☑️Utah
☑️Metro Wasatch Front, home to 75% of Utah voters
☑️And Provo, the only city McMullin won in 2016, which has trended left of the state vote in the Trump/Lee MAGA GOP era (a remarkable shift)
Read 9 tweets
Jacob S. Rugh Profile picture
Oct 28
"Lee talks about the Democratic party the way red-baiters used to talk about the Communist party: Any association with it is suspect. It’s true that McMullin courts Democratic voters and donors, along with independent and Republican voters and donors." 1/ thebulwark.com/evan-mcmullin-…
"That’s the whole point: McMullin is campaigning on unity."

"...But what’s more dismaying in the smears against McMullin is the moral emptiness of today’s GOP." 2/ thebulwark.com/evan-mcmullin-…
..being unmarried in his 30s, refusing to vilify Dr. Fauci, affirming that Black lives matter, and acknowledging that House Republicans tried to overturn the last election."
Read 4 tweets
Jacob S. Rugh Profile picture
Aug 31, 2020
Research by Jacob Rugh, a sociologist at Brigham Young University, has found that the foreclosure crisis depressed voter turnout in the 2012 and 2016 elections among Black voters in swing states like Michigan and Wisconsin.
In Florida, he found that the loss of homes to foreclosure as well as underwater mortgages lowered turnout among Latino Democrats and independents, but not Latino Republicans.
Rugh acknowledges that foreclosures and evictions are an imperfect parallel, in part because homeowners consistently vote at higher rates than renters.
Read 8 tweets
Jacob S. Rugh Profile picture
Aug 7, 2020
"Recently the Black Student Union at BYU called for all of the buildings at BYU to remove the names of various people from the history of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, many of whom promoted pro-slavery & other racist views." -Don Izekor
sltrib.com/opinion/commen…
Don writes this brilliant OpEd "in response to some of the rebuttals I have received about [their] call. The most common of them is the presentism argument. This usually follows the lines of, 'We cannot judge the past by today’s standards.'" -Don Izekor
sltrib.com/opinion/commen…
"Historical evidence...proves that since the beginning, many people knew white supremacy, slavery & racism were wrong & they denounced it. Orson Pratt, for example, openly & ferociously rebuked & rejected Brigham Young’s views of Black people" -Don Izekor
>faithmatters.org/making-sense-o…
Read 8 tweets
Jacob S. Rugh Profile picture
Jul 8, 2020
“Lower home ownership depresses voter turnout and homeownership for Black Americans has been declining for the past 15 years. Clearly this year is going to be a very high turnout election, but having said that, Black Americans will still be uniquely disadvantaged.” (SHORT THREAD)
According to a new study by Rugh published in Race and Social Problems, Black homeownership has fallen to the lowest level since the 1968 Fair Housing Act. [H]omeownership is strongly tied to voter turnout, even after controlling for other factors.
link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Neither education, income, nor credit explain this divide, Rugh finds. For example, Rugh cites research that reports that Black college graduates remain less likely to own their homes than White Americans without a high school diploma. 3/
Read 14 tweets

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