1/ The Russian army is planning to deal more harshly with dissent and indiscipline from mobilised soldiers by establishing military prisons at bases where the mobilised are being trained and accommodated. ⬇️
2/ Russia's Central Military District has instructed training units to establish detention facilities for personnel who are being disciplined. The move is in response to a request from State Duma deputy Maksim Ivanov, an ex-GRU member, who has taken a hard line on discipline.
3/ As the 7x7 Horizontal Russia Telegram channel reports, in December Ivanov wrote to the Central Military District demanding that it lock up "those mobilized military personnel who "sow discord or behave in an impertinent manner".
4/ On his own Telegram channel, Ivanov writes that "for every hundred honest and decent mobilisers there will always be one figure who sows confusion or behaves in an unconventional manner. They should be put under lock and key."
5/ Ivanov previously highlighted several alcohol-related deaths at the Elani training centre and complained that "the problem of drinking alcohol in the training center has not been resolved." He campaigned to get the sale of alcohol banned near the base.
6/ He blamed "30 year olds who are 'mama's boys' and 'wimps' who are just like women. Infantile, slack-jawed, arrogant freeloaders who only give-give-give, booze and party, but when they take responsibility they go straight to the bushes. Fake men. They're in the minority.
7/ "But they're the noisiest. And they bring confusion."
Ivanov announced that discipline at Elani was being stepped up in response, and that "there will be no more babysitting."
8/ He also sees harsher discipline as the answer to problems at the front line. In November 2022, mobilised men from Irbit left the front because, as they told their wives, they were "abandoned without food, water or command" and risked dying of hunger.
9/ Ivanov reacted angrily, claiming that the men had got drunk and staged an attack before they abandoned their weapons, equipment and positions, and left 500 metres of the front line unguarded, putting their comrades elsewhere at risk.
10/ "I believe this is desertion and betrayal", he wrote, describing them as 'traitors'. "It should be dealt with severely. If this had happened in the early 90s in our GRU Special Forces brigade, they would have had their own heads twisted off for such 'performances'.
11/ "So much for these 'warriors'. Instead of solving problems themselves, man-to-man, they hid behind their wives' skirts."
The men were reportedly disciplined and sent back to the front line.
12/ It remains to be seen whether such measures will make much difference to problems at the front line, which are clearly more the result of bad logistics and non-existent leadership than poor discipline (see the thread below for an example).
13/ The reintroduction of military prisons on Russian bases will for now be confined to the Central Military District, but it wouldn't be surprising if the Russian army also decided to establish formal detention facilities in occupied Ukraine.
14/ Up to now, the army has been illegally throwing retreating mobiks into improvised prisons in basements and cellars, as the thread below illustrates. Recent reports have suggested that most of those so imprisoned have been released.
15/ The army has likely been embarrassed by the complaints of soldiers and their relatives about their illegal detentions, which have been widely publicised. The establishment of military prisons may be the first step towards regularising military detentions. /end
2/ "The women ask the local authorities to remove their men from the combat zone. The mobilised men themselves, they said, are now being scattered among different units so that they cannot fight for their rights."
3/ This seems to be the current method of dealing with discontent among the mobilised – split them up and redistribute them individually to other front line units so that they are no longer able to act as a group. /end
(h/t @wartranslated)
1/ Wagner has held a memorial ceremony for Tarimo Nemes Raymond, a Tanzanian student imprisoned in Russia who was killed fighting for Wagner at Bakhmut in October 2022. He is the second African known to have died for Wagner in the Ukraine war. ⬇️
2/ According to the 'Wagner Cargo 200' channel, Tarimo Nemes Raymond initially came to Russia in 2018 with the International Volunteer Forum. He's still listed as a volunteer on the dobru.ru website, with a registration date of 28 September 2018.
3/ Tanzanian sources say that Raymond was a senior member of Tanzania's second-largest political party, the Party for Democracy and Progress (Chadema), and stood unsuccessfully for election to Tanzania's parliament in 2020.
1/ Recent reports have suggested that the Wagner Group has suffered huge casualties among the convicts it has mobilised from penal colonies across Russia. One small illustration of this, according to the VChK-OGPU Telegram channel:
2/ "A source of VChK-OGPU said that out of 270 convicts of one of the Bashkir colonies recruited by the Wagner PMC, 30 people are still alive. "This figure quite accurately reflects the number of losses of convicts – just over 10 per cent survive," the source said."
3/ Meanwhile, Wagner head Yevgeny Prigozhin has published a video showing him congratulating surviving convicts for enduring "blood, earth, shit and sugar" and completing their contracts and getting pardons. In the video, Prigozhin says:
1/ Mobilised Russians from Novosibirsk say they have been sent to the front line without food, winter clothing or enough boots, have to buy their own provisions and have been told that if they want weapons they must take them from the Ukrainians. ⬇️
2/ A few days ago, @wartranslated published the video below showing the men complaining about their conditions. Now the independent Russian media outlet Important Stories (iStories) has interviewed one of them.
3/ The unnamed soldier says that he and his comrades are living "like homeless people", barely surviving in terrible conditions on the front line under constant bombardment. Despite this, they are falsely listed as being stationed in the safer 'green zone' in a rear area.
1/ The identity of the Wagner commander at Soledar has been uncovered: he has been identified as a former soldier named Anton Olegovich Elizarov, who was convicted of fraud in 2014. Meanwhile, Wagner head Yevgeny Prigozhin is reported to now be in a difficult position. ⬇️
2/ The Dossier Centre, an organisation founded by Russian dissident Mikhail Khodorkovsky to expose high-level Russian corruption, says it has identified the man who appeared with Prigozhin in a 14 January video (see thread below).
1/ There are increasing signs of an imminent second wave of mobilisation in Russia, according to independent Russian media. The independent outlet Verstka says there are "numerous indications that mobilisation may start at any moment". ⬇️
2/ According to Verstka, "military registration and enlistment offices continue to send out summonses, and in Moscow, a group of specialists who helped the Moscow mayor's office to handle cases of illegal drafts is on 'combat readiness'".
3/ Utility workers are reported to be preparing to deliver mobilisation notices and, according to a source, have been banned from taking holidays in January and February.