Thomas C. Theiner Profile picture
Feb 27, 2023 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
A new Pentagon budget realignment file dropped (with $3.8 billions of new orders). Again it has a lot of interesting info about what weapons have been sent to Ukraine... even though every time more and more of the orders are classified (but I have a good idea what they are).
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First I want to thank @osmnactej - he keeps looking on the Pentagon website for these files every day and has found more than a dozen so far.

For an earlier thread about these Pentagon files - check out the link below:
2/n
So what is the Pentagon buying:

Medical supplies: $11m
Artillery LADS systems: $38m
Small arms ammo: $30.5m
40mm grenades: $9.2m (= about 185,000 pcs)
120mm mortar rounds: $70.9m
AT4 anti-tank rockets: $27.6m
Javelin ATGM: $188.8m

That's around 955 Javelin missiles.
3/n
155mm fuzes, primers, charges: $43m
155mm rounds: $227.1m
155mm Excalibur: $202.6m

This is the first time the Pentagon spends almost as much on Excalibur as on standard 155mm rounds. It's also more than double all of the previous Excalibur orders combined, which were $184,2m
4/n
M142 HIMARS: $489.5m

Interestingly the Pentagon splits this order in two: 18 HIMARS to replace the M119A2 105mm howitzers of one US Army artillery battalion and then 100+ HIMARS for... ??? it doesn't say for whom.
5/n
So far the Pentagon ordered an extra $480.5m in GMLRS rockets, which is around 3,200 rockets.

This time the Pentagon ordered $1,143,382,000 (!) in GMLRS rockets. But now the type of GMLRS is classified... which makes me think they ordered 7,600+ of the 150km ER-GMLRS.
6/n
Also ordered were:
JLTV: $125,7m to replace armored Humvees
FMTV trucks: $87,7m
AMPV: $800,6m to replace the 100s of M113 donated to Ukraine.
7/n
Also $53.5m for mine clearing charges.... which is interesting because until now the Pentagon had ordered only $1,4m of this item.

This makes it very obvious Ukraine is going to blast through a lot of minefields soon.
8/n
The Pentagon also ordered five additional M-SHORAD Stryker Air Defense Vehicles as replacement for AN/TWQ-1 Avengers sent to Ukraine... this order is on top of the 144 M-SHORAD Strykers the Pentagon already ordered.
9/n
Now onto the US Air Force, which is ordering three new missiles.

AIM-120D AMRAAM: $40m
AGM-158C LRASM: $105,6m
AGM-88G AARGM-ER: $62,7m

Interesting part is that Pentagon says Ukraine received AIM-120B AMRAAM air-to-air missiles - likely for the NASAMS 2 air defense system.
10/n
The AGM-158C LRASM (Long Range Anti-Ship Missile) replaces AGM-84 Harpoonmissiles given to Ukraine... which is interesting, as this is the air-launched variant of the Harpoon... so... maybe Ukraine has now integrated Harpoon anti-ship missiles on their fighters.
11/n
The AGM-88G AARGM-ER (Advanced Anti-Radiation Guided Missile Extended Range - to the rear) is a Ramjet upgrade of the AGM-88E HARM (to the front) introduced in 2010.
AGM-88G is the world's most advanced and fastest anti-radiation missile with a 400 km range.
12/n
In short: the US Air Force is giving Ukraine excellent older missiles that are great at defeating russia, and replaces them with missles that are meant to defeat China.

And this concludes our little trip into the Pentagon budget.

13/end

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More from @noclador

Dec 5
The @RoyalAirForce - once the strongest air force in Western Europe... but now...

7 Eurofighter Typhoon squadrons are expected to fulfill the tasks, for which 35 years ago the RAF fielded 40 squadrons (31 active & 4 reserve + 5 shadow squadrons, which would have been formed
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from the personnel & fighters of the RAF's operational conversion units).

At the end of the Cold War these 40 squadrons were assigned to 4 commands, each with a specific mission & enough aircraft to fulfill their mission.

No. 1 Group was tasked with striking Soviet forces
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in Northern Germany, including with WE.177 tactical nukes.

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Nov 13
I was asked to talk about Austria's Armed Forces... which is a bit boring, because surprisingly their armed forces get so much right.

Yes, the Austrians are some of the worst sanctions ignorers when it comes to russia, and they host the biggest russian signals intelligence
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station outside of russia, and are home to the largest number of russian intelligence operators after London, but when it comes to the Austrian Army and Austrian Air Force procurement there is little to criticize... except of course that many of their officers are compromised
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by the russians and the austrian defence ministry leaks every bit of intelligence to moscow...

Anyway, unlike the other neutral EU member (an island that spends GDP-wise less on its armed forces than the Vatican), Austria has a proper air force and a proper army; both of
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Nov 7
Italy has ordered its first KF41 Lynx infantry fighting vehicles... but there is a twist.

As the Italian Army is in a rush to ready its forces to battle invading russians in the Baltics (& Finland), the first 5 × KF41 will arrive within weeks in the Hungarian configuration.
1/8 Image
That means there won't be any Italianization of the first 5 × KF41. The Italian Army feels that it can't wait for that. Training has to start ASAP.

Therefore these 5 × KF41 will come with Rheinmetall's Lance Turret with 30mm MK30-2/ABM autocannon. Along with these KF41 Italy
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will receive training and simulation systems to begin training troops ASAP.

This order also includes 16 × KF41 in a hybrid version: the chassis will come from the Hungarian production line, but these KF41 will receive Leonardo's Hitfist turret with Leonardo's 30mm X-Gun.
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Oct 30
I am relaxed about the US ending the rotation of a light brigade through Romania.

Yes, it is bad optics and russia will use it for its propaganda, BUT two armored brigades, a combat aviation brigade, a division artillery, a division sustainment brigade, and a division HQ
1/4 Image
continue to rotate to Poland and the Baltics.

Right now the:
• 3rd Infantry Division HQ (arrived in Poland 4 days ago - photo)
• 1st Armored Brigade, 1st Infantry Division
• 3rd Armored Brigade, 1st Cavalry Division
• 3rd Division Artillery
• 3rd Combat Aviation Brigade
2/4 Image
are in Poland and the Baltics.

Ending the rotation of a light brigade to Romania is a far less bad than ending the rotation of the armored brigades. It is also understandable as the US Army's light divisions (10th Mountain, 25th Infantry, 82nd Airborne, 101st Airborne) are
3/4
Read 4 tweets
Sep 13
Of course russia can quickly seize the Suwałki Gap and cut of the Baltics from the rest of NATO... but have you had a look at Kaliningrad's border and the flat dry country beyond?

There are 9 Polish brigades in that area (and 11 in reserve, with 4 more forming). Sure russia
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could move 50,000+ men to Kaliningrad to secure the border or build a defence line along the Pregoła river... but those need to be supplied from Belarus, which also is easily invaded unless russia sends 50,000+ troops to secure its flank there. A buildup of 200,000+ russian
2/5
troops in Belarus would be noticed by NATO (and ordinary people in Belarus, who would upload 100s of videos of the arriving russians).
In summary the main risk isn't that russia suddenly seizes and fortifies the Suwałki Gap... the main risk is that russia starts building up
3/5
Read 5 tweets
Sep 7
The North Atlantic - one of the key battles in a russia-Europe war.

If Europe is defeated here, which with Europe's current forces and capabilities, is almost certain to happen... then russia can nuke the UK without fear of retaliation.

This will be a unsettling thread:
1/40 Image
This battle will be very different from the battles in the Black Sea and Baltic Sea, which I discussed in an early thread, which is linked below.

To understand the North Atlantic Battle we need to look at Imperial Germany's WWI submarine campaign,


2/n
and at the WWII Battle of the Atlantic. We will also have to take a deep dive into the Cold War and that era's submarines and submarine tactics.

In WWI the Imperial German Navy sent some 300+ submarines into the Atlantic, which sank more than 4,000 merchant vessels. The UK
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Read 41 tweets

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