Ian Ellis Profile picture
Mar 6, 2023 10 tweets 5 min read Read on X
"It's disturbing how ill-informed & naive the average American is on China."

@USNavy Admiral publicly states #China is the "number one challenge" of the 21st century and represents the most dangerous trend in #geopolitics.

Eye-opening speech.

I cut the 60 mins down to 5 👇
Rear Admiral and Commander of Office of Naval Intelligence, Mike Studeman, delivered a chilling address on the threat posed by China.

"It's mind blowing how big the problem is. It's very unsettling to see how much the US is not connecting the dots on the challenge."
"The problem is so massive most people don't know how to have a framework for it. We need to have more conversations with the country to understand the problem."

The Adm. says it's a tougher problem than the US faced against the Soviet Union in the Cold War.

Let that sink in.
In contrast, China views the US differently.

"We are clearly the number one enemy. We are characterized as such. Most Chinese fully believe that in their minds."

Why?

"They think America is dangerous. They don't think democracies are efficient. They think they're ineffective."
"The China challenge could be the most nonpartisan issue that could unite the country in significant ways."

The Adm. makes a plea:

"Can we please lower the amount of internal bickering within the US and focus on the international challenges that actually affect every American?"
This is the single most important video of the year.

"We're going to find that we could very well lose the peace. We worry about winning the war, prevailing, but we can also lose the peace in the meantime."

The entire speech is worth watching and full of fascinating insights.
Full video here:

And great article by @JustinSKatz: breakingdefense.com/2023/02/naval-…
.@Jkylebass did you see this speech by US Navy Admiral Mike Studeman? He touches on a lot of the problems with China that you talk about:
The Admiral also shared 5 valuable insights specifically related to Taiwan, which I summarized here:
If you made it all the way down here, thank you for reading.

I spent a lot of time putting this together, and hope you found it useful.

I write a brief newsletter where I try to make sense of what matters most in the world. And the impact it may have on our future.

One topic,… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image

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More from @ianellisjones

Sep 30
🚨 Update — U.S. force posture as Israel begins ground operation in Lebanon:

- Deploying an “additional few thousand” U.S. troops
- Sending more F-15E, F-16, F-22, & A-10 squadrons
- ABE CSG & WASP ARG remaining on station
- Truman CSG in the Atlantic en route
+ Increased readiness of additional U.S. forces to deploy

“DOD has taken steps to further enhance the defense posture of U.S. forces in the Middle East region to deter aggression & reduce the risk of a broader regional war.”Image
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Source: Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary Sabrina Singh Holds an Off-Camera Press Briefing, 30 September 2024 Image
Read 6 tweets
Sep 20
CNO released the “Navigation Plan for America’s Warfighting Navy” & unveiled “Project 33”

Focuses on two strategic ends: 1) Readiness for the possibility of war with China by 2027, & 2) Enhancing long-term advantage

A few highlights from the 30-page doc: Image
“Our adversaries have designed their militaries to overcome our traditional sources of strength. We must move rapidly to stay ahead and continuously create warfighting advantages... We will put more players on the field—platforms that are ready with the right capabilities, weapons and sustainment, and people who are ready with the right skills, tools, training, and mindset.” @USNavyCNOImage
Executing the Navigation Plan:

This Navigation Plan drives toward two strategic ends: readiness for the possibility of war with the People’s Republic of China by 2027 and enhancing the Navy’s long-term advantage. We will work towards these ends through two mutually reinforcing ways: implementing Project 33 and expanding the Navy’s contribution to the Joint warfighting ecosystem.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 16
Last night, on primetime TV, America witnessed “the most dangerous conflict no one is talking about”

60 Minutes experienced (& documented) China’s “just short of war” tactics firsthand when their boat was intentionally rammed in the SCS

A must watch — featuring @GordianKnotRay!
If you’re looking for someone who talks about the conflict no one is talking about, @GordianKnotRay is a must follow.
Link to full episode below.

“If there's going to be a military conflict between the United States and China, the thinking in Washington goes, it will most likely happen if China tries to invade Taiwan. But lately tensions have escalated precariously in another part of the South China Sea-the waters off the western coast of the Philippines where an international tribunal ruled the Philippines has exclusive economic rights.”
Read 4 tweets
Sep 15
Current situation:

- China & Russia launched large-scale military drills
- Unprecedented PLA air & naval activity around Taiwan
- PLA spy plane entered Japanese airspace (1st time since WW2)
- Philippines tracks 203 Chinese ships in the South China Sea (most ever recorded) 🧵 Image
China & Russia began a series of joint exercises & patrols last week:
PLA air & naval activity around Taiwan has reached new highs this year:
Read 9 tweets
Sep 15
Last week, Russia launched exercise “Ocean 2024,” its largest naval drill of the post-Soviet era, alongside China in the Pacific
 
• 400+ warships, subs, & support vessels
• 120 aircraft & 125 UAVs
• 90,000+ troops
+ PLA Navy 4-ship surface action group & 15 aircraft Image
In addition to “Ocean 2024,” Russia is participating in China’s “Northern/Interaction-2024” exercise & both countries will conduct their 5th joint maritime patrol (the 2nd this year).
The large-scale military exercise will run until 16 September.

“Analysts say the joint naval and air drills are an effort by Russia and China to deepen military ties and counter increased security coordination between the United States and its allies in the Indo-Pacific region.

“Russia wants to demonstrate that they can engage in a full-scale war with Ukraine while deploying resources to the Indo-Pacific region and China wants to show that they can deepen its relationship with Russia and cause problems in the region, primarily in the South China Sea but also around Japan,” said Stephen Nagy, a regional security expert at the International Christian University in Japan.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 27
Big U.S. Navy carrier news 🇺🇸

- Roosevelt & Lincoln carrier strike groups ordered to remain in the Middle East
- Eisenhower, Truman, & Ford sailed together in a rare multi-carrier formation
- Washington underway en route to the Indo-Pacific
- Truman deploying “later this year” Image
Yesterday, the U.S. Secretary of Defense “ordered the presence of two Carrier Strike Groups to remain in the region.” Image
On 24 August, USS Dwight D. Eisenhower (CVN 69), USS Harry S. Truman (CVN 75), & USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78) sailed in a “multi-carrier formation” & conducted an ordnance transfer in the Atlantic Ocean.
Read 5 tweets

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