Relearning Economics Profile picture
Feb 5, 2023 13 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Bonds always finance government spending, which is beyond what the balance is in the "Treasury Account" at the Central Bank. Governments DO NOT create reserves, and Governments DO NOT create deposits. #Page1 #MMT
Let’s start with the assumption that the Gov wants to spend $60 billion, but the treasury account only has a $50 billion balance in it. I will also assume by law the treasury account cannot go negative to adhere to some self-imposed law. #Page2
To address this issue the Treasury will “create bonds” to cover the shortfall in the treasury account. Gov only creates IOUs. The first issue is there is not enough reserves in the banking sector to buy the bonds. #Page3
From the Central Banks' perspective, only they can mark up and down reserve and treasury accounts held at the CB. This is the set of initial conditions I created for this illustration. #Page4
Banks must maintain a reasonable amounts of reserves in the system to continue settling within the inter-bank market and purchase new treasury bonds, the CB comes in and buys existing bonds held by banks in exchange for reserves. #Page5
As you can see the CB has created reserves now sitting in reserve accounts in the Banking sector, in exchange for bonds already held by banks. This is and asset swap for banks. #Page6
From the Treasuries perspective, a liability swap happens, bonds switch hands between banks and the CB. There are changes in interest flow dynamics, but I will not cover that here as it is outside of the scope of this illustration. #Page7
Now that the banking sector has the reserves to purchase new treasury bonds, the treasury now “creates” and auctions bonds of to the banking sector. This increases the “Treasury Account” and increases total bonds. #Page8
The Central Bank facilitates this transaction as a liability swap between the Reserve accounts held by banks and the treasury account. #Page9
The banking sector now gets to hold assets in the form of bonds that earn higher rates of interest than reserves. There was even a time that the Central Banks in most countries did not pay interest on reserves held by banks. #Page10
The Government can now spend, and the Central Bank facilitates this via a liability swap between the treasury account and appropriate reserve accounts held by banks. #Page11
Now the banking sector “creates” deposits in the private sector by marking up the correct deposit accounts where the government spending was directed. This liability is balanced by the increase in reserves. #Page12
Governments creates bonds, Central Banks create reserves, and Banks create deposits. The CB completes operations separate from treasury functions, and they should never be aggregated together. This all still confirms STABs

The End... #Page13

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More from @RelearningEcon

Nov 29, 2025
Neoclassical economists love saying critics don't understand equilibrium.

But the irony is this the more they explain equilibrium, the clearer it becomes that the concept has been stretched so far it barely means anything anymore.

Allow me to explain 👇
🧵1/15 Image
They say: Equilibrium isn't stable, it can explode.

If your equilibrium can be unstable, fragile, or blow up… then what exactly is equalised or balanced?

Redefining equilibrium to include instability strips the term of the meaning it has in every other science.
🧵2/15
They say: Equilibrium doesn't imply efficiency.

Sure, in theory.

In practice, mainstream teaching links equilibrium and optimality everywhere: welfare theorems, intertemporal optimization, competitive markets.

They deny the link while building their models on it.
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Read 15 tweets
Nov 24, 2025
🚨 My new working paper out today

I propose a post-Keynesian, system-dynamics alternative to the New Keynesian DSGE model, one that produces business cycles and financial instability endogenously, without rational expectations or microfoundations.


🧵1/8 dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5…Image
DSGE models boil the entire economy down to 3 equations:
• IS (Euler equation)
• NK Phillips Curve
• Taylor Rule

But these rest on assumptions that simply don’t exist.
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In this paper, I build a continuous-time, nonlinear, stock–flow-consistent framework that yields its own post-Keynesian 3-equation core:

-Demand–utilization dynamics
-Kalecki–Phillips inflation dynamics
-Adaptive monetary rule
-optional 4th: Minskyan private-debt dynamics
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Read 8 tweets
Nov 15, 2025
You'd think the field that studies money would have a solid grasp of how it works.

But mainstream economics still teaches that banks are intermediaries, loans come from savings, and governments can run out of money.

None of that sh#t holds up.
🧵1/12 Image
The textbook story starts with loanable funds: households save, banks lend those savings, and interest rates tidy everything up.

Nice f#$king story.

Also wrong.
🧵2/12
Banks don't lend out savings.
They create new deposits when they make a loan, literally by typing numbers into an account.

What actually constrains them is capital rules, regulation, and credit risk.
📎 BIS (2016)
🧵3/12
Read 12 tweets
Nov 13, 2025
Neoclassical and New Keynesian (NK) DSGE models both claim to explain the macroeconomy.

One assumes perfect equilibrium. The other adds a few "frictions."

Under the hood, they share the same broken core.
🧵1/12 Image
Start with old-school neoclassical DSGE.

Perfectly rational agents, perfect competition, instant market clearing.

Unemployment is just "leisure," crises are accidents, and everything glides back to equilibrium.
🧵2/12
New Keynesians looked at that fantasy and said: "OK, but prices seem slow."

So they added sticky prices, some adjustment costs, maybe a Calvo fairy.

Same world, just a bit sluggish.
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Read 12 tweets
Oct 26, 2025
Fractional reserve banking is one of the most persistent myths in economics.

It sounds technical, but it describes a world that no longer exists, and pretending it does keeps us misunderstanding how banks actually create money.
🧵1/12 Image
The fallacious story goes like this: banks take deposits, keep 10% as reserves, and lend out the rest. That fraction supposedly limits how much credit they can create.

But since March 2020, reserve requirements in the U.S. are zero. There is no fraction.
🧵2/12
Banks aren't lending "most" of your money while keeping "some" safe.

They're not required to hold any portion of deposits as reserves.

The old 10% model is gone.
🧵3/12
Read 12 tweets
Oct 7, 2025
We're told central banks fight inflation by raising rates.

But rate hikes don't "cool" the economy, they just change who gets paid.

So why is it that interest rates don't actually control inflation.
🧵1/12 Image
The textbook story: higher rates → less borrowing → lower demand → lower inflation.

Simple, right?

Except it rarely works that way in reality.

BIS (2023), The Transmission of Monetary Policy Revisited
🧵2/12
First, interest income.

When the Fed raises rates, it pays more interest on reserves + Treasuries.

That means more income for banks, funds, and wealthy asset holders.

Not a drain, a fiscal expansion.

Fullwiler (2017) Interest Rates and Fiscal Effects of Monetary Policy
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Read 12 tweets

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