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Jan 30 20 tweets 6 min read
1/ If Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine had succeeded in 2022, Ukraine's industries would have been seized and taken over by Russian oligarchs. A leaked document shows that oligarch Konstantin Malofeev intended to create a 'DMZ Concern' from Ukraine's largest plants. ⬇️
2/ Malofeev is a billionaire who is a close supporter of Vladimir Putin and an aggressive promotor of religious conservatism. He's an overt monarchist who reportedly sees Putin as a new Tsar, and has links with far-right parties and individuals in Europe and the US.
3/ The EU, US and Canada have sanctioned Malofeev for trying to destabilise Ukraine and finance separatism. He's closely linked to pro-Russian separatists and was the former employer of Igor Girkin. He's been accused of funding radical nationalist movements across Europe.
4/ The DMZ Concern document, a presentation possibly dated 30 May 2022, was published recently by the VChK-OGPU Telegram channel. It sets out a business plan for the "expansion of production assets based on the results of the Special Military Operation".
5/ The first slide shows what appears to be the intended territorial division of a defeated Ukraine, with the whole of Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, Mykolaiv and Odesa oblasts – up to the Moldovan and Romanian borders – under Russian control.
6/ This would have stripped Ukraine of its entire coastline, all its ports and much of its heavy industry, hydroelectric and mineral resources. It would have become an economically devastated and landlocked rump state, likely under the control of a pro-Russian puppet government.
7/ Slide 2 describes the 'DMZ concern' as a vastly expanded version of the existing Donetsk Metallurgical Plant (DMZ) company, which operates mines and other industrial enterprises in the 'Donetsk People's Republic'. It states a goal of achieving:
8/ "consolidation of existing financial, economic, technical and market opportunities of enterprises of key industries in the liberated territories of the DPR, LPR and Kherson, Zaporizhzhia regions, which form the [economic] basis of the south-east region of the former Ukraine."
9/ After listing DMZ's existing holdings on slide 4 (#3 is missing), slide 5 of the plan lists "enterprises located in the liberated territories [that] are possible [candidates] for integration" with DMZ. They include some of Europe's largest mining and mineral processing plants.
10/ These include the Marganets Mining and Processing plant and the Nikopol Ferroalloy plant (both in Dnipropetrovsk oblast), the Zaporizhstal steel plant in Zaporizhzhia oblast and others. Slide 7 discusses a number of additional Ukrainian factories being considered for seizure.
11/ Slides 5.1 and 5.2 indicate that this was not just a theoretical exercise – the plan was already well advanced. Legal work had been done and management agreements had been signed as part of a three-stage plan to be carried out through 2022–2027.
12/ Interestingly, slide 5.3 lists among various business and growth goals for the 2023–2027 period an objective of achieving "Entry into the markets of friendly and sub-allied countries of Eurasian Economic Union, Middle East (Iran, Syria), South-East Asia, Turkey and Africa."
13/ The plan sets out a goal of aligning the DMZ Concern with a "strategic partner" (presumably Russian) and inclusion of its enterprises in "the state programmes of the Russian Federation." It also raises the possible takeover of Odesa port to serve DMZ.
14/ The end result, anticipated on slide 8, is the "reactivation of cooperation and activities of enterprises in the key sectors of the liberated territories of the DPR, LPR and south-eastern Ukraine…
15/ …in the form of a cumulative increase in annual financial indicators from RUR 70 billion [$990 million] (data for 2021) to RUR 220 billion [$3.1 billion] by 2024." This would achieve the "creation of a major enterprise in the interests of the Russian Federation."
16/ The slide indirectly acknowledges the impact of the DNR's large-scale mobilisation of fighting-age men, most of whom are now likely dead, by describing a goal of the "preservation of 8,616 jobs (excluding those mobilized)". It anticipates having over 16,000 workers by 2024.
17/ The plan doesn't specify where the extra workers would come from, but it's likely that – as has happened in Crimea – large numbers of people would be relocated from Russia to repopulate Ukraine's south-east, replacing the Ukrainians who have fled or been deported from there.
18/ Needless to say, the Ukrainian owners of the seized enterprises would not have received a kopek in compensation. With their collective value of billions of dollars, Malofeev was planning arguably the biggest heist in history – though it's now hopefully been thwarted. /end
19/ Sources:
🔹 t.me/vchkogpu/36113
🔹 t.me/vchkogpu/36132

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jan 31
1/ As the likelihood of a new Russian mobilisation wave increases, corrupt Russian officials are reportedly offering a new service for a fee: making sure that your personnel file gets 'lost' at the military enlistment office. No file, no mobilisation for you! (in theory). ⬇️ Image
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel says that a "new unofficial service" has appeared: "Outside Moscow, the service to simply "lose" a personnel file at the military enlistment office costs around 400,000 rubles ($5,666). In the capital, the price tag is higher."
3/ Russia's military bureaucracy is still, even now, largely paper-based, which is why there have been so many arson fires at enlistment offices – the culprits hope to destroy the paper records they hold.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 31
1/ Civilian workers sent from Russia to carry out construction tasks in occupied parts of Ukraine – many of them migrants from central Asia and Africa – complain that they are living in poor conditions, aren't being paid what they were promised, and were lured by 'deceit'. ⬇️ Image
2/ Over the past few months, Russian companies have been bringing large numbers of workers into eastern and southern Ukraine, supposedly to carry out repair work on civilian facilities but in reality to dig trenches and other defences. Now they're complaining publicly.
3/ As the independent Russian SOTA Telegram channel reports, Russia has been carrying out a 'Special Infrastructure Project' alongside its Special Military Operation in Ukraine. The Russian Ministry of Construction has established a department to oversee it.
Read 13 tweets
Jan 29
1/ The war in Ukraine is coming home to Russia in the form of a major upsurge in violent crime involving firearms and explosives, and the smuggling of weapons into Russia by serving soldiers. ⬇️
2/ Russian government statistics, reported by the independent Russian media outlet Verstka, show that the number of crimes involving explosives are have doubled in a year while those involving firearms have increased by more than a third. Verstka reports:
3/ "Weapons, ammunition, explosives, explosive substances and imitation devices were used illegally 5,546 times in Russia during the first 11 months of 2022. This is a significant increase over the past seven years.
Read 17 tweets
Jan 29
1/ More signs are emerging of preparations for a forthcoming new wave of mobilisation in Russia, including the introduction of 'exit visas' for vehicles leaving the country and the compulsory registration of university students for military service. ⬇️
2/ The practice of requiring people to have an exit visa to leave Russia was abandoned after the fall of the USSR. However, it's effectively being reintroduced by the back door, by a new law that has been introduced into the State Duma. It will take effect from 1 March.
3/ The proposed law requires anyone resident in Russia to pre-book the date and time for crossing the state border in a vehicle, supposedly to improve the "throughput of international automobile checkpoints."
Read 11 tweets
Jan 28
1/ Russia's 392nd Rifle Regiment, last seen complaining about its flooded ice-filled trenches two weeks ago, is reportedly in a deplorable state: mass drunkenness, fights between the men and even a covered-up murder in a quarrel over a sleeping bag. ⬇️
2/ A soldier serving with the regiment has told the 'Caution, News' Telegram channel that the man who filmed the video above was subsequently thrown in a pit by his superiors and then taken out of Ukraine. He and his wife are now both facing criminal charges.
3/ The soldier says his unit is wracked by drunkenness, which he says is "thriving among the personnel". They are taking their lead from their commander, who is himself regularly drunk and beats his men.
Read 9 tweets
Jan 28
1/ Officers are reportedly shooting at the feet of mobilised Russians to force them to sign new contracts 'volunteering' for service in assault units. According to relatives, their regiment is one of many to have recently been broken up and the men reassigned to other units. ⬇️
2/ The men, who are from the Vladimir region east of Moscow, are likely to be serving in the forests around Svatove. They were reportedly forced to flee from incomplete defensive positions under heavy Ukrainian shelling last November.
3/ According to relatives at that time, "the mobilised did not have special military equipment and military equipment, including reconnaissance equipment.
Read 12 tweets

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