1-12
Should Russian & Belarussian athletes be banned from the #Olympics?
This article lays out key facts & historical background behind such bans, including some arguments I provided to the author on why a ban is justified, legally and politically.
2-12
The legal debate on the issue is coming to a head, with a UN Rapporteur for cultural rights - a quixotic law professor - arguing that such a ban would be "discrimination on the basis on nationality".
Those public pronouncements are false.
3-12
The international conventions cited by the UN Rapporteur do not mention discrimination on account of nationality (=citizenship), but on account of "race, color, descent, or national or ethnic origin".
4-12
=> it's racism / xenophobia that international conventions seek to oppose, but that doesn't rule out banning a national team from an international sports event.
How do we know that?
Because there is precedent. National teams have been banned before.
5-12
South Africa was banned from most of international sports for many years during the apartheid era.
Also, "Afghanistan and all its athletes were banned from the 2000 Sydney Olympics due to the ban on female athletes instituted by the Taliban"
6-12
So, there is historical and therefore legal precedent for banning a national team from the Olympics. Including a very recent one.
The line that such a ban would be illegal because it would be discrimination based on nationality is proven to be false.
7-12
What about those forms of discrimination that actually are illegal, as opposed to the form falsely invented by the UN Rapporteur?
An illegal ban would be one based on Russian ethnicity, rather than on Russian citizenship. But that is of course not what anyone is proposing.
8-12
Another angle of discussion is historical bans against nations currently or recently guilty of wars of aggression - including Germany after both World Wars.
9-12
Reactions were milder in the face of Soviet uses of military force to keep Moscow's stranglehold on its satellite states during the Cold War.
10-12
With Moscow now also clearly guilty of crimes against humanity, comparisons with 1956 or 1968 fade in relevance - and the choice made for the 1948 Olympics - a full ban - seems more relevant.
11-12
Another way to conceive of such bans - since the "discrimination" angle makes no sense legally or historically - is to think of them as international sanctions against a pariah state.
12-12
There are plenty of types of sanctions, for example ones that target a nation's economy in a manner that is indiscriminate - and yet that is legal and has multiple precedents. Being able to use sanctions to punish a criminal state by shaking up its society is essential.
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Last March, during my stay with @FIIA_fi, I wrote a commentary on what the direction of Western policy should be in light of Russia's aggression which I feel has aged quite well.
I proposed three pillars:
-Military resolve
-Geoeconomics
-Technological containment
2-19
"Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine has triggered a return to traditional policies of containment and deterrence, and a revival of European and transatlantic unity. This is only the beginning of a challenging but necessary journey for a revived Western world."
3-19
"The first key consideration concerns the resolve of Western governments to engage in armed conflict against the Russian Federation, should the latter attack a NATO ally or an EU member state."
"Symbols matter: a Kennedy or a Reagan at the Berlin wall, a Churchill with a cigar and a bowler, for that matter a green-clad Zelensky growling “I need ammunition, not a ride.” Simply by taking the hazardous trip to Kyiv, Biden made a strategic move of cardinal importance."
3-9
While Biden's visit is a huge boost to Kyiv and a powerful confirmation of leadership, resolve, and commitment towards European Allies, Cohen rightly also stresses the powerful signal of resolve and strength towards Moscow and towards Putin.
When considering the Second World War, one of the things that hits me hard is stories of Jewish thinkers who were in safety but were nonetheless driven to suicide, not just by the horror of the genocide but also from despair at the indifference of others.
1-11
And guess who was the idiot who wrote this inane script? Pro-Moscow propagandist Seymour "Conspiracy Clown" Hersh.
An investigative journalist so brilliant, he can write about the Nord Stream pipes being blown up without knowing they were unused at the time 🤡
2-11
For those still taken in by the unduly positive image Hersh has, due to some of the real scoops he snapped up in earlier decades, just look at the conspiratorial lunacy he has to say about Norway in a recent interview. I mean 🤡
3-11
Next, from the same source, comes Hersh's explanation for why the US government would have done this. His brilliant analysis: they didn't really think, they just want re-election. And somehow they think blowing up a useless pipe can win a war.
I mean 🤡
1-25
Unfortunately #Macron's statements to the press indicate that his position has had an incomplete evolution since last summer. His vision seems quite removed from the Tallinn Pledge and based on questionable reasoning.
2-25
Macron and his party spoke a lot about victory for Ukraine in recent weeks. France's supply of light tanks is leadership by example. We are in a better place than last summer, but a serious gap remains.
What follows: translated key quotes, then my commentary.
3-25
"I want Russia to be defeated in Ukraine and I want Ukraine to be able to defend its position, but I am convinced that in the end it will not end militarily. I don't think, like some, that Russia should be totally defeated, attacked on its soil."
1-10
The US determination that the Russian state has committed crimes against humanity in Ukraine is an official view, expressed by the Secretary of State, published in writing, and confirmed by the Vice President, all on 18 February 2023.
This is an important moment.
2-10
USG indicates it made an assessment of relevant International Law and established facts on the ground. Many observers of the conflict, including legal experts, had already come to the same conclusion.
3-10
It is only a matter of political will, and I suspect only a matter of time, before other governments take similar positions in public. In any case, specialist prosecutors will have no lack of evidence to make a watertight case that such crimes have occurred.