Sean McKnight Profile picture
Dec 14 19 tweets 4 min read
#WhatIf Gregory Watson pushed to pass the Congressional Apportionment Amendment instead of the Congressional Compensation Amendment? (1) #alternatehistory en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Congressi…
In May of 1992, after a decade of spite-fueled lobbying, the final state to ratify the Congressional Apportionment Amendment... and all hell breaks loose.

Like in OTL, many Congressmen are livid that a new amendment has been imposed upon them, and try to block certification. (2)
On May 18, 1992, the Archivist of the United States, Don W. Wilson, certifies that the amendment's ratification had been completed, despite more legitimate calls that the wording of the amendment is unworkable. (3)
With elections only months away, the ratification of the 27th Amendment creates a minor crisis as constitutional scholars and elected representatives debate how to actually implement it.

Congress kicks the can down the road, requiring redistricting go into effect in 1994. (4)
Despite setting a date, the argument persists over the wording of the amendment with many focusing on the mathematical discrepancies of the last line.

Ultimately Congress passes a law setting representation at 50,000 people per district. It is challenged immediately. (5)
In 1994 there are 4,974 seats in Congress, and the major parties are finding it nigh impossible to control even the most basic elements of local races.

The Supreme Court delays their ruling on the Apportionment Act of 1993 to avoid further chaos. (6)
In 1994, the midterm results are simply insane. There are a little over 2000 representatives from the Democrats and Republicans, 2000 independents, and the rest being a variety of minor parties, most with no presence outside of their home state or even local county. (7)
As Congress struggles to even fit 4,974 people into the House, the Supreme Court rules that while the exact wording of the 27th Amendment makes any number of representatives unconstitutional, the intent of the Amendment is clear, and upholds the 1993 Apportionment Act. (8)
By the time of the SCOTUS ruling, two months have gone by without a House Speaker. Republicans and Democrats have been trying to rope together a governing coalition with the thousands of new representatives without much luck. (9)
President Clinton calls a meeting with party leaders and the Democrats make a plan to form a true coalition government, rather than forcing new members of the House to switch parties. (10)
With a 30 seat majority, the majority coalition is formed in the House, while the Republicans still control the Senate. Clinton will go down as the "Last Democratic President" as the party splinters in the House and new parties form as a part of the Clinton Coalition. (11)
This strange Third Way coalition runs up against an opposition formed by the Republicans with the Libertarians, Populists, and Constitution parties at its core. The Conservative Coalition struggles against the Third Way Coalition for the rest of the 1990s. (12)
After 9/11 the Conservative and Third Way Coalitions (neither of which have official names), dissolve and the Patriot Coalition is formed with 79% of the seats in Congress after 2002. (13)
By 2004 more liberal members would break off to join the Liberal Coalition, while George W. Bush would be the first President to officially run as the "Patriot Coalition" candidate. (14)
In 2006 the Liberal Coalition had dissolved and a new "Main Street" Coalition had taken over the House. The Main Street Coalition was the longest lasting coalition since 1995, and is in many ways a revival of the Third Way coalition. (15)
The MSC's main rival was the resurrected Conservative Coalition. House election are now functionally battles for control of the MSC which retains power through a 2006 rules change that adopted Approval Voting for the election of Speaker. (16)
The Conservative Coalition has taken power three times in the nation's history 2002, 2004, 2010, and 2016. The CC has been losing seats in recent years, as has the MSC as former fringe coalitions gain ground with charismatic new leaders. (17)
The expansion of the house, with now 6,629 representatives has been generally seen as a positive by most Americans. With only 50,000 constituents, constituents have an easier time directly connecting with their representatives... (18)
And demographically the House is much more representative. Over 800 members of the House are black, about 400 are AAPI, and around 70 are Native Americans. Further, ~800 speak Spanish as a primary language. (19)

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More from @YNot_1989

Dec 12
The National Ignition Facility uses Inertial Confinement to achieve nuclear fusion. What that means is that you shoot a 192 laser beams (2.1 megajoules combined) at a thimble full of Hydrogen-3 (Tritium) and Hydrogen-2 (Deuterium.) (1) Image
...In a fraction of a second these gasses become almost 100x denser than lead which initiates fusion, essentially creating an artificial star.

This test, lasted 3.14 femto-seconds. Or 3.14 quadrillionths of a second. In that time it produced 2.5 megajoules of energy. (2)
Now, there are some challenges that still need to be overcome. Firstly, the NIF isn't a powerplant, there's no way for them to actually harness the energy of a fusion reaction. That's partly why the reaction was so brief, the heat had nowhere to go. (3)
Read 5 tweets
Dec 11
Since Artemis I has splashed down, I figured I'd give a no BS assessment from am aerospace industry insider (me) on what comes next for Cislunar exploration.

Either late this year or early next year, Astrobotic will attempt a landing on the moon under a NASA contract... (1)
A second landing was planned to deliver NASA's VIPER rover to the Lunar South Pole in November next year, but that mission required the XL-1 lander built by Masten, who went bankrupt this year. Even if Masten's assets are acquired, a completed XL-1 is unlikely in 2023. (2)
2023 will also not see the DearMoon mission fly. I really don't know anyone who takes that mid-2023 launch date seriously. Odds are Starship will complete an uncrewed orbital test flight sometime next year, but we're 2 years away from putting test pilots on board. (3)
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Oct 10
In honor of #IndigenousPeoplesDay: #WhatIf Columbus never returned alive from the New World? #alternatehistory

POD: 13 February 1493 the Niña and Pinta are smashed upon the rocks of the Azores by the roughest storm of their journey back to Europe... (1)
Like in OTL, the 39 survivors of the Columbus voyage at the colony of La Navidad eventually begin fighting amongst themselves and destroyed their own settlement. 28 survivors remained and became quasi-prisoners of the Cacique of Marién. (2)
The arms and artillery seized by the Cacique of Marién, along with the skills of their captured Europeans, to say nothing of their stock of the horses, pigs, chickens, goats, and cows, would change the world. (3)
Read 16 tweets
Sep 14
Simple enough, the Poles get the drop on the Germans and smash the Wehrmacht in a humiliating defeat before fighting a long, bloody war with the Soviets.

With Germany seemingly declawed, the western Allies throw more money and guns at Poland to turn back the Soviets. (1/8)
In truth, the defeat in Poland does not seriously hamper Germany's ability to make war on other powers, but it severely harmed the perception of Hitler and the Nazi party. With fears of losing power, Goering uses Operation Valkyrie to stage a military coup. (2/8)
The Poles manage to hold off the Soviets thanks to the conflict being reduced to a single front, poor leadership in the Red Army due to the Great Purge, and aid from Britain and France. (3/8)
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Sep 14
Ok, you asked for it: Book 2 will focus on the lead up to the Saratoga Campaign. There will be four main POV arcs... (1/17)
One will follow the Continental Army from the end of a more successful New York-New Jersey Campaign in the Spring of 1777, in which cover and concealment and ambush tactics are used to heavily deplete the British in the middle colonies. (2/17)
This will then transition into a what is mainly a story of preparation for the eventual Saratoga campaign, which will feature the first use of modern technology adapted for the 18th century battlefield. (3/17)
Read 18 tweets
Sep 13
I could not begin to come up with a comprehensive list of all the things I hope we get to see in whatever sequel(s) to "The Crossing" @thewriterike and @BaenBooks are cooking up... but without major spoilers:
1: [BLANK] meeting a 4 year old Sally Hemmings at Monticello and realizing that Thomas Jefferson is kindof a creep.

2: Lafayette getting a crash course in the history of France from 1789 to 1815.

3: A young Oliver Evans learning about locomotives.
4: [BLANK] working with Benjamin Rush to kickstart the sanitary movement and synthesize Insulin for Martha Jefferson.

5: 1777 model year M-16s and steel helmets.

7: von Steuben trying to make integrated fire support work with maybe 10 working radios.
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