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Nov 23 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
This week's episode of The Downballot is coming at you a day early so that you can download & listen before the holiday! Guest-host @JoeSudbay is back to discuss the last few results of 2022 and look ahead to 2024 player.captivate.fm/episode/543281…
On tap:

• Why the #AZAG recount likely won't change the D win

• The huge win for AZ's Prop 308, which allows financial aid regardless of immigration status

• Dem flips of two big county boards in CA: Orange & Riverside

• Ds we'd like to see run for the House again in '24
In a hurry? Consume The Downballot in transcript form! dailykos.com/stories/2022/1…
One thing we're especially thankful for: all of you, our listeners. You just helped us hit the 1,000-subscriber milestone on Apple Podcasts!

Have a wonderful Thanksgiving, and we'll see you next week!

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…

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More from @DKElections

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Nov 12
Bookmark this —>
So, about the battle for the 203-member PA state House: In order to get elected speaker, you need 102 votes. Not just a majority of those present—102 votes, minimum. And there are some real potential hurdles for Dems
Right now, as @Taniel notes, it's 101 D, 100 G, with two seats up in the air. Dems only need to win one, but they'd *really* like to win two. Sadly, just a month before e-day, Dem Rep. Anthony DeLuca died of cancer, though he won re-election in a landslide theguardian.com/us-news/2022/n…
Read 15 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
Nov 10
Helluva fun episode of The Downballot this week! Co-hosts @DavidNir & @dwbeard take stock of the incredible election we all just witnessed player.captivate.fm/episode/44fe02…
Where do we even begin? We know exactly where: abortion. We examine this issue that animated Dems as never before—and that pundits got so badly wrong. We also discuss candidate quality (still important!), Dem meddling in GOP primaries (good for democracy, actually), and more!
You can find a complete transcript right here dailykos.com/stories/2022/1…
Read 4 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
Sep 7
Very exciting news: Daily Kos Elections has calculated the results of the 2020 presidential election for all of the new, post-redistricting congressional districts that will be used in the November midterms! dkel.ec/3RG5Qou
Data for all 435 districts is available in a single chart, right here. These #s reflect how the 2020 election *would* have gone under the new lines.

We also include data for predecessor districts so that you can see how each seat has changed dkel.ec/3F2Vtpq
There's an *incredible* wealth of information to be gleaned. This chart, for instance, shows the small number of "crossover" districts: Just 14 Dems represent Trump seats while 15 GOPers sit in Biden seats. This is near historic lows
Read 10 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
Aug 24
Hero of the night is looking like @votevets. They spent $500,000 to help Pat Ryan in #NY19 and were the only Dem group to really get involved in terms of independent expenditures
No AP call in #NY23 GOP primary yet, but NBC has called it for state party chair Nick Langworthy. Black eye for Elise Stefanik, #3 in the House GOP, who endorsed racist Carl Paladino—a move that led other House GOP leaders to claim she'd "gone rogue"! nbcnews.com/politics/congr…
The DCCC did run a joint ad with Ryan (it seemed like a so-called "hybrid" ad, where costs are split), but it's not clear how much the cmte spent on it axios.com/2022/08/10/new…
Read 5 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
Aug 24
The AP has called #FL11 GOP primary for Rep. Dan Webster. The longest-serving state legislator in FL history and its first GOP state House speaker since Reconstruction turns back far-right activist Laura Loomer in shockingly tight contest.
Over in GOP primary for open and dark red #OK02, former state Sen. Josh Brecheen leads state Rep. Avery Frix 54.5-45.5. Group affiliated with Club for Growth spent heavily for Brecheen, a former Club fellow.
AP calls #FL13 GOP primary for Trump's candidate, 2020 nominee Anna Paulina Luna. She'll face former DoD official Eric Lynn in seat GOP gerrymandered into 53-46 Trump.
Read 46 tweets
Daily Kos Elections Profile picture
Aug 23
Gun safety activist Maxwell Alejandro Frost has expanded his lead in safely blue #FL10. 76% of estimated vote in, he's beating state Sen. Randolph Bracy 34-25; ex-Reps. Alan Grayson and Corrine Brown at 16 and 10.
#FL11 is TIGHT. 71% of estimated vote in, Webster leads Loomer 47.8-47.7, margin of 95 VOTES.
Two of #FL11's four counties, Orange and Polk, aren't reporting anything. If Loomer's strength is confided to The Villages, gives Webster breathing room. If not ...
Read 13 tweets

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