Thread by @DefMon3

Ukraine update🧵 February 16th

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Yesterdays thread:

https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1625925436902604800

Shelling locations reported by UA general staff today.

Overview images

Weather
Special thanks to @davidhelms570 who provides me with these every day.

https://twitter.com/davidhelms570/status/1626215924641714181

Kupyansk
RuAF keep attacking in the area of Hryanykivka. I have not seen any significant change in this area.,

Kreminna
Ru MOD claim they hit AFU near Dibrova and Kuz'myne with TOS-1A and Artillery. UA CDS claims RU forces managed to push AFU back a bit west of Dibrova. Shelling also reported in the area of Zhytlivka which does not make much seen to me.

The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Bilohorivka and Serebryansk forestry

Bakhmut
Both Deepstate and Rybar claims RU advances in the area north of Bakhmut. Status seems mostly unchanged south of Bakhmut, AFU continues to hold RuAF away from the T-0504 road.

The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Fedorivka, Bakhmut and Dilyivka

This geolocated video could be what is considered an attack in the Dilyivka direction

https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1625958831720218625

Ukrainian CDS stated the AFU started withdrawing to the west of the Bakhmutovka River. I have not seen any visual evidence supporting the claim, but the city is also under lockdown.

A withdrawal west of the Bakhmutovka River is something I have mentioned previously as an indicator of preparations for a withdrawal from the city. I do however not think there is an immediate need for the AFU to leave the city. It's not too late to defend Bakhmut.

A Ukrainian telegram channel report Krasna Hora is still in AFU control. They also state they are pushing the "Russians" back trench by trench in the south. (they used another word for russians)

Multiple reports of Wagner being seen less and less at the front around Bakhmut (by Magyar among others). I find it interesting how crybar keep claiming all attacks are done by Wagner still.

Magyar also states fighting around Bakhmut have been relatively slow during the day. The fighting was more active during the night due to AFU nighttime operations. Whoever have the equipment and training to operate at night have a huge advantage.

Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Avdiivka, Vodyane, Pervomais'ke, Mar'inka and Novomykhailivka. Looks like continued pressure all over the front in this area.

Marinka
RuAF have failed for months to take Marinkahead on, they are now trying to encircle the town. Dots are geolocated ru/ua forces.

Vuhledar

https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1626261632975351811

If the TOS-1A video is recent, it seems the AFU have pushed RuAF all the way down to the Kashiahach RIver by the southern Dachas. One of the blue dots down there is the location of the video. We will have to wait and see.

https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1626133239612973063

Ru MOD claimed to have destroyed another 2 HMARS today reaching 235% of delivered HIMARS destroyed.

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