Verified by #RetailSales

Bank of America credit and debit card spending per household rose 5.1% year-over-year (YoY) in January Image
In 2021 the bottom income group spent 38% of their total expenditure on food and shelter combined Image
deposits remain above 2019 levels Image
For households with income of less than <$150k, the spending-tosavings ratio as of December 2022 remained lower than that of 2019 Image
Credit Card utilization rates have edged higher but remain below pre-pandemic levels Image

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More from @MikeZaccardi

Feb 18
The January report on producer prices topped expectations in both the headline and core PPI. Upstream price pressures persist.

@SoberLook charts
dailyshotbrief.com Image
Lithium prices have been rolling over. Image
After months of declines, new home prices were flat in January. Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 17
450bp in 11 months… most aggressive Fed tightening in decades and…

US retail sales @ all-time highs, US unemployment @ 43 year lows, payrolls up >500k in Jan Image
BofA Bull & Bear Indicator: declines to 4.4,

down from 4.5 on easing momentum of EM equity inflows and bearish shift in hedge fund positioning. Image
we say H1’23 “no landing” = H2’23 “hard landing” for market & macro; no landing = higher rates

Hartnett BofA
Read 15 tweets
Feb 16
Goldman: We Lowered our Recession Odds to 25% Image
Goldman: Spinoff activity during 2022 surged by 33% and we expect these transactions will remain popular in 2023. Image
That's WACC:

12-month change in S&P 500 WACC remains elevated Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 15
Housing continues to drive core inflation. They should just use Zillow numbers. @SoberLook charts
dailyshotbrief.com Image
Stocks have been remarkably resilient in the face of rising bond yields and higher Fed rate hike expectations. Image
More bad vibes..

S&P Global’s investment manager survey shows concerns about the market’s near-term performance. Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 15
Market pricing of inflation over the next 12 months rose 18bps today and 87bps since the lows in January to 2.82% Image
Market pricing for the Fed policy rate in Dec-23 rose to 5.1% on Feb 14 from 4.7% on Feb 13

and 4.2% on Feb 2 (prior to January NFP report on Feb 3rd). Image
Moderate core services ex. shelter inflation in January Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 14
Let's do a little technical analysis..

AAII Bullish Sentiment above resistance to confirm rally. Suttmeier BofA charts..
Asset manager SPX futures position remains bullish
S&P 500 back to 1928 with pullbacks and rallies along the way
Read 8 tweets

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