Well that is what's called waking up to the Earth Moved. 5 big things on the ticket today. First, conservstives are feeling rather justified. With Twittergate about to blow up the American political scene right before the GOP takes over the House things are going to be intense.
1. Twittergate 2. Russian Public Opinion 3. retreat from Zaporizhia 4. #Ukrainiancounteroffensive 5. inability to reconstitute offensive power. Thise 5 things are on Putin's palte today and only one of them looks tasty to him, remember that and don't help him with it.
Between Zuckbucks and Twittergate its now rather clear that the 2020 election was not conducted on a level playing field. Russia is going push every possible narrative around this they can. This is a golden opportunity for them to sow more division. I think we (Americans) all
need to agree on 3 things. 1. Joe Biden is #POTUS until at least 24, 2. Big tech, or big tech money colluding with political parties to swing elections should be outlawed, and 3. Ukraine is still being subjected to a genocide that must be opposed. Russia obviously wants the
reverse of all 3 of those. They are desperate for a way out of the hell they have inflicted on themselves by trying to inflict it on Ukraine. If the information here is accurate
Putin is losing his grip on Russian public opinion. The recent moves to outlaw dissent not withstanding the news (all of it bad) is starting to filter through Russian society. He desperately needs some good news. Czar's are a lot like old Chinese emperors. They are considered
to have a mandate from heaven until they don't. When they fall its perceived through a divine lense and there is no coming back because once they fall the new head dumps all the blame on the old head. Sadly, for him good news on the military front is in short supply.
@wartranslated made some interesting tweets that Russian milbloggers are up in arms because Russia is preparing to unass from Zaporizhzhia NPP. This is one of the last jewels that Russia has in its possession that hasn't been ground to dust. After Ukraine regains it only
Melitipol remains as an intact prize. Everything else is war wrecked and hardly a trophy or symbol of victory. That however is likely the lesser of the bad news bombs dropping on Putin and his Kleptogeadian minions today. It appears that Ukraine has landed another blow and
achieved another tactical breakthrough cutting the P66 at Chervonopopivka between Kreminna and Svatove. Once Kreminna is liberated we will be looking at the 2nd Battle of Sievierodonetsk. Preventing Kreminna's fall will likely put a lot of pressure on Russia to finally throw in
the towel around Bakhmut with all the implications that will have in further eroding public support for the war. For Kleptograd its now a race against time. The strategy to throw 1/3rd of the mobliks in as expendable cannon fodder to stabilize the front while holding 2/3rd back
for training and equipping as a spring offensive force looks increasingly unviable. More and more mobliks will have to be fed in before they are ready in conditions that are increasingly less hospitable for success let along survival. Putin in in for a very cold winter. These
massive reverses are due to you. Give yourself a pat on the back. Public support for Ukraine means western politicians like @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton, and @RepFrenchHill know they can vote to send more, send better and send now. Your donations to charities like @MriyaAid,
eye. Make no mistake, since spring ever grieving Russian mother, every inch of regained territory, every Ukrainian who didn't bleed out after being injured all of it rides on a foundation of western support that you helped build. That brings us back to Twittergate. Russia is
going to use it to try and erode that foundation. They want us to turn our backs on our Ukrainian brothers and sisters. We must not! Don't get sucked into it. Simply admit that yes, there was fuckery, lets make sure there is no more fuckery but voters will decide it in 24 at the
polls and we won't refight 2020 at the expense of Ukraine. I say this as a conservative. Keep your eye on the ball. If you really think that a past election is more important than hundreds of thousands of missing kids, tens of thousands of dead and tens of millions living under
Apparently Engel-2 Airbase was hit with at least 2 aircraft damaged. Its likely though not confirmed that the aircraft would be either Tu-160 or T-95 strategic bombers.
Once again some Kremlin staffer has to tell Czar Pooptin that the thing they told him Ukraine couldn't do, they did. So some quick thoughts on the fall out. @wartranslated is already reporting Kleptogradian mil-bloggers are raging.
Threats of nuclear war and doomcasting aside there are four likely moves from Russia. First, consider it a one off and do nothing as too not disrupt the pace of operations. Given how stupid the Russian military is this can't be discounted even if it flies in the face of every
This video shows some amazing Russian efforts at modernize their war fighting. Apparently, they are trying to move from a WWI style infantry-based army to a Winter War style infantry based army. This will be a generational leap in capabilities.
Russia lost WWI and ended up losing Ukraine, Belarus, the Baltics, Poland and several other areas. Things seem to be headed the same direction in 22. Hence the modernization campaign to Winter War Standards where Russia eventually gained Karelia from Finland. Though to honest
I am not sure the average Russian will be able to tell the difference. I guess I could list out 5 or so differences but given that they can't count since they lost their fingers to frostbite it would be pointless. More seriously though, we see hundreds of men marching in the snow
America we have a problem. There is now a ven diagram with 3 circles that are extreme left, extreme right and antisemitism. It does not matter if the anti-semite is some evil white dude motivated by the Turner Diaries or a black nationalist shooting up a Jewish deli its dangerous
and evil. But there are a couple more circles that fit as well. Groups Russia has tried to influence and groups that support Russia in Ukraine. Kim Dotscam was right when he said Ye is done. When you make Alex Jones back up and say whoa, well you've gone straight past the looney
bin and dived into oblivion. But here is the thing, Kim (who has a lot of US followers) didn't say Ye was wrong, only wrong to say the quiet part out loud. Russia is going to make absolute hay with this and claim: Americans think there is something to love about Hitler, and if
Let's talk casualty care. The UMOD has Russian deaths at 90K and if they are still tracking along with Russia's own MOD admissions that got leaked several months ago then this number is at least in the ball park or reality. It certainly squares with the images we see coming from
Bakhmut. Those types of trench based positional fights chew up men. The provision of the M30A1 MLRS rocket certainly won't help Russia stop the bleeding... On the other side there is the (corrected) claim that Ukraine has suffered 100K casualties: dead, wounded, missing, and KIA.
With later speculation that the real numbers are 10K dead and 40K seriously wounded. Now none of those numbers are real but they do offer insights. 90K Russian deaths begs a serious question: how many wounded. The traditional ratio of dead to wounded was 1:3. I think that might
Why Bakhmut? Its a common question as people try to figure out what Russia hopes to gain from a battle that now resembles a WWI battlefield right down to the mud and unburied bodies. I am going to try and answer that question, or at least pose a reasonable explanation. Firstly
there are 3 battles you never want to fight, though all 3 are very common in military history. 1. The battle your enemy wants you to fight. 2. The battle where your enemy is. 3. The battle you have to win. All 3 require you to give up valuable tools like the initiative, room to
maneuver, and time. For the Russians Bakhmut has become all 3. The battle started for rather simple reasons. After the Russian breakthrough at Popasnaya Bakhmut was simply the next blocking position taken up by the Ukrainians. Thats where the enemy (of the Russians) was so that
Good morning everyone. Today is Giving Tuesday! I jumped the gun a little bit last night (it was already Tuesday in Kyiv) to take advantage of Cyber Monday (in Arkansas) to send an IFAK to @UkraineAidOps. I am asking my readers to give something today to some organization that is
hate, we can send love and defiance. At this point just about every trooper in the Ukrainian Army has something from the West. From government supplied aid to little "care packages" from people like us that could be a chest carrier, IFAK or radio. The Ukrainian people know there