Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Feb 7, 2023 23 tweets 11 min read Read on X
Here is an update for February 6th, 2023. #ukrdailyupdate (shhh)

If you would like to view the map: map.ukrdailyupdate.com
North of Kupyansk, in the Hryanykivka and Dvorichne area, Russian troops have pushed Ukraine back to their main line of defense along the railway. Their attempts to penetrate this defensive line have failed.
Russia has declared this some sort of victory, claiming they control the eastern part of Dvorichne. In reality, the east part was a gray area, and the Russian assault stopped when it met real resistance.
In the Kreminna area, Russian forces are continuing their push west, although they have not moved as far as they wanted to for several reasons. First, minor Ukrainian counterattacks have slowed the Russian forces. Second, there has been bad weather, limiting the use of drones.
In the Siversk area, Russia is attacking Bilohorivka. They claim to have captured this town, but no evidence supports this claim. Ukrainian troops have posted pictures from this town to show their presence.
I have not read news from Verkhnokamyanske, so I assume nothing has changed here, but it is possible more is going on in the town. Spirne is in more or less the same situation. Both of these towns have Russian attacks with unknown consequences.
After capturing Mykolaivka, Russia has had limited success attacking Rozdolivka and Vasyukivka. Instead, Russia is heavily shelling both towns.
Russian forces have had limited success in the Krana Hora area, just north of Bakhmut. They captured a factory in the southern part of Krasna Hora, and they heavily contest the eastern part. However, the primary defensive positions on the western side of the town are holding well
More importantly, a railway runs through Paraskoviivka from north to south; this railway goes all the way through Bakhmut. Ukraine’s primary defensive line is along this railway.
In the northern part of Bakhmut, Ukrainian forces slowly retreat to the railway.
In the east of Bakhmut, Ukraine is slowly withdrawing across the river. Russia is attacking along Gorky and Nekrasov street and along Vatutina Lane. They are also attacking north from the garbage dump area, where they have taken substantial casualties.
South of Bakhmut, near Opytne, Russia is attacking along Nezalezhnosti street. They are making progress here.
Near Ivanivske, Russian forces are fighting in the forests along the canal. Russians are worried about an impending counterattack and the vulnerability of their flank along this canal, which they have had limited success crossing.
However, as they press north to attack Ivanivske, this flank becomes increasingly vulnerable. For the past few weeks, I have expected a Ukrainian counterattack in this area to push Russia away from Chasiv Yar. However, this hasn’t happened yet. Although perhaps soon.
In the Avdiivka area, Russia attacked Vesele in the north, Kamyanka, and near the highway to the south. However, none of these attacks succeeded, and the attack in the south came with considerable casualties.
Russian forces are actively trying to push north from the Vodyane and Opytne area toward Sjeverne. They have made some progress.
Russian forces are also attacking Pervomaiske and Nevske without notable success.
In the Marinka area, Russian forces are attacking Krasnohorivka, although I believe these are just probing attacks.
There is active fighting in the south of Marinka, where Russian troops have crossed Druzhby Avenue to capture a small industrial area. They are also pushing toward Pobjeda and in the general direction of Novomykhailivka.
In the Vuhledar area, Russia is continuing its assault. They reportedly lost over 30 heavy vehicles today in various assaults.
In the Zaporizhzhia region, minor fighting is near Dorozhnyanka, south of Hulyaipole, and Nesterianka, south of Orikhiv.
Finally, Ukraine reportedly destroyed several Russian boats that attempted to cross the Dnipro in the Kherson region.
I made this image for the Kreminna area and it took me like 10 minutes to make and then I posted the wrong image. :(

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More from @AndrewPerpetua

Jan 28
The American people said “we don’t like inflation!” and had a choice between two presidents.

Option A said their goal was to attack the source of inflation so the economic conditions that lead to rapid rise in costs wont happen again.

Option B said their plan was to increase inflation by at least 50%.

And America voted for option B.
You have to understand the consequences of your actions here. You had one political movement that wanted to shift focus away from corporations and onto the people. You may not have liked everything about the current state of that movement, but the movement existed.
And while it existed, you could have used your votes to influence it, and push it into the direction you liked. Maybe you like x and y but not z. You could influence that.

But instead, you voted for oligarchy.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 7
Sources like warspotting and lostwar withhold losses from their counts when they are not clearly identifiable. Ukraine has pivoted to using heavy bomber drones to destroy vehicles, and posts tremendous numbers of losses per day using this method.
Due to thermals and top down view these losses are only very rarely counted. And when they are counted, it can be many months later when alternate footage appears.
In short, there is not a drop in documented losses, but the methodology used by the loss aggregators is highly conservative and struggles to deal with the types of footage available at the moment. And as a result will lag behind reality.
Read 7 tweets
Dec 28, 2024
THE UKRAINIAN DRONE HAS TWO SHOTGUNS.
im giggling
lol
Read 4 tweets
Dec 27, 2024
Kurt Company says they have killed 51 and wounded 57 Russians this month. These guys are situated near Kurdyumivka, and are repelling Russian assaults across the Severskyi Donets canal. I have personally seen about 25 of those 51 killed on video, and I've geolocated around 15. Image
Image
Ukrainian positions in this area are very well designed, which contribute substantially to their ability to defend. We've seen Ukrainian defenses in other areas, often superior positions, with vastly inferior design and construction fall within minutes or hours.
The main difference you see here is that their firing positions are *above ground* with *interlocking fields of fire* and *trench systems that allow defenders to rapidly displace*. Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 27, 2024
We have significant map updates. West of Velyka Novosilka the Russians have advanced across two farm fields. Image
Image
Russians are gradually advancing west toward Rozlyv.

map.ukrdailyupdate.com/?lat=47.957306…Image
Image
Read 6 tweets
Dec 19, 2024
btw, a huge fraction of the damage we see done every day is not done by fpv drones, it is done by drone dropped bombs. In particular, the heavy bombers like vampire, kazhan, and nemesis. The r18 is getting increasingly popular. And we see more avengers but those are very rare.
avenger is a fixed wing bomber that carriers, i think, 5.5kg payload. most commonly the loadout is either 2-4 medium sized bombs or like 5-8 smaller bombs that it drops as a carpet bombing type thing. It is hard to aim because it is a level bomber. A dive bomber would be better
A dive bomber dropping 5kg bombs would be pretty awesome, to be honest.
Read 4 tweets

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