There are many infectious diseases where the early phase is "mild" or asymptomatic. But the prolonged pathology is not, and can be severe in the long-term. Examples are HIV/AIDS or EBV/multiple sclerosis. Don't necessarily trust SARS-CoV-2 if the early infection is uneventful 🧵
Pathogens have, obviously, their own specific features and mechanisms of actions. SARS-CoV-2 is not EBV/ Epstein Barr virus or HIV. What I'm saying here, is that the immediate clinical manifestations of an infection aren't necessarily indicative of overall severity
Since early 2020, we have known that SARS-CoV-2 can manifest with pauci-symptomatic/asymptomatic early pathology, which can kill or disable with time. Covid can manifest with an early mild flu-like illness (prodromal phase) which progresses to death
We soon learnt, already in early 2020, that Covid can progress to prolonged disease and sequelae beyond the first weeks from infection (#LongCovid). Long Covid emerged initially thanks to advocacy from survivors. It was recognized by WHO in August 2020 sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
We have still to learn about the longest term sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Many pathogens in addition to HIV can cause severe or fatal disease years or decades from infection: e.g. poliovirus (post polio syndrome) or oncogenic viruses associated with cancer like EBV or HPV
A vast range of pathogens are firmly associated with prolonged disease and sequelae, including SARS-CoV, MERS CoV (both of which share similarities with SARS-CoV-2), Ebola virus (post Ebola syndrome), monkeypox virus, West Nile virus, Zika virus, and many others
Pertussis, commonly known as whooping cough, is another infectious disease which is associated with an insidious onset. It has a "prodromal phase" with milder, non-specific symptoms. The disease can soon progress to a "paroxysmal" phase with severe cough.
This is just a brief thread. The takeaway, however, is that we can't be complacent with a viral infection, SARS-CoV-2, which has already caused millions of deaths worldwide and is firmly associated with severe morbidity (ill health) already within three years (#LongCovid)
People also need to be fully aware that early, "mild" or asymptomatic disease in the first few days from SARS-CoV-2 infection, isn't necessarily the end of it. You can get worse and even suffer life-threatening events in time. This is scientifically proven. Be careful out there.
Bibliography as usual. On prolonged disease and sequelae from various viral and other infections (I see Long Ebola has entered the scientific literature, too, in addition to post Ebola syndrome)
On EBV and the recent discovery of its link with multiple sclerosis
EBV is also linked to a range of other diseases from later onset cancer, to mononucleosis, to ME/CFS.
Queen Consort Camilla is forced to pull out from another public appearance as she remains not recovered from Covid. Camilla's Covid case was revealed 10 days ago after it was initially thought, or reported, she had "a cold" or "the flu"
While, as usual, I wish everyone fast recovery, it's key to remember Covid is not the "common cold". Even if you're ill enough to have to have to stay home "only ten days", and you can be reinfected, how many have paid sick leave or help to cover this?
And many people are sick for much longer than ten days. Camilla herself is still not recovered. Covid remains a leading cause of death and disability. Curbing transmission is imperative
"Increasingly, doctors also are reporting bizarre, unsettling cases that don’t seem to follow any of the textbooks they’ve trained on.. patients with startlingly low oxygen levels —so low that they would normally be unconscious or near death— talking and swiping on their phones."
"Asymptomatic pregnant women suddenly in cardiac arrest. Patients who by all conventional measures seem to have mild disease deteriorating within minutes and dying at home."
Summary and translation from an interview with football star K. De Bruyne from 2021. In the UK, Kevin suffered from a relatively rough acute phase
"I had to isolate for ten days to not infect my family. It was hard to see them only beyond a glass. The first 4 days were hard."
"On the fifth day I felt better, but it took time to get my sense of taste and smell back. It felt a bit like a flu initially, but I'm not sure because I never had the flu before. Then, I [apparently] recovered and came back to football training, but it wasn't easy."
#LongCovid has never been about respiratory symptoms alone. We knew Long Covid was about, among other things, cardiovascular disease and coagulation problems in spring to summer 2020 already. We underlined Covid was multi-system disease early on
#LongCovid was openly recognized by the WHO in August 2020, after intense advocacy by Covid survivors from the first wave. I was at that WHO meeting myself. By late 2020 we perfectly knew Long Covid was going to be a disaster, and it was in the published literature
Organ damage following SARS-CoV-2 infection was already evident in early to mid 2020. The first publications with the findings and autopsies from the first wave were being published already in 2020. We knew how dangerous this virus was very early on
"I had to think the impossible. His pneumonia wasn't responding to any standard treatment.".
An interview with Dr Annalisa Malara MD, the anesthesiologist who discovered the first, local Covid case in Italy three years ago, on 20 February 2020
"I had to take personal responsibility to order that SARS-CoV-2 swab. It wasn't the standard procedure [the patient hadn't been in China]. His clinical records were later requested by the authorities [the NAS specifically]. But, thankfully, everything went ok"
"At university, they taught me to think of everything, to think out of the box. The patient was sick with a flu like illness on 14 February 2020. On 18 February he came to the emergency and he had this "mild" pneumonia. He was soon declining fast. They sent him to my ICU."
Three years ago today the first known Italian patient tested positive for SARS-CoV-2: "Patient 1" was M.M. a 38 marathon runner who wasn't recovering from an "atypical pneumonia". He hadn't been to China. It was the day many understood Europe had fallen.
M.M. was swabbed for SARS-CoV-2 despite not having been in China by anesthesiologist Annalisa Malara MD, whom I want to remember for her intuition, courage and promptness. By alerting the world of local transmission in Lombardy, she contributed to bring Covid into the spotlight
Dr Annalisa Malara probably saved the life of "Patient 1" M.M. and many other lives who could have been lost if "silent" SARS-CoV-2 hadn't been finally recognized within one of the most connected areas in Europe, the Lombardy region in Italy