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Dec 3, 2022 6 tweets 4 min read Read on X
#THREAD

Richard Tice & co banging on about a @YouGov / Times poll putting them on 9%.

A few results which appear to be overlooked:

If there were a general election held tomorrow, which
party would you vote for?

Labour: 31%
Tories: 14%
Lib Dems: 6%
Reform: 6%
Green: 4%
SNP: 3% Image
Which of the following do you think would make the
best Prime Minister?

Sunak: 25%
Starmer: 30%
Not sure: 42%
No answer: 3% Image
How well or badly do you think the government are
doing at handling Britain's exit from the European
Union?

Very well: 2%
Fairly well: 16%
TOTAL WELL: 18%
Fairly badly: 27%
Very badly: 42%
TOTAL BADLY: 69%
Don't know: 13% Image
In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong
to vote to leave the European Union?

Right to leave: 34%
Wrong to leave: 54%
Don't know: 13% Image
The @YouGov /Times poll appears to be an outlier: #Politico's poll of polls puts Reform on 5%, & #ElectoralCalculus, just 4%.

Everyone other than 'manosphere' fantasist Martin Daubney realises they'd get precisely *zero* seats, meaning *zero* influence on "the balance of power". ImageImageImage
Finally, nobody should be complacent: it's always worth knowing that in 2019 the Tories achieved an 80-seat majority despite the fact that just 29% of the UK electorate voted for them.

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More from @docrussjackson

Jul 21
#THREAD

Americans who care about democracy, justice & the planet have to come together to prevent another Trump administration, which would attempt to introduce the regressive, antidemocratic & dangerously irresponsible policies laid out in the Heritage Foundation's #Project2025
Biden has endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris to replace him as the nominee.

Before outlining some essential information about Harris, I'll quickly summarise the process be for choosing the Democratic nominee as described by Newsweek.

newsweek.com/what-happens-n…
In a statement emailed to Newsweek, Democratic National Committee (DNC) chair Jaime Harrison said that the party would "undertake a transparent and orderly process to move forward as a united Democratic Party with a candidate who can defeat Donald Trump in November."
Read 60 tweets
Jul 20
#THREAD

Timothy Snyder is an American historian specializing in the history of Central & Eastern Europe, the Soviet Union, & the #Holocaust.

He knows all about what authoritarian populist demagogues are capable of.

It's paywalled, so reproduced below.

ft.com/content/a7eea0…
'The Republican blueprint for power contains the seeds of its own demise. It is not too late to stop the descent of the American political order into tyranny, oligarchy or anarchy', writes Timothy Snyder.

#Project2025 explainer:

This week, Republicans reminded us of the alternatives to republics, hosting a convention that showed how the American one could be brought down.

They summoned up three variants of collapse: tyranny, oligarchy, and anarchy. Image
Read 24 tweets
Jul 20
#THREAD

Many people in Britain may never have even heard of US Secretary of Transportation, Pete Buttigieg.

Despite the assasination attempt, opinion polls suggest it will be another close Presidential election.

Could @SecretaryPete replace Biden?

Who is Pete Buttigieg?
Pete Buttigieg is an American politician and former naval officer who is serving as the 19th United States secretary of transportation. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the 32nd mayor of South Bend, Indiana, from 2012 to 2020, which earned him the nickname "Mayor Pete".
Buttigieg is a graduate of Harvard College and the University of Oxford, attending the latter on a Rhodes Scholarship. From 2009 to 2017, he was an intelligence officer in the United States Navy Reserve, attaining the rank of lieutenant.
Read 48 tweets
Jul 16
#THREAD

Hitler survived assassination attempts. We know what that led to. Reagan & Thatcher survived assassination attempts. They gave us neoliberalism. Trump survived. He's chosen JD Vance as his running mate. If elected, America will become a dystopian free-market kleptocracy. Image
The 0.01% is gearing up to all but destroy US democracy.

Leading the charge & donating tens of millions of dollars to Trump's campaign are Silicon Valley's libertarian Tech billionaire extremists, led by Peter Thiel & Elon Musk - two of the most dangerous men on earth. Image
What's unfolding right now is like something from a dystopian sci-fi novel.

Except it's not fiction - it's real.

And it's a fucking nightmare assault on truth, fairness, equality, minorities, women's right, the environment & humanity, which democracy will struggle to survive. Image
Read 93 tweets
Jul 15
#THREAD

"What first made Reform UK's white, privately educated multimillionaires Farage, Tice & Rupert Lowe oppose DEI?"

'Diversity Equity Inclusion' is a framework which promotes the fair treatment & full participation of ALL people, but particularly underrepresented groups... Image
Many people know that the term ‘DEI’ is being weaponized as a racist dog whistle (a coded, deniable bit of language that allows people to communicate ideas that would be too offensive if done explicitly).

Few ideas in business are as misunderstood as DEI.
global.oup.com/academic/produ…
There’s nothing new about using racist dog whistles. But the way DEI is used to play into racist sentiments is uniquely powerful, & may well be much more potent than other culture war terms.

press.princeton.edu/books/paperbac…
Read 53 tweets
Jul 12
#THREAD

Privately educated Nigel Farage, Leader & main shareholder of ‘anti-establishment’ Reform UK Ltd, has replaced privately educated co-Leaders David Bull & Ben Habib with privately educated Richard Tice, & made privately educated Zia Yusuf Chairman.

So who is Zia Yusuf? Image
Zia Yusuf is an interesting choice as Reform UK Chairman, given that numerous former BrexitParty/Reform UK candidates, at least one the their current MPs, & innumerable supporters relentlessly use divisive, misleading, & explicitly Islamophobic rhetoric.

hyphenonline.com/2024/06/20/far…
Image
The average Reform UK supporter is older, whiter, less educated, poorer, & further to the Right than the average Brit. Many use dehumanising & scapegoating Nativist rhetoric about Muslims & Islam, often involving the 'Great Replacement' conspiracy theory.

hopenothate.org.uk/2024/04/11/wha…
Read 57 tweets

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