Thread by @NLwartracker

Small 🧵 about the attack probably by a suicide drone @ engels AFB, near Saratov, Russia. Facts we know are an attack on the AFB happend at 12-05 @ 06.00, which is exactly the right time to strike such a target, between 6 & 7 in the morning, AD crews would normally be changing

Shifts around this time, which would definitly means a well planned operation, distance to the target assuming it was launched somewhere in the Kharkiv region would be +- 700KM. Indications are a TU-141 drone might have been used which would mean a flight time of approx. 1 hour.

🧵 by @Euan_MacDonald ⬇️ confirms the speed matches with a TU-141 drone, which could have been adapted by 🇺🇦 to be gps guided onto its target, and fitted with a 75 kg warhead, also possible is it might have been fitted with a downed 🇷🇺 planes transponder

https://twitter.com/Euan_MacDonald/status/1599667237937623041?t=Z3YyLzhLBrjOsSkw6rdK9Q&s=19

To fool 🇷🇺 airdefense systems, which could partly explain why there was no reaction by 🇷🇺 airdefenses during the long flight over 🇷🇺 airspace. Tu-141 drone has a length of 14m and wingspan of 3.88 meter and would show up on any radar system operated by 🇷🇺 forces.

Satellite imagery from 4 dec. shows a large presence of long range bombers out in the open in front of the main building being prepared possibly for another strike against Ukraine. As can be seen in the no dark spot can be observed on the tarmac where the planes are parked.

On imagery from the 5th of dec. @ 07:32 however black area's can be seen on the tarmac, these can either be burn marks or oil spillage IMO, also it looks like the wing on one of the aircraft has shifted in a wierd way. All of these are indications of where the impact might have

Taken place & what damaged might have been caused, however we will have to wait till higher resolution imagery will be available to do a proper BDA.

#EngelsAirBase #OSINT #UkraineWar #SlavaUkraïni

@DefMon3 @ArtisanalAPT @vcdgf555 @GeoConfirmed @Tatarigami_UA @Euan_MacDonald