JayEnAar Profile picture
Feb 9 8 tweets 4 min read
Unable to counter the @HindenburgRes allegations against #AdaniGroup, the Indian rightwing zealots, probably with support of the Govt, ios seeking to rope in the #SupremeCourt to shield #SEBI fromthe need to investigate.
1. They first want to go after #Hindenburg
Next, they want to gag any discussion of the stock valuation problems of the #AdaniGroup.
Botht are misguided. The Supreme Court should take a straightforward approach.
1. The Courts cannot prevent investors from losing their shirts in the stockmarket. They must be allowed to lose their investments just as they are entitled to keep their gains.
2. The regulagtory agencies have a role to protect investors not from the bad decisions and poor investment choices they might make, but from deliberate rigging of the market by big players whose sharp accounting and dis-information can overvalue stocks.
The Supreme Court must make the simple point that #Hindenburg did NOT target India, they targeted Adani Group, not because they had anything against Adani specifically but simply because Adani Group stocks were grossly overvalued. As such they were like the canary in the mine.
The Supreme Court must not allow itself to be dragged into a stock market scandal. The primary agency to investigate any wrongdoing or fraud is #SEBI and the Supreme Court must not put itself in the shoes of a first-tier agency.
If the dreams of a few retail investors (who bought Adani shares and felt enriched at seeing them shoot up in valus) turned to dust, they have themselves to blame. It is tempting to blame the people who pricked the bubble, but the real culprit is the inflator of the balloon.
By pricking the balloon #Hindenburg
a) protected the many investors who may have been tempted to jump in at INR 4000 hoping for yet greater gains.
b) woke up many millions of investors to the dangers of investing in stocks that are rated too-good-to-be-true.

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More from @GorwayGlobal

Feb 7
Once the first bug skeleton in the cupboard is revealed, other parts of the Palace reveal their little bits of buried evidence.
Here is @FT looking into the audit of the UK entity. Image
After he $3.5bn sale, Adani changed the auditor of Adani Energy Holdings Limited, the main UK holding company that houses the subsidiaries, from Deloitte to Crowe.

Crowe UK earned £143,000 for its 2022 audit of Adani Energy Holdings Limited, Deloitte had charged 257,000.
This is Adani Energy Holdings Ltd, from UK Companies House filings, 20 directors at var time 19 resigned leaving the one Sanjay Newatia. Image
Read 12 tweets
Feb 7
Watching @RahulGandhi speaking in #Loksabha. It is telling - the reaction of the BJP Front bench to every minor point that Rahul makes linking Adani with ModiJi.
@RahulGandhi In July 2020 this happened. Image
@RahulGandhi In July 2021 this happened Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
L'Affaire Adani Group
How the world is reporting the fallout from @HindenburgRes allegations
1. London's Financial Times looks at the challenge for India's institutions.
Here is the link:
ft.com/content/9840aa…
The FT says, apart from Adani business empire, "something bigger is on the line: India’s probity in corporate governance and pursuit of a development model in which the state has entrusted a few ultra-rich men with running India’s infrastructure and pioneering investments abroad.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 3
A Tweetorial on Corporate Bonds
In connection with the Adani #Hindenburg debacle.
In last few days Ive come across some surprising levels of misunderstanding about how bonds work. So here is a quick primer.
1. Why do companies issue bonds to raise financing for their operations?
A company (C) needs cash to set up, run, pay staff, buy stuff, pay bills, etc in order, hopefully to make a profit for its owners (shareholders). Two option to do this equity, i.e sell shares (= give away a share of the company in return for a cash price) or sell Bonds.
They can also take a loan from a bank, but I am leaving that out for now to keep things simple. Bonds and loans are slightly different form of debt finance.
Focus for now on Bonds. Keep it simple. Lets say C issues a 10-Yr Bond with a face value of 100 and a coupon of 7.5
Read 19 tweets
Feb 3
This is wrong. Do not be fooled by this "attack on India" nonsense. Shorsellers get their fingers burned when they target a sound company and predict a drop in its share price. They target companies that are "over-valued" acc to the fundamentals. Read
It is as natural for Owners and CEOs of target companies to rant and rail angrily at Short Sellers. They don't want their misgovernance to be suspected let alone called out. Elon Musk famously fumed at savvy traders who shorted Tesla Stock.
He once famously referred to the SEC (Securities and Exchanges Commission) as the ShortSellers Enrichment Commission. President Hoover labelled the short sellers of 1929 'unpatriotic' much as #Sanghi PseudoNationalists now are draping Mr Adani in the #Tiranga.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 3
A twitter thread on short selling.
At a time when ppl in India, have woken up to "short-selling" thanks to @HindenburgRes expose of corporate fraud, it my be useful to see why short sellers are as useful for markets in general as they are painful for the target stock
In 2018 @economist wrote this excellent briefing on short selling. "Short-sellers are savvy investors who help to keep the market’s exuberance in check."
economist.com/finance-and-ec…
Why did Elon Musk and Tesla feature in this article. Because, Tesla stock "is one of the most heavily shorted companies in America", with "a quarter of its publicly traded shares lent out to facilitate short-sellers". Naturally, Elon Musk hates these “haters”, “jerks” etc
Read 12 tweets

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