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Expound the profound-Cut'n thru bs 1 layer @a time Profile picture
@frankoz95967943
Jan 4, 2023 • 10 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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Crude is $3.24 away from the magic $70/bl to fill the SPR. Image
How did the CB's pull this off?

Look closely.... Image
Zoomed in a little... Image
Adding EURCAD
and zooming in again
#Swap'dee #Swap #swap Image
adding $SVIX
They swap to store energy in currencies, then they unload woop ass on oil to crush it
$SVIX is used as painkiller for markets so they dont feel a thing. Image
Im pretty sure the gamers are fanz of godzilla, eat sushi, and have black hair. Image
And I think this is correlated - i dont understand how, but somethin tells me jPan is scrambling to please Uncle jPow.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
I was sniffin around currencies and saw this....

thats a pretty big move for a country that specializes in cheese with holes.... Image
If i understand this correctly - dxy states
sold US / Canadian bonds every day
(1,2,3,4,5)
THEN SUDDENLY AND ALL AT ONCE
bought every bond they could get their fingers on...and esp during the overnight and 2 sessions post... Image
Zooming out - so you can see just how massive that currency move was...

when u c it.... Image

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More from @frankoz95967943

Expound the profound-Cut'n thru bs 1 layer @a time Profile picture
Dec 21
This is the dxy.

it is not "THE DOLLAR"

DXY is a basket of currencies heavily weighted and skewed towards the EURO.

This is a vix and currency thread.
👇🧵 Image
Here is the vix - notice on the left that as the DXY went up the vix began to follow and was suddenly kneecapped in march 2022?

Thats when UVIX and SVIX were launched.

But everytime the DXY spiked you got a spike in the vix

Verticle dotted lines show a few of them. Image
Enter my calculated vix.

I modeled the vix to see where the vix should be based on yields.

Notice again the detach as of march 2022

1/(BATS:HYG/(BATS:UUP-(1/(TVC:US30Y*5+TVC:US20Y*4+TVC:US10Y*3+TVC:US05Y*2+TVC:US01Y)*100-FX:USDCAD*100)*100/2)*10000) Image
Read 46 tweets
Expound the profound-Cut'n thru bs 1 layer @a time Profile picture
Nov 29
This is a currency thread.

And for many of you, this will answer a LOT of questions....

I am going to start very slow and basic - by the time im done you will be a currency expert.

👇🧵

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply_an…Image
Lets explain this simply.

CocaCola.

CocaCola company produce lots of cocacola expecting holiday demand. They double production.

And lets say the demand didnt materialize - economy bad, people lose jobs or whatever.

What happens to price of cocacola?

It goes down.
Now take the inverse.
Cocacola - UNDERPRODUCES - expecting holiday demand to be very low so the market is UNDERSUPPLIED with cocacola.

But government decide to give everyone free digital money that can only be spent on cocacola.

What happen to demand? Explode higher.
Price moon.
Read 55 tweets
Expound the profound-Cut'n thru bs 1 layer @a time Profile picture
Nov 24
This is my cat.

This is a financial thread.

"Oz - then why are you leading with a picture of your cat?"

Cause her belief system is exactly like that of the USD and the US government - she thinks she is the center of the universe and everything revolves around her...

👇🧵 Image
Oil going up in price is deflationary - if people are spending all their money on fuel, they arent buying anything else.

But US is an oil producer - the biggest oil producer on the planet right now actually....and everyone - especially europe - needs it.
After poot invaded ukraine, US set in motion price controls + money printing to fight that deflationary force.

It was a plan that biden and G7 hoped would end the war quickly, starve russia of revenue, and G7 would come out on top.
Read 30 tweets
Expound the profound-Cut'n thru bs 1 layer @a time Profile picture
Nov 24
As ya'll shop in the American capitalist system that's better than every other system, yet, can't seem to produce a reliable supply of eggs...and when they are available, they are hyper expensive...

It is 1USD = 25000 vnd.

Here's Vietnam and a few prices of other things:
🧵👇 Image
Those eggs are $2 USD per dozen.

Tooth paste $2 Image
Cococola $0.95 Image
Read 10 tweets
Expound the profound-Cut'n thru bs 1 layer @a time Profile picture
Nov 7
A lot of people dont remember this or its implications...

👇🧵sidley.com/en/insights/ne…
Because like any instrument, treasuries can be gamed....
reuters.com/business/finan…
reuters.com/legal/ten-big-…
Read 51 tweets
Expound the profound-Cut'n thru bs 1 layer @a time Profile picture
Nov 6
Last night was interesting - the planners used the cover of trumps election to rebalance global currencies.

Here is the vix.
🧵👇 Image
Heres foreign oil producing currencies - on this chart purple line going up?
It means foreign currencies got STRONGER.

But heres the deal - ya, they produce oil, but thats not the only trade that goes on.

And the g7 planners need to keep some level of parity to otther currenciesImage
Thats the Euro-pee; notice that move

They weakened the F out of their currency.

For the Euro-P to weaken like this one of 2 things need to happen:
1) Someone bought a f tone of euro-pee debt
or
2) They printed a F ton of money Image
Read 12 tweets

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