“A CBDC system could not support anonymous transactions....
This lack of anonymity is to prevent CBDCs facilitating large-scale criminal activity, and to ensure a CBDC system complies with national disclosure laws that apply to payments"….
“This means payments data on CBDC users would exist and would be accessible to some authority or institution.
There is concern about the potential for state surveillance.”
Of course the tax authorities, with their strong investigatory powers, would get hold of CBDC data.
The Committee quoted a survey by Redfield & Wilton Strategies which found that 32% of people thought the Bank of England would issue a CBDC to monitor how UK citizens use their money.
SECURITY:
First, individual accounts could be compromised through weaknesses in cyber security.
Second, the centralised CBDC ledger... a critical piece of national infrastructure, would be a target for attack from hostile actors.”
The Committee quoted GCHQ Director Sir Jeremy Fleming, on how a digital currency could present a threat: “it gives a hostile state the ability to surveil transactions.
It gives them the ability… to be able to exercise control over what is conducted on those digital currencies”
The Royal United Services Institute said an online system would be a target for attack: “North Korea has made extensive use of the fact that cryptocurrency exchanges and so on can be hacked.
It ran a nearly very successful attack against the Bangladesh central bank".
DISINTERMEDIATION "If a CBDC is introduced, a proportion of people may wish to transfer money out of their bank accounts into non-bank CBDC wallets. This would reduce the size of commercial banks’ balance sheets while increasing the size of the Bank of England’s balance sheet.."
The Committee highlighted that this "may increase the cost of credit and tighten lending criteria, with implications for the efficiency of credit provision in the economy."
Barclays said this "would make banks more reliant on wholesale funding—an expensive and more volatile alternative to customer deposits It said this could mean banks being required to hold higher levels of liquidity against deposits, which could constrain lending further."
The Bank of England could "conduct forms of unconventional monetary policy more easily. "It could ‘programme’ a CBDC to have an expiry date by which it would need to be spent, or conditions could be placed on a CBDC so that it could be spent on certain goods only."
Of course, once introduced, CBDCs could be programmed to do all sorts of things - not just collect information on citizens but levy taxes at the point of transaction too.
The Government may say they don't plan to do this, but that could easily change.
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Keir Starner has appointed a Housing Minister who hates private housing.
Miatta Fahnbulleh, former CEO of the far left New Economics Foundation (NEF), wants to tax & regulate private housing to death and build state housing instead.
1/11
Miatta & the NEF are fixated on forcing the transfer of private rented homes to the public sector. "Policy should be geared towards upgrading existing private rented homes to ensure they are energy efficient, & acquiring & repurposing them as homes for social rent," they write.
"Social housing held and controlled by the public sector is best placed to meet social policy needs," they say.
They are not keen on the private sector building more houses, sniffily noting that "meeting the housebuilding targets would make it impossible for the UK to achieve its commitment to its carbon reduction goals by 2050."
Miatta herself campaigned against a private housing development in Peckham, saying "I support building homes on the Aylesham site — but they must include the right amount of social and affordable housing.”
Of course housing developments aren't viable on those terms.
Keir Starmer has appointed a high tax fanatic, Minouche Shafik, as his personal economic adviser.
Shafik is a collectivist academic who believes that “the idea that you are successful because you are smart & hardworking is pernicious & wrong."
She is a menace. 1/6
She wants to grab people's pension pots, saying "those with comfortable pension pots must be expected to pay more towards the common good.”
She also proposed “the imposition of property taxes which would direct a flow of capital from those in high value properties to those unable to get on the property ladder, through a capital endowment scheme.”
She co-chaired Torsten Bell's ‘Economy 2030 Inquiry’ which proposed a vast number of tax hikes, including the following:
Cut the VAT registration threshold to £50,000 then £30,000.
Create Road Duty for EVs.
End free carbon permits & introduce carbon border adjustment.
Encourage local congestion charges.
Charge Capital Gains Tax on death and when moving out of UK.
Scrap non-dom status.
Hike national insurance for higher self-employed incomes by 300% to 8%.
Hike basic rate of Dividend tax from 8.75% to 20%.
Introduce NI for rental income.
Extend employer NI to employer pension contributions.
Cut the £270,000 cap on tax-free pensions to £40,000.
Make everyone pay inheritance tax by scrapping the nil-rate band.
Hike vehicle excise duty for heavier cars.
Introduce pay-per-mile road duty for electric vehicles.
Scrap business and agricultural property reliefs.
Raise CGT on shares to 37% and real estate to 53%.
A branch manager of a lettings business was awarded a £25,000 bonus, but was horrified to learn that he would be left with less than nothing after tax. As a result of his £25,000 bonus, £25,533 would be taken by the tax man.
1/4
Over £100k the tax rate on his £25,000 bonus was 60% i.e. £15,000. "On top of this, he pays 2% NI plus another 9% is deducted to pay for this student loan which is really a graduate tax. This means an effective tax rate of 71% i.e. £17,750." writes Adam Walker
"As if this isn’t bad enough he has a 2-year-old daughter. Because he earned too much, he had already lost his right to claim child benefit which is worth £1,354p.a. However, his bonus £25,000 bonus means that he also no longer qualifies for 30 hours per week of free childcare which is worth a further £7,783p.a.. "
"When you add all this together, the impact of his £25,000 bonus is that the poor chap will be £533 worse off. He was so disgusted by this that he asked his employer to pay the whole of his bonus into his pension. This avoided the tax but it didn’t make him feel any less resentful."
"At the age of 28, he was looking forward to spending his hard-earned bonus on something nice not locking it up in a pension that he cannot spend for another 30 or 40 years.
As a consequence, their star manager who they so desperately wanted to keep decided to leave & take a job in Dubai."
"As we talk about the tax-raising budget to come we should not think of it as inevitable. It would be a gross breach of promise. It was what Labour were elected not to do, what they told us all that they would not do," says Danny Finkelstein in @thetimes
It's a key point
1/4
"Labour ran for office saying repeatedly that their plans were “about prosperity, not higher taxes”. At its manifesto launch Angela Rayner announced that “we can’t tax our way to growth.” To which Rachel Reeves added that “we don’t have a tax-and-spend manifesto. We have a growth plan.”
“There is nothing in our plans that requires any further increases in taxes, I have confidence in that. Voters can have confidence,” Rachel told Sky News.
"All of our plans are fully funded and fully costed and none of them require tax rises over and above the ones that we’ve already announced,” said Keir
No wonder the bond markets are worried that Torsten Bell is writing the budget. Not only does he advocate growth-destroying tax hikes but he has consistently pushed for higher public spending & the rewriting of fiscal rules to permit yet more borrowing
Examples below: 1/7
In “The end of austerity?” (Resolution Foundation blog, 13 Jun 2017) Bell argued that ending austerity should mean lifting the public-sector pay cap and reversing benefit cuts. “…An extra £3bn a year would be needed for a 1% pay rise," he said.
In “The end of austerity? Not so much” (RF blog, 3 Oct 2018) he said halting the planned fall in day-to-day departmental spend required £12bn extra annually by 2022–23.
In “The Budget marks a very significant easing – but not an end of austerity” (RF blog, 30 Oct 2018), he said argued that greater departmental spending was required to end austerity.
"Reeves is increasingly beginning to look like the Starmer government’s ‘starter chancellor’ – who will pave the way for a more radical programme at some later date. Her failure to stimulate growth will be used as a pretext for something a little more ambitiously left-wing."
"Were Torsten Bell to be the follow-up figure, we would at least know where we are, given that he appeared to enjoy an open invitation onto the Today programme in the years leading up to the general election to expound on his ideas for tax rises. But it would be a dark day for the UK economy, ditching us in even deeper fiscal waters."
Prescient commentary from @RossjournoClark in April.
1/4
"That the Resolution Foundation seems to think that the answer is yet more public spending says much about the Labour Left’s philosophy. Economic growth, it seems to believe, can only ever result from public investment, not private investment," notes Ross Clark
"If you want genuine growth in the economy, the sector that you most want to invest is surely the more productive part – the part which is growing productivity, not shrinking it. Instead, the government is taking money out of the private sector and putting it into a moribund public sector which has failed to improve productivity in a quarter of a century."