Thread by @gorskon

Predictable. @GabrielleJBauer of @brownstoneinst just admitted that the key premise behind the "natural herd immunity" approach of @gbdeclaration was false—oopsie!—while touting #GreatBarringtonDeclaration has having been "vindicated." sciencebasedmedicine.org/brownstone-ins…

I mean, I laughed out loud when I read this passage, which is an implicit admission that what GBD critics, such as the John Snow Memorandum authors, were right all along that "natural herd immunity" is not achievable for #COVID19 because postinfection immunity is too short-lived.

While Bauer's article mostly focuses on "focused protection," recall that the very *concept* behind @gbdeclaration was that letting #SARSCoV2 rip through the "healthy population" would build up "natural immunity" and allow "natural herd immunity" to be achieved in 3-6 months.

The problem, of course, is that a prerequisite for "natural herd immunity" is that postinfection immunity be durable, as in many years or, preferably, lifelong—as is the case for measles. Bauer's "oopsie" about the GBD basically admits that the GBD was dangerous unscientific BS.

None of this, of course, stops her from portraying @gbdeclaration co-authors @MartinKulldorff, @DrJBhattacharya, and @SunetraGupta as brave maverick truth tellers, whose "Truths" public health and society weren't ready to hear. None of this is true.

The bottom line is that I was correct in October 2020 when I described @gbdeclaration as an exercise in "magnified minority" very similar to previous similar declarations questioning scientific consensus by climate science, evolution, and HIV/AIDS deniers. sciencebasedmedicine.org/great-barringt…

I will also say that the co-authors of @gbdeclaration were—and still are—useful idiots for @jeffreyatucker and the right wing free market fundamentalist "think tank" @aier that brought them together in October 2020./end

That the GBD critics, such as the John Snow Memorandum, were right all along. Hey, Mr. Musk, what about a reliable "edit" feature? That would be the only thing I'd ever consider paying for on this hellsite?😂