Crude is $3.24 away from the magic $70/bl to fill the SPR. Image
How did the CB's pull this off?

Look closely.... Image
Zoomed in a little... Image
Adding EURCAD
and zooming in again
#Swap'dee #Swap #swap Image
adding $SVIX
They swap to store energy in currencies, then they unload woop ass on oil to crush it
$SVIX is used as painkiller for markets so they dont feel a thing. Image
Im pretty sure the gamers are fanz of godzilla, eat sushi, and have black hair. Image
And I think this is correlated - i dont understand how, but somethin tells me jPan is scrambling to please Uncle jPow.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
I was sniffin around currencies and saw this....

thats a pretty big move for a country that specializes in cheese with holes.... Image
If i understand this correctly - dxy states
sold US / Canadian bonds every day
(1,2,3,4,5)
THEN SUDDENLY AND ALL AT ONCE
bought every bond they could get their fingers on...and esp during the overnight and 2 sessions post... Image
Zooming out - so you can see just how massive that currency move was...

when u c it.... Image

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More from @frankoz95967943

Jan 7
Basic options 101

I will be building on this - if you already know options basics, you can skip all this.

🧵👇
1 option refers to 100 of the underlying instrument.

If you buy 1 call, thats the right - but not the obligation - to buy 100 shares of the underlying instrument.

Options pricing is x100 - if the option is trading at $0.50, and you want to by 1 contract, thats 50$ per contract.
Buy Calls - you have the right to go long the instrument
Buy Puts - you have the right to go short the instrument

Every option has the concept of theta decay.

Over time, the option typically loses value, especially far out of the money (OOM) options.

Theta decay charted: Image
Read 34 tweets
Jan 6
If you trade options - this is why you do theta neutral spreads.

I cant jump as fast as these markets - pick a long term trend set direction of delta and sit back and relax

Daytrading is now reserved for computers.

Will talk more about it this weekend. Image
Step back and look....
The blue line is $SQQQ

i added bollinger bands

it is on an up trend, so ud go long here is my guess

WITH A SPREAD (ONLY!)

But look how fast that sht can change (1)

This is why u do spreads Image
Zoomed in today - look at that drop!

I have spreads - my account yawned (up actually, even weighted in sq's) Image
Read 10 tweets
Jan 5
Ive done ya'll a horribe disservice - ima gun try to fix that.

#BONDS and #CURRENCIES thread.

I hope this helps.

🧵👇 Image
jPan by far is the biggest holder of USA debt.
ticdata.treasury.gov/Publish/mfh.txt

yes other central banks can buy each others dog doo. Image
But central banks can also buy their OWN dog doo

When a CB buys its own dog doo its called "quantative easing" or QE
federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/2… Image
Read 22 tweets
Jan 4
Lets talk about todays trading session.

I counted 3 swaps.

THREE!

🧵 Image
Next the correlation btw the SQQQ and eur.

On this graph, when EUR goes down, the dollar gets stronger.

A stronger dollar means indexes get crushed (so SQQQ rises)

The opposite is also true - i've inverted $SQQQ so u can see correlation.

Things got wonky midday.

Why? Image
Ive added svix (1) and global bonds(2)

Currencies had nothing to do w/market moves at EOD
Neither did bonds.

See if you can spot what moved shit around after 1pm.

Literally - by the nose hairs. Image
Read 4 tweets
Dec 27, 2022
So why is $SQQQ so broken?
Is it the 2y?
nope
What about EUR?
nope
Read 4 tweets
Dec 27, 2022
markets are led around by VIX nose hairs.

Interest rates skyrocketing?

Who cares!

Vix is down so buy stonks.
This (1) should cause this (2) to do this (3).
But it isnt - cause of this (4)

Command something

SVIX is the tool they use to cover up/for their massive interest rate rise and make stonks think everything is ok.

I hate that it works...
The other shtfukery tool in their box is to play with currencies.

see, when USDEUR is STRONGER, it means USD is weaker.

Weaker usd? stonks moon REGARDLESS of higher interest rates....

then in the overnight they slam currencies in reverse, prolly thru SVIX swap mechanism
Read 4 tweets

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