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CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
@Ayei_Eloheichem
Dec 18, 2022 • 9 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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🧵 This brilliant NYT report on Putin's cascading catastrofuck in Ukraine is a must-read.

Nothing we didn't know before in some sense, but puts it all in one place and adds a lot of meat to the bones.
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
As I and others have consistently pointed out, nothing that has happened to date has changed Putin's imperial goals, and no amount of losses or sanctions will have an impact in the future: Image
#pt
#pt Thread of threads:
Secondly, the NYT report yet again underlines that Putin believes all his own propaganda, including about Ukrainian Nazis, and ranted about it to then-Israeli PM Bennett in Oct. 2021: Image
Putin truly believes the West will blink first and will stop supporting Ukraine, so none of his political-military fuckups matter in the long run. It's a game of chicken and he's willing to lose a million Russians and destroy Russia until that happens: Image
There is no real opposition to going to fight for Russia, as Zaluzhnyi said last week, despite everything.

Even the mobiks that got fucked up in pointless assaults are happy to be sent back into Ukraine for the sake of the Tsar and Mother Russia:

Image
The US actively tried to protect Gerasimov from Ukraine, because they are clowns.

Image
Putin is absolutely obsessed with his imperial legacy and personal genius, and everything that has happened since 2014 has been his idea alone: ImageImage

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More from @Ayei_Eloheichem

CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Mar 13
Better to be a theoretical nuclear target.

If India and Pakistan can avoid a nuclear exchange, anyone can, and North Korea, e.g., will nuke South Korea (and use biological and chemical weapons) in the event of conflict regardless of the South's possession of nukes.
Nukes aren't a magical answer, but if you've got the infrastructure, know-how, and money, unclear to me why you wouldn't at least become a nuclear threshold state as a theoretical deterrent to nuclear coercion/threats.
Rules are different for nuclear powers, and everybody knows it [Pakistan has been treated with kid gloves for decades despite its behaviour, partially for this reason].
Read 4 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Sep 20, 2024
Oh, this one fucking hurts. Fuck.

Seems the "Georgian Legion" that basically kicked off what became NAFO was a scam, one I promoted and to which I donated and got my friends to donate significant amounts of money.

Should've paid closer attention. Mea culpa 🤦‍♂️💀
🧵👇
Read 5 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Apr 14, 2024
Very Serious People are insisting that Israel's strike on Iran's embassy complex in Syria justifies any military response.

Who am I to disagree with the Very Serious People? Embassies are sacred. Everything is justified.


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The regime in Iran was literally created by attacking the US embassy in 1979 🤡

Here are some other incidents.




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The IRGC's branch in Lebanon was established by...blowing up embassies.


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Read 5 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Oct 16, 2023
.@jonathanchait: "They are treating apologias for Hamas as a factually or logically flawed application of left-wing ideals. I believe...that Hamas defenders are applying their own principles correctly. The problem is the principles themselves."
nymag.com/intelligencer/…
@jonathanchait: "The illiberal left believes treating everybody equally...merely serves to maintain existing structures of power. It follows...that the legitimacy of a tactic can only be assessed with reference to whether it is being used by the oppressor or the oppressed."
@jonathanchait: '“Decolonization”...has a model of the world in which conflicts are analyzed as a struggle pitting settler-colonist-Europeans, who are evil, against native/indigenous/BIPOC people...[It] does not leave room to judge the morality of any methods.' Image
Read 5 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Jun 12, 2023
"Wagner...has also released several horrifying snuff films and images of executions, mutilations and beheadings that would make Islamic State blush."
archive.md/2023.06.12-060…
"RIM and Wagner are the Russian equivalent of...Jaish-e-Mohammad, Lashkar-e-Tayyiba and Hezbollah. The former two are...well-known terrorist fronts created by [Pakistan]...while the latter is essentially the Lebanese branch of Iran’s [IRGC]." aijac.org.au/op-ed/barbaric…
'Australia is not bound by whatever considerations are underlying the [US] reluctance. Home Affairs should act quickly on...Paterson’s letter and demonstrate that Australia sees these NRVE groups for what they are...“horrible terrorist organisations”.'

Read 4 tweets
CasualtiesOfTheDay Profile picture
Jun 11, 2023
14th report of the UN Analytical Support and Sanctions Monitoring Team on ISKP: "At least five new [ISKP training camps] built in 2022. The group has created a network of sleeper cells in the centre of the country...elsewhere [ISKP] operate in cells of 5 to 15 people." ImageImageImage
"There had also been a targeted campaign to recruit TTP members, Uighurs and ethnic Tajik and Uzbek minorities, which prompted reports of [IMU] units secretly pledging allegiance [IS] while remaining under the Taliban umbrella and biding their time."
"Attacks against high-profile Taliban figures raised [ISKP] morale, prevented defections and boosted recruitment, including from within the Taliban’s ranks."

Read 4 tweets

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