Thread by @ektrit

COMMODITY BOOM

Folks, let me explain something to you.

First, thanks to @nntaleb , after reading Incerto, I have forced myself to think always in a NON linear way.

PLEASE, STOP THINKING IN A LINEAR WAY.

1/

So, what does commodity boom mean?

It means that commodity prices shoot high, too high. That sounds good if you think in a linear way.

Now, let's think how it works in reality, NON LINEAR.

2/

Commodity boom = Very High Commodity prices = Very high Shortage of Commodities = break down of supply chains = economic collapse.

THIS IS NON LINEAR THINKING.

Commodity Boom NEVER happens, never ever.

3/

Because, it leads to war. You don't TRADE in war, you just go to war to obtain commodities.

So, please folks, when you hear "commodity boom", think WAR, think DEATH, think MISERY.

PLEASE GOD DON'T ALLOW A COMMODITY BOOM!

4/end

#krisonomics