A lot of candidates of both parties lost close elections in the 2022 midterms. Most of them conceded the races and accepted it didn’t go their way this time. Otherwise known as adulting.
But because two candidates, the drama queens who ran for #AZGOV and #AZSOS, refuse to admit they lost, spurred on by the biggest drama queen who has ever lived, Donald Trump, I decided to compare a few things.
We know what it looks like when a Republican wins Arizona. Donald Trump himself narrowly won Arizona in 2016. It wasn’t pretty and was a lot closer than when Romney won the state just four years beforehand. But we can use that as a baseline. And compare it to 2020 and 2022.
In 2020, Donald Trump lied and said that he somehow won Arizona. Kari Lake has been lying from the beginning by saying that Trump won Arizona. And now that she lost, she’s lying some more and saying that she won Arizona

Let’s compare the 2016 election versus 2020 and 2022.
First of all let’s remember where most of the population in Arizona lives. It’s a big state physically. But most of its population lives in just a few places.
Percentage of the Adult Citizen Population By County (2020 Census)

Maricopa - 59.7% of AZ adult citizens
Pima - 15.1%
Pinal - 6.5%
Yavapai - 3.7%
Mohave - 3.3%
Yuma - 2.6%
Coconino - 2.2%
Cochise - 1.9%
Navajo - 1.6%
Apache - 1.0%
Gila - 0.8%
Santa Cruz - 0.6%
Graham - 0.5% of AZ adult citizens
La Paz - 0.3%
Greenlee - 0.1%

75% of the population lives in the two most populous of its 15 counties.

More than 90% live in the 6 largest of the 15.
Okay, so let’s compare 2016, when Trump narrowly won AZ to 2020, when he narrowly lost AZ.

In 2020, Trump either won by a smaller margin or lost by a greater % margin in every AZ county except for Greenlee, Santa Cruz and Yuma.

Counties where a combined 3.3% of voters live.
And, as we always need to remember, even that one time when Trump did win Arizona, in 2016, he didn’t win it by all that much.

Hillary Clinton campaigned there. Her team saw the polls and saw that the state could flip blue. They were just four years too early. Image
So in 2020, as mentioned, Trump‘s margins were smaller than they were compared to his 2016 performance in every AZ county except for Greenlee, Santa Cruz and Yuma.

How does Lake 2022 compare to Trump 2020 - which itself was a losing effort?
In 2022, Kari Lake got lower margins (meaning, she either won by less or lost by more) in every county in Arizona except for Apache (1.0% of the adult citizen population), La Paz (0.3%), Navajo (1.6%), Santa Cruz (0.6%) and Yuma (2.6%).
In other words, in the 10 counties that make up 93.9% of Arizona’s adult U.S. Citizen population according to the Census Bureau, Kari Lake did not even do as well in percentage margin as Donald Trump did in Arizona in 2020.

And Donald Trump LOST Arizona in 2020.
As for that somewhat creepy guy who ran for SOS, it’s not even necessary to compare his performance to Trump’s.

He didn’t do as well as Lake. Who didn’t do as well as Trump 2020. Who didn’t do as well as Trump 2016.
But they all take their cues from the biggest spoiled brat who ever lived. Who seemingly never had anyone ever say “no” to him during his developmental years. He looks at everything that belongs to the people, such as our elected offices, and says “mine!”
And following their lead are a whole bunch of gullible yet highly entitled citizens whose basic posture is something like “we won the election … or we’ll start a civil war.”

These are the kinds of people who see only themselves as “real” Americans.

Gullible spoiled brats.
There are a lot of 2022 candidates who lost races by a significantly closer margin than Lake or Finchem did in 2022 or than Trump did in 2020. INCLUDING REPUBLICANS.

Sucks for them. Disappointing. But they’re not throwing temper tantrums. Because somebody raised them.

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More from @TheValuesVoter

Nov 30
Just wondering.

If you had to choose between the following candidates for office:

Candidate A says they support issues important to you but they have a lot of character issues.

Candidate B is on the opposite side of your most important issues but seems like a great person.
For years, I think a lot of people have voted for Candidate A. Because we’re tribalized to the max. For a long time I would have minimally refused to vote for Candidate B.
But the last several years have made me wonder if this approach is inherently flawed.

All politics aside, can you really expect good results from bad people?
Read 6 tweets
Nov 30
Kari Lake and her supporters are trying to blame her loss on Election Day voting issues in Maricopa County.

So let’s talk about all the counties other than Maricopa where Kari Lake did worse than Donald Trump did in 2020. And Donald Trump LOST Arizona in 2020.
Kari Lake underperformed Trump in the following Arizona Counties not named Maricopa (which is 59.7% of Arizona’s Voting Age Population)

Cochise County (1.9% of VAP)
Coconino County (2.2%)
Gila County (0.8%)
Graham County (0.5%)
Greenlee County (0.1%)
Mohave County (3.3%)
Kari Lake underperformed Trump in the following Arizona Counties not named Maricopa (which is 59.7% of Arizona’s Voting Age Population)

Pima County (15.1% of VAP)
Pinal County (6.5%)
Yavapai County (3.7%)
Read 6 tweets
Nov 29
For those who still have a hard time understanding this, I even put together a chart.

#TrumpLost
#LakeLost
#GoHome Image
81% of the US Citizens old enough to vote in Arizona live in just 3 of its 15 counties: Maricopa, Pima and Pinal.

Joe Biden in 2020 won Maricopa and Pima. As did Katie Hobbs in 2022. Image
But in all three of these counties in which 4 out of every 5 adult citizens in Arizona live, Trump 2020 did worse than Trump 2016.

And then Lake 2022 did worse than Trump 2020.

And Trump 2020 lost.

Hello? Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 29
I'm still blown away by the sheer stupidity of the whole Cochise County stunt.

Can somebody explain to these people that refusing to certify the election in a county which Hobbs LOST by nearly 18 points does not hurt ... Hobbs?

Maybe draw them a chart or diagram or something.
"Hey, watch me own the libs!"
Also,

Maybe these geniuses ought to check in with their own constituents.

In 2016, Trump won Cochise County by 21.55 points.

In 2020, Trump won Cochise County by 19.49 points.

In 2022, Lake won Cochise County by 17.50 points. Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 27
Of the 121 House District whose boundaries were drawn by an Independent Commission without either party having the power to override them (based on the definitions made by @Redistrict on CookPolitical.com),

Democrats won 80 contests
Republicans won 41 contests
Of the 23 House Districts in which an Independent Commission existed but Republicans had the final say on redistricting,

Democrats won 5 contests
Republicans won 18 contests
Of the 26 House Districts in which an Independent Commission existed but Democrats had the final say on redistricting,

Democrats won 15 contests
Republicans won 11 contests
Read 10 tweets
Nov 25
A lot of things Culture Warriors tend to obsess about are neither a matter of “woke” or “non-woke.”

They’re a matter of being a decent human being versus being a racist jackass.

And a matter between behaving like you were raised by humans versus by a pack of inbred wolves.
Like I said before, for decades and decades, overt racism had been going out of style. Nobody wanted to be seen as one.

And over the last several years, what had been a sense of shame of being a racist has become a point of pride.

Some people WANT to be called racist.
And with some of these young folks who have embraced this nonsense, I think a lot of it comes from people who want to belong to something and from brats who just want to be the opposite of whatever everybody else is.
Read 6 tweets

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