1-5

The Association of German Chambers of Commerce and Industry (DIHK) is protesting loudly against the German Economy Ministry's suggestions of new reporting requirements for companies re. China dependence.

#geoeconomics
#China

spiegel.de/wirtschaft/wir…
2-5

The trigger, according to Spiegel, is a story in the German news site The Pioneer (paywall) about a draft paper that was reportedly leaked from the Economy Ministry and which spells out proposals to reduce dependencies on China.

thepioneer.de/originals/othe…
3-5

This would include, among other measures, a drive to diversify to other markets, suggestions to do investment screening on *outbound* German investments to China, and suggestions to carry out 'China stress tests' for particularly exposed German companies.
4-5

The case for partial decoupling (security-sensitive goods, services, and tech) is clear, and the ideas gathered so far by the Economy Ministry seem sensible from a state perspective.
However, battlelines may well sharpen, with corporates lobbying different govt ministries.
5-5

Of key interest is whether the Chancellor's office and top ranking SPD figures will have the political courage and strategic wisdom to support the expertise of their colleagues from the Economy Ministry.

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More from @EHunterChristie

Dec 3
1-13

My takeaways from Pres. Macron's interview, today 3 Dec., on the Russia-Ukraine war and the post-war environment.

A:
Only Ukraine decides whether the fight aims at the full restoration of its 2013 borders (or less). This means full diplomatic backing to recapture Crimea.
2-13

A: (cont.)
The journalist badgered Macron on Crimea. His answer was passionate:
"Do you think that when we, French people, had to live through the seizure of Alsace-Lorraine, we would have liked, in wartime, to have a foreign leader tell us you must do this or that?"
3-13

A: (cont.)
"What is at play in Ukraine and what we're defending are the principles of the UN Charter. Territorial integrity and national sovereignty (...) it's for the Ukrainian people to decide under what conditions, how, when. It's not for us. (...)"
Read 26 tweets
Dec 3
1-4

Powerful moral and spiritual leadership by the Archbishop of Canterbury, the head of the Church of England

A: justice demands that there is defeat of an evil invasion

bbc.com/news/uk-638335…
2-4

B: I am clear that Putin chose to start the war and release the evil that comes from that

C: the consequences of letting Ukraine down would be infinitely worse than of carrying on the support for Kyiv
3-4

D: there can be no peace in Ukraine until Russia stops lying about what it is doing, including the massacre of civilians in Bucha

E: He's got to stop lying. Lavrov and Putin
Read 4 tweets
Dec 2
1-7

Serious scholars in the field of Russian studies must document the Russian phenomenon of using human excrement as a means of insulting the dignity of nations they target or occupy. I wish this were an unhinged insult. But it isn't. It's the culture of the Russian army.
2-7

For instance at Chernobyl, Russian soldiers left excrement in every office - meaning this isn't merely general barbarity, but deliberate insult too.

businessinsider.com/russian-forces…
3-7

We have clear reports of Russian soldiers, while occupying a residential unit in Hostomel, Kyiv region, in March, excreting into people's homes and then throwing their fecal matter around.

politico.eu/article/ukrain…
Read 7 tweets
Nov 24
1-8

Former Deputy Supreme Allied Commander, General (ret.) Richard Shirreff:

BLUF:

-Ukrainian aim is to regain the full borders of Ukraine, incl. Crimea ✔️
-Shirreff believes Ukrainians will achieve that ✔️
-Russia likely going to break ✔️

2-8

-Missile strikes are creating harrowing conditions for the civilian population, that is the RUS goal
-But if Putin thinks this will break civilian morale, he has it badly wrong, it won't
3-8

-Ukrainian aim is to regain every ounce, every centimetre of Ukrainian territory and make sure there's no Russians on any of it. Ukraine is going for the full borders of Ukraine, incl. Crimea
-Shirreff believes Ukrainians will achieve that
Read 8 tweets
Nov 23
1-9

Thread: my published works since March 2022

22 November 2022
Navigating Geoeconomic Risks: Towards an International Business Risk and Resilience Monitor

With @MWigell, @HeikoBorchert, @cfjader & Lars-Hendrik Hartwig.

fiia.fi/en/publication…
2-9

20 July 2022
NATO and Societal Resilience: All Hands on Deck in an Age of War

With @kristineberz

gmfus.org/news/nato-and-…
3-9

14 July 2022
A policy agenda for Finland’s entry into NATO: From ‘one for one’ to ‘one for all’

fiia.fi/en/publication…
Read 9 tweets
Nov 23
1-8
For the history books.
In the run-up to 24 Feb:
-France was in denial
-Germany, under the assumption the war would happen, cynically hoped for a rapid Russian victory for economic reasons
-Italy's initial position was to make zero sacrifices

edition.cnn.com/2022/11/22/eur…
2-8
Those who followed developments closely in Jan-Feb will not be surprised by Johnson's recollection, which must be recorded for posterity - alongside the gradual awakening that ultimately followed.
3-8
It is important to recall these dark days, and the strategic irresponsibility and callousness that preceded them.
Remember: our colleagues from Central and Eastern Europe were yelling their heads off every day at Berlin and Paris at the time (Rome was often overlooked).
Read 8 tweets

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