Kevin Fatkin Profile picture
Feb 27 8 tweets 6 min read
Here is my evening rundown of $SPY & the overall market using data driven insights by @Tradytics. The data provided will help us formulate a plan for tomorrow to inform our #optionstrading and #futurestrading. Show thread to see it all! 👇
We see Algoflow divergences below. These are assets where net flow is diverging from price. Finance sector and related names stand out as bearish. The bullish names like $U, $GE, $NFLX, $BA & $ENPH warrant a closer look for details. Image
The $SPY 3-day delta/price correlations show a 30% total chance of moving up to 2.7% higher and a 50% total chance of moving down as much as -3.7% over the next 3 days. Dealers are still long. Expected volatility has dropped slightly. ImageImageImage
@Tradytics $SPY Dark Pools data shows various levels of support/resistance (see screen shots). Block trade sentiment is very bullish. Dark pool density map shows bullish prints in this area. Lots of bearish signature prints @ 400.60 which could be a ceiling. ImageImageImageImage
Now, take a look at @Tradytics Market Net Flow & Market DEX. Market wide put premiums have taken quite the lead. DEX still very bearish. Flow map shows mostly bearish premiums into next week. Also note the heavy call selling around 3/17 expiration (Quad Witching OPEX date). ImageImageImageImage
Delta correlations still indicate downside is favored. However, the DP data makes me consider the potential for a small bounce higher before we break lower. The heavy call selling that occurred also makes me believe any moves higher will be very limited. ImageImage
The Algoflow data & news events I've been seeing seems to indicate the banks are in trouble as we see money pour into the dollar ( $DXY). This is not good news for equities. If we move higher, I'm watching reactions to $SPY 398 & 402. A break below 393 could mean drop until 389. Image
That's all the @Tradytics $SPY & market wide data for the evening. If you are interested in viewing & using this data plus more with hundreds of other assets, use this referral link for a 10% discount:
tradytics.com/?ref_link=fatt…

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More from @Fatty_Trades

Mar 1
Here is my evening rundown of $SPX and $SPY Dealer and Dark Pool data to prepare us for #optionstrading & #futurestrading tomorrow using data from @WizOfOps Vol.land and @Tradytics. Show thread to see it all! 🧵👇
Lets start with #Vanna on $SPX & $SPY. $SPX cumulative Vanna picture still neutral in this range with positive vanna favoring downside and negative vanna hurting moves higher. $SPY is similar but with more positive vanna favoring downside should $VIX/IV continue to rise. ImageImage
Aggregate #Charm up next on $SPX & $SPY. $SPX is now much more inline with $SPY with positive charm exceeding negative charm. This means dealer selling will take place as time passes on these contracts. ImageImage
Read 11 tweets
Feb 28
Another condensed post tonight combining what I believe to be the most useful market data to help prepare for tomorrow. Show thread to see it all! 🧵👇
Lets start with #Vanna on $SPX & $SPY. $SPX cumulative Vanna picture still neutral in this range with positive vanna favoring downside and negative vanna hindering moves higher. $SPY is similar but with more positive vanna favoring downside should $VIX/IV rise. ImageImage
Aggregate #Charm up next on $SPX & $SPY. $SPX charm is neutral as well, but slightly more negative which is slightly bullish. However, $SPY is still positive which favors downside. Combining the two has dealers doing slightly more selling as time decays. ImageImage
Read 13 tweets
Feb 27
Someone asked on YouTube if I could review $TSLA data going into the week, so here it goes. Hope others who trade it regularly find it helpful.
$TSLA #Vanna data shows cumulative Vanna positive until 185, at which point it goes negative and would repel moves lower as IV rises with price dropping (within the vanna curve). Positive Vanna around price and above will increase volatility until that point. Image
Looking at $TSLA Gamma we see dealers assisting moves through 195 and 197.50 due to negative gamma with 200 being a positive gamma which will act as resistance (support if broken). #Charm is slightly more negative which is slightly more bullish. ImageImage
Read 8 tweets
Feb 27
Here is my evening summary of dealer positioning $SPX, $SPY & $QQQ. The data is provided by Vol.land, created by @WizOfOps, and will help us identify key areas tomorrow to inform our #optionstrading and #futurestrading. Show thread to see it all! 🧵👇
Lets start with #Vanna on $SPX & $SPY. $SPX cumulative Vanna picture is neutral in this range with positive vanna favoring downside and negative vanna hurting moves higher. $SPY is similar but with much more positive vanna favoring downside should $VIX/IV continue to rise. ImageImage
Aggregate #Charm up next on $SPX & $SPY. $SPX charm is pretty neutral as well, but slightly more negative which is slightly bullish. However, $SPY is very positive which favors downside. ImageImage
Read 8 tweets
Jan 18
Here is my morning summary of $SPY using data driven insights @Tradytics. The data provided will help us formulate a plan for the day to inform our #optionstrading and #futurestrading. Show thread to see it all! 👇
The $SPY #Gamma based @Tradytics ghost zones are shown in the screen shot below. They range from 397 - 400 currently.
The $SPY 3-day and 5-day delta correlations all favor the upside based on historical correlations between delta structure & price. However, take note of the lower volatility (no ideal for intraday traders).
Dealer delta momentum still more negative (-0.183).
Read 7 tweets
Jan 18
Here is my morning summary of dealer positioning for both $SPX and $SPY. The data is provided by Vol.land and will help us formulate a plan for the day to inform our #optionstrading and #futurestrading. Show thread to see it all! 👇
Lets start with $SPX Vanna since it's a major driver. The Vanna repellent @ 4000 is present but light. Will become light accelerant if we get far enough above it. We still have a large magnet @ 4100 with repellents above that.
$SPX #Gamma is showing slight positive gamma support @ 3975 with gamma accelerant @ 4000 that will assist a move through it. Large resistance @ 4100 inline with the Vanna magnet.
Read 7 tweets

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