Relearning Economics Profile picture
Feb 5, 2023 13 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Bonds always finance government spending, which is beyond what the balance is in the "Treasury Account" at the Central Bank. Governments DO NOT create reserves, and Governments DO NOT create deposits. #Page1 #MMT
Let’s start with the assumption that the Gov wants to spend $60 billion, but the treasury account only has a $50 billion balance in it. I will also assume by law the treasury account cannot go negative to adhere to some self-imposed law. #Page2
To address this issue the Treasury will “create bonds” to cover the shortfall in the treasury account. Gov only creates IOUs. The first issue is there is not enough reserves in the banking sector to buy the bonds. #Page3
From the Central Banks' perspective, only they can mark up and down reserve and treasury accounts held at the CB. This is the set of initial conditions I created for this illustration. #Page4
Banks must maintain a reasonable amounts of reserves in the system to continue settling within the inter-bank market and purchase new treasury bonds, the CB comes in and buys existing bonds held by banks in exchange for reserves. #Page5
As you can see the CB has created reserves now sitting in reserve accounts in the Banking sector, in exchange for bonds already held by banks. This is and asset swap for banks. #Page6
From the Treasuries perspective, a liability swap happens, bonds switch hands between banks and the CB. There are changes in interest flow dynamics, but I will not cover that here as it is outside of the scope of this illustration. #Page7
Now that the banking sector has the reserves to purchase new treasury bonds, the treasury now “creates” and auctions bonds of to the banking sector. This increases the “Treasury Account” and increases total bonds. #Page8
The Central Bank facilitates this transaction as a liability swap between the Reserve accounts held by banks and the treasury account. #Page9
The banking sector now gets to hold assets in the form of bonds that earn higher rates of interest than reserves. There was even a time that the Central Banks in most countries did not pay interest on reserves held by banks. #Page10
The Government can now spend, and the Central Bank facilitates this via a liability swap between the treasury account and appropriate reserve accounts held by banks. #Page11
Now the banking sector “creates” deposits in the private sector by marking up the correct deposit accounts where the government spending was directed. This liability is balanced by the increase in reserves. #Page12
Governments creates bonds, Central Banks create reserves, and Banks create deposits. The CB completes operations separate from treasury functions, and they should never be aggregated together. This all still confirms STABs

The End... #Page13

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More from @RelearningEcon

Oct 26
Fractional reserve banking is one of the most persistent myths in economics.

It sounds technical, but it describes a world that no longer exists, and pretending it does keeps us misunderstanding how banks actually create money.
🧵1/12 Image
The fallacious story goes like this: banks take deposits, keep 10% as reserves, and lend out the rest. That fraction supposedly limits how much credit they can create.

But since March 2020, reserve requirements in the U.S. are zero. There is no fraction.
🧵2/12
Banks aren't lending "most" of your money while keeping "some" safe.

They're not required to hold any portion of deposits as reserves.

The old 10% model is gone.
🧵3/12
Read 12 tweets
Oct 7
We're told central banks fight inflation by raising rates.

But rate hikes don't "cool" the economy, they just change who gets paid.

So why is it that interest rates don't actually control inflation.
🧵1/12 Image
The textbook story: higher rates → less borrowing → lower demand → lower inflation.

Simple, right?

Except it rarely works that way in reality.

BIS (2023), The Transmission of Monetary Policy Revisited
🧵2/12
First, interest income.

When the Fed raises rates, it pays more interest on reserves + Treasuries.

That means more income for banks, funds, and wealthy asset holders.

Not a drain, a fiscal expansion.

Fullwiler (2017) Interest Rates and Fiscal Effects of Monetary Policy
🧵3/12
Read 12 tweets
Sep 27
Every time deficits rise, someone cries "money printing."

Sounds scary, but it's a misleading metaphor.

Here’s why deficits aren’t printing presses, and what they actually do.
🧵1/12 Image
Story: gov't spends → prints money → inflation.

Reality: spending credits bank accounts, creating deposits, matched by Treasuries. Balance sheets, not printing presses.

Fujiki (2001), Budget Deficits and Inflation - BOJ
🧵2/12
Actual "printing press" inflations, Weimar, Zimbabwe, came from collapsing output + foreign debt. Deficits were a symptom, not the cause.

Reinhart & Rogoff (2011), From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis - NBER
🧵3/12
Read 12 tweets
Sep 20
Balanced budget rules sound responsible.

In reality, they make recessions worse.

A thread.
🧵1/12 Image
The idea is simple: governments should not spend more than they tax.

No deficits, no "irresponsibility."

But economies don't work like households, and enforcing a balanced budget creates vicious cycles.
🧵2/12
When recessions hit, private spending falls.

That's when governments need to step in, raising demand, supporting incomes, and stabilizing the economy.
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Read 12 tweets
Sep 10
Treasury auctions sound like "the market funding the government."

But peel back the layers, and you'll see: all primary auctions are settled with reserves created by the Fed.

A thread.
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Every week, the Treasury issues new securities at auction.

Primary Dealers are OBLIGATED to bid. Indirect bidders (pension funds, foreign central banks, asset managers) now take 90% of the allocations.
🧵2/13
But here's the key: all bids clear through Primary Dealers with accounts with the Fed.

Indirect bidders and some Primary Dealers don’t have accounts at the Fed. They place orders through dealers.

Settlement happens inside the Federal Reserve’s payment system.
🧵3/13
Read 13 tweets
Sep 7
What is wealth? Different schools of economics give very different answers.

A thread.
🧵1/13 Image
Classical economics (Smith, Ricardo):

Wealth = produced surplus.

It comes from labor applied to nature, creating output beyond subsistence.

The central issue is distribution: who gets profits, wages, and rents?
🧵2/13
Neoclassical economics:

Wealth = utility embodied in goods & services.

Focus shifts from production to exchange.

Here, wealth is whatever satisfies preferences, measured in prices.
🧵3/13
Read 13 tweets

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