Today's urgent and emergency care recovery plan - a quick🧵
TLDR: Pragmatic set of measures to improve flow and ease UEC pressures, but underpowered and too focused on finding short-term fixes for long-term problems
UEC plan wants to see:
🚨76% in 4 hours in A&E by Mar 2023
🚨Ave 30 min C2 ambulance response in 2023/24
Is this really "one of the fastest and longest sustained improvements in emergency waiting times in the NHS's history"?
Yes, but only because performance has fallen so far
Does the recovery plan offer credible solutions?
Diagnosis of the problem is broadly right and there's a welcome focus on the wider causes of UEC pressures, not just core ambulance and A&E performance.
Some new measures, but others are existing commitments
E.g. new ambulances, SDEC, mental health support, rapid community response etc... all from #NHSLongTermPlan
Good steps, but hardly a step change - especially with shortages of workforce and capacity in NHS and social care
New commitments to boosting hospital and community capacity are welcome
But, longer term, caring for ageing population and getting bed occupancy down will need even more acute capacity plus corresponding increase in non-acute and social care capacity
The underlying causes of this crisis reflect political decisions over many years
A long-term approach to recovery is needed. This includes expanding social care, plans for staff recruitment and retention and sufficient funding - all still missing
/End
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Started in health policy 22 years ago. Been working with these stats on & off for 15 years - mainly on. I cannot remember a worse time for urgent & emergency care.
This is about much more than cold weather, flu, COVID or strikes. Short🧵
More people are going to A&E but that's largely been driven by attendances at minor injuries.
The bigger problem is the growth in emergency admissions, which suggests more patients with more severe or complex needs: health.org.uk/publications/e…
/3