🧵1) I downloaded all tweets since 6th February containing the word HAARP. It was way larger than I expected and I ended up without around 300k tweets across dozens of languages involving over 130k unique accounts! Read on for more #TurkeySyriaEarthquake#Disinformation
2) Firstly, why HAARP. Well, there's a conspiracy going around that HAARP - High-frequency Active Auroral Research Program (HAARP) (a former US program designed to investigate the ionosphere) is being used to weaponize weather, and even create earthquakes. Sound absurd right?
3) Nonetheless, tens of thousands have shared it on Twitter in dozens of languages, but mostly English, Turkish, Spanish, and French. Not everyone sharing it is agreeing with it, but the most shared tweets containing 'HAARP' support the conspiracy
4) The most retweeted accounts are not even well-known influencers. The English-speaking accounts include accounts that indicate they are right-wing US accounts, anti vaxxers, and at times anti-Semitic conspiracy theorists.
5/ Like one of the most shared tweets was from this guy - who combines anti-semitism with some sort of Satantic control of the music industry...His TL is quite something but he gets crazy engagement. Weird.
6) And if you thought HAARP was bad, some of the most shared accounts are also talking about 'project blue beam" - which apparently is a technology used to control the human race or something. Also, I like that these two have identical tweets.
7) In terms of the English-speaking accounts sharing the story, the eighth most common biographical term is 'MAGA' (Make America Great Again) - after freedom, life, patriot, god, anti, love, and Twitter. Again, pointing to a right-wing bent to this disinfo spreading
8) A lot of seems to be anti-NATO propaganda, a touch Russia adjacent... One of the tropes is that NATO used HAARP against Turkey to punish them for their position on Russia.
9) So far that's just some of the English activity. One of the most influential Turkish accounts is this guy, who seems to devote most of his time to tweeting conspiracy theories. But hey's he's got Twitter Blue so must be legit.
10) Curious though, the same account seems to have that same nexus of anti-freemasonry, anti-semitism, UNICEF abducting children (is this QAnon adjacent?). Anyway will go back to English now as maybe I'm missing context.
11) I'm fascinated by the disinfo grifters (disinfluencers) - This Stew Peters for example, is fully embracing HAARP creating that unusual (but natural) cloud in Turkey, and HAARP creating the earthquake too. FYI Peters was booted from Spotify for spreading Covid19 disinfo
12) An interesting thing about this HAARP conspiracy is that it started on the same day as the earthquake. There was no lag really. It's still going on now. Given the volume of tweets on it, it's likely to continue for some time and etch it's way into the disinfo lexicon.
13) (I' m aware HAARP is not a new conspiracy, but it's really got a shot in the arm). Anyway, I should go to bed but a few things are interesting. 1) The scale - there are a lot of people across different languages talking about this 2) It, perhaps unsurprisingly, coexists
14/ with other narratives such as anti-vaccination disinfo 3) It appears partisan, again have a conservative bent (although I imagine in Spanish we'd probably see a far left bent to it) 4) It has taken on an anti-NATO element, especially with regard to Turkey's role vis a vis
15/ ...Russia and Ukraine.
I am not saying this is a Russian influence operation - although as agitprop it works in their favour. It's also good for the Turkish government - potentially distracting some people from focusing on state responsibility in the disaster.
16/ So far though there does appear to be some element of inauthenticity to it - suggesting someone is boosting this narrative. The engagement and virality of lesser known accounts is particularly suspicious. Will keep an eye on it though. Night for now
17) An interesting aspect about the HAARP disinfo is that one of the most shared tweets mentioning the hashtag as early as 6th was not actually talking about HAARP, but telling people to avoid platitudes or construction theories to focus on help. So either using the hashtag
18) simply because it was trending as people tend to do, or for some other reason (i.e. get it trending but without being explicit). Again, shows that disinfo can be amplified without directly discussing it, either to promote it or debunk it. #Disinformation
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🧵1/ I analysed the headline and lead paragraph of 536 English news articles including the terms "Maccabi" + "Amsterdam" and classified them using Claude 3.5 Sonnet to determine how many framed Israelis as victims or non-Israelis as primary victims (as well as both).
2/ The results are fairly striking. 65% of articles frame Israelis as the victim, while only 5% frame Non-Israelis as victims. 24% are neutral while 9% framed both groups as victims. Quite clear the media emphasised violence as anti-Israeli and antisemitic, especially early on
3/ There isn't much evidence too of corrective framing at this point, although a small increase in neutral framing a week after the incident. Israeli victimhood was categorised as emphasis of violence initiated by non-Israelis, and focus on anti-Israeli or antisemitic violence
🧵 1/ Part of understanding what is going on in Amsterdam is also to understand the coordinated anti-Arab, anti-Muslim and anti-immigrant campaigns run with huge amounts of money targeting Europe. Here's a short private Eye article about an investigation I did with @SohanDsouza
2/ Here's a write-up by @karamballes on the campaign in @BylineTimes "Disinformation Campaign on Social Media Reached More Than 40 Million People – but Meta ‘Alarmingly’ Hasn't Revealed the Culprits' bylinetimes.com/2024/08/30/qat…
@karamballes @BylineTimes 3/ ...How a covert influence campaign helped Europe’s far right
Our findings about the shadowy multi-platform operation attacking Qatar and stoking Islamophobia to further its far-right agenda in Europe and beyond call for immediate action. aljazeera.com/opinions/2024/…
🧵🚨1/ This is nuts. After mysteriously deleting a package covering the Amsterdam protests, Sky News have put up a new version. The new version completely changes the thrust to emphasise that the violence was antisemitic. See the opening screenshot change below
2/Even the tweet accompanying the video has changed. It has explicitly shifted from mentioning anti-Arab slogans to removing the phrase "anti-Arab" and using antisemitism. It also removes mention of vandalism by Israeli fans. An extremely clear editorial shift!
3/ They have also inserted into the video, right after the opening footage of Dutch Prime Minister condemning antisemitsm. This was not in the original video.
1/ If you break down the BBC's live reporting of what happened in Amsterdam, you can see the disproportionate attention it pays to Maccabi fans and Israelis as victims, with far less attention paid to the actions of Maccabi fans. Here are the sources interviewed.
2/ In terms of mentions of Arab, Dutch or other Ajax fans, there is very little emphasis on Arab safety, with the majority of coverage focused on Maccabi fans as victims. There are vox pops with fans, but very little interaction with non-Maccabi people.
3/ The language used to describe the attacks on the Maccabi fans is also much stronger, ranging from pogroms to brutal and shocking. Similar terms aren't use for the anti-Arab racism.
🚨1/ This New York Times piece is wild. Let's go through it.
Firstly, the lede is an emphasis that attacks in Amsterdam were based on antisemitism, yet it cites no evidence of this, but DOES cite evidence of anti-Arab chants.
2/ The claims of antisemitism are based primarily on the Prime Minister of the Netherlands, who tweeted that the attacks were antisemitic. Note - the Dutch Prime Minister didn't call out anti-Arab or anti-Palestinian racism from Maccabi fans.
3/ The piece links to an Amsterdam police statement to talk about the violence - although the police statement doesn't mention anything about antisemitism.
🧵 'At least 1,800 bots on the social media site X are promoting the controversial choice of Azerbaijan, a major oil and gas producer, to host next month’s ...#COP29, according to a new analysis shared exclusively with The Washington Post".
2/ The analysis by Marc Owen Jones, an expert on disinformation at @NUQatar, focused on roughly 2,800 X accounts that collectively sent around 10,800 tweets, retweets and replies about the conference between Oct. 17 and Oct. 24.
3/ Detection
73% of all accounts active in sample created in the space of 3 quarters in 2024.
Conservative estimates suggest 66% (1876) accounts in the sample are fake (bots) based on activity over the past week