Michael McCaul, the new chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee in the US House of Representatives said on Sunday that the odds of conflict with #China over #Taiwan “are very high." aljazeera.com/news/2023/1/29…
He was commenting on a memo dated February 1 but released on Friday, in which General Mike Minihan, who heads the Air Mobility Command, wrote to the leadership of its roughly 110,000 members saying: “My gut tells me we will fight in 2025.”
If China failed to take control of Taiwan bloodlessly then “they are going to look at a military invasion in my judgement. We have to be prepared for this”, McCaul said.
“The odds are very high that we could see a conflict with China and Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific,” McCaul said.
On the other hand, Representative Adam Smith, the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, said he disagreed with Minihan’s assessment.
Smith told Fox News Sunday that war with China is “not only not inevitable, it is highly unlikely. We have a very dangerous situation in China. But I think generals need to be very cautious about saying we’re going to war, it’s inevitable”.
The United States needs to be in a position to deter China from military action against Taiwan, “but I’m fully confident we can avoid that conflict if we take the right approach”, Smith said.
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