1/11 thread on the changed logistics of the ๐ท๐บ forces in S-Kherson after the retreat. unloading/storing of ammo within HIMARS range was prohibited by Surovikin. causing them to abbandon HUB's like Myrne (hit nov. 11th) & Chaplynka (heli base & c2 centre) animation by @bradyafrtwitter.com/i/web/status/1โฆ
2/11 This so-called 100 km rule made them look for alternatives, because of their dependance on railtransport their options in S-Kherson were limited to towns along the Crimea-Melitopol railway lines, which enters Ukraine at Chonhar.Along this line only 4 towns had the facilities
3/11 to function as large supply Hubs. Novooleksiivka (which also connects with rail to Henichesk), Rykove, Sokolohirne and Yakimivka in Zaporizhia. Novooleksiivka as first town on the line also has a important road connection to Nova Khakova & rail connection to Heniche'sk.
4/11 the first indications Novooleksiivka was used as railway hub were images posted by @bayraktar_1love on 16 okt. Which were geolocated to the trainstation & showed troops & trucks at the trainstation. However due to deteriorating weather conditions no sat. imagery
5/11 was available till the first week of Jan. However on low-res imagery, large defensive works around all of these towns could be seen. On the Hi-res imagery a large number of military trucks unloading box & fuel cars can be seen, also a number of dumptrucks can be seen
6/11 most likely loading building materials for the defensive works still being build by ๐ท๐บ forces. To still be able to supply the frontlines, a supply hub for trucks was established just 25 km's north in the town of Novotroit'ske multiple warehouses along the road are used
7/11 to store ammunitions & other critical supplies before being transported toward the frontlines along the Dnipro river. My big friend @Tatarigami_UA has a very nice post about the next town on this railway line Sokolohirne, so give him a follow ๐
8/11 as can be seen on the map below,Russian forces are intentionally placing their C2 & logistics hubs just outside of HIMARS range,giving ๐บ๐ฆ longer range cap. would stretch the ๐ท๐บ supply lines further and create grave problems in their supply chain & lead to defeat in Kherson.
9/11 If you liked this ๐งต consider donating ๐ฐ imagery is very expensive. Your donations are very much appreciated ๐ you can buy us some ๐ฐ images using the link below ๐
i have been monitoring the EW units in Kursk oblast and mainly the border region with extreme interest the last 6-9 months, drone defense exsisted of a number of Pole-21 gnss jamming stations placed strategically in border towns, complemented with Zithel-R331 mobile jamming
Units, which would not only jam but also record used frequencies by Ukrainian forces in these area's. These pole-21 systems would be mainly placed in cellphone or other comms masts, spaced about 5 km. apart. Thus creating a sort of overlapping wall of jamming.
In addition to this a number listening posts was established along the border area of the sumy and Kharkiv oblasts. All of these russian EW measures where under the responsability of the 16th EW brigade, which are based in Kursk.
Credible sources within the Ukrainian army and russian sources, are reporting the displacement of units of the 76th Guards Air Assault Division from the Kreminna/Svatove area to the harbor city of Berdyansk. Indications are at least 2 regiments have moved.
The 234th Guards Air Assault and 237th Guards Air Assault Regiments , who had been stationed between Kreminna and Svatove, with a command centre located in Milutavka, which is near the city of Svatove.
234th regiment is know for its involvement in the Bucha massacre both regiments suffered heavy losses in the war in Ukraine and have been replenished with Mobiks who had short training in camps just across the border in Russia (Rovenki) and near Nhyznoteple in Luhansk
1/3 Recently large numbers of tanks in the Pervomaiske area have been destroyed, also video's came out showing large numbers of assault forces (So-called SHO units) who surrender to ๐บ๐ฆ forces.Another indication something was up in this area, the increased nr. of ๐บ๐ฆ drone attacks
2/3 This could indicate part of the ๐ท๐บ defensive lines around this part of the front might be weaker around Pervomais'ke then other parts, most likely also because units from this part were moved to support the 3rd army on the south flank of Bakhmut.
3/3 Today we learned that ๐ท๐บ forces blew up the dam in the town of Karlivka, this dam not only holds the water in the Karlovska reservoir, but also a bridge on the E50 road toward Pervomais'ke, which is a main supply route for ๐บ๐ฆ forces in the area.
1/3 Reliable sources on the ground near Soledar are reporting ๐ท๐บ sapper units possible from 107th Seperate Guards Engineer-Sapper battalion, are activly mining roads leading out of Soledar. Several crossroads and fields have been mined with 100's of AT-62M mines.
2/3 This in it self can mean different things, either Russian & Wagner forces are preparing a retreat to more favourable defensive positions outside Soledar, or Russian forces are setting up obstacles to prevent the retreat of the Wagner forces stationed in Soledar.
3/3 In case of retreat of all forces from Soledar, the possibility is that they would fall back all the way to the defensive positions build a few months ago west of Popasna on the border between Luhansk & Donetsk. Time will tell when Soledar is liberated by ๐บ๐ฆ. #SlavaUkraรฏni
1/6 Elements of the 10th Tank regiment part of the newly formed 3rd ๐ท๐บ army corps, arrived around 13th of may in the area of the town of Odradivka (48.494300,38.014800). They had previously been deployed near Avdiivka, were they were involved a multiple failed frontal assaults
2/6 In which they suffered serious losses including most of their tanks and IFV's. They had been regrouping near the town of Lysychansk and seems to have been re-plenished with new mobik recruits from all over Russia but mostly recruits from Buryatia.
3/6 Their arrival in the area south of Bakhmut is likely an attempt to stop Ukrainian advances in this area.The unit took up positions along the T0513 road between Odradivka and Optyne. Almost immediatly after their arrival shelling and drone attacks by ๐บ๐ฆ forces took their toll.
1/15 I have been working on unraveling the ๐ท๐บ logistics networks in the Luhansk area since the beginning of jan. When different geolocated videos showed convoy's of armoured vehicles moving towards the frontlines in Luhansk & Donetsk
2/15 These convoy's peaked my interest, and since the ๐ท๐บ logistics machine heavily relies on railway, the most obvious place to start is at the railway hubs it still can use in Luhansk. There are only a handfull which suits the need of the ๐ท๐บ forces & are outside of HIMARS reach
3/15 in S Luhansk the railway route between the towns of Dovzhansk(Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky, has 4 stops that would be out of HIMARS reach, but only two of those are connected with the highways into Luhansk city and onto the frontlines.These are Dovzhansk (Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky