1/ PSA: Startups are looking to diversify their banking relationship.

Here is a list of banks you can contact.

The banks that are hungriest to open up deposit accounts are those that have the highest loan-to-deposit ratios...
2/

Non-Consensus recommendation: Your local community bank. You are more likely to get personalized service and care.

Here is a list of solid banks sorted by loan-to-deposits:

- First Republic

- Capital One

- Citizen's
3/

- KeyCorp

- M&T Bank

- Truist

- PNC
4/
- Fifth Third

- Regions

Note that Web3/crypto firms are subject to "enhanced due diligence".

Budget weeks to months & parallel path.
5/ Also, consider tools like MaxMyInterest.com

How to DYOR. Consider the following spot-check:

1. Look at the bank's regulatory capital metrics.

Specifically: liquidity coverage ratio (LCR).
5/

2. Check for size of unrealized losses as reported in the banks 'Hold to Maturity' (HTM) portfolio.

Deduct that value from the bank's Stockholder equity.

What % of the bank assets is backed by stockholder equity (e.g., modified Tier 1 Capital Ratio)? [ Higher is good ]
6/

3. Look for a bank with a stable deposit base that is not concentrated in a 'fast money' sector.

4. Go to FDIC.gov. There are analytical tools to look at the bank's Call Reports and compare the banks key metrics to their peer groups. Review financials.

#NFA

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More from @ramahluwalia

Mar 10
I found a bank that has $1.5 Tn in mark-to-market losses because it bought Treasuries & MBS.

For the first time in 107 years, this bank has negative net interest margin.

Its losses are poised to exceed its capital base. Can you guess?

The Federal Reserve...

🧵
2/ QE means the Fed was buying long-duration mortgage backed securities and Treasuries at higher rates.

Rates have increased. The Fed is sitting on a $1.3 to $1.5 Tn loss on its Hold-to-Maturity (SOMA) portfolio. Image
3/ But here's another kicker. The Fed is losing money for the first time since 1915.

The Fed has ~$8.3 trillion in fixed rate bonds earning 2.0% on the asset side of its balance sheet.

That's the biggest driver of Fed earnings.
Read 19 tweets
Mar 4
1/ A seminal week for the crypto sector.

What’s the best topic to focus a thread on this weekend?
2/ DCG Deeper Look.

I did a fast pass on DCG’s earnings in this thread.

We learned that DCG has a wider revenue base - great news for Gemini Earn.

I’d like to dig into the recently dropped Grayscale 10Q (eg, how much GBTC held by affiliates, how much sold or pledged, etc)?
3/ Silvergate is the first bank of the internet era to experience a digital bank run.

It’s a big deal in the history of banking.

How did we get here, and what happens next?

My last take after my interview with @laurashin and addressing the follow-ups was I saw ‘no edge’ to… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 28
1/ DCG shared financials today. This sheds new light on the Genesis Ch 11 plan and the $GBTC discount.

It is in DCG's strong interest that creditors approve the Joint Plan.

DCG had ~$575 MM due in May, but only has $262 MM in cash as of end of 2022 - a liquidity crunch...
2/ DCG’s Q4 revenues were $143 million, with losses of $24 million.

Consolidated revenues for the full year were $719 million.

DCG reported a loss of $1.1 Bn in 2022. This reflects the loss from absorbing the 3AC loan impairment.
3/ DCG's full-year revenue of $719 MM is in excess of what Grayscale would generate from GBTC at current prices.

That indicates DCG has additional material revenue streams from subs and has diversification away from Grayscale.

(Would love to see that revenue breakout.)
Read 17 tweets
Feb 26
1/5: Sec'y Yellen and the Fed recently announced policy guidance for crypto.

"Banking organizations are neither prohibited nor discouraged from providing banking services to customers of any specific class or type, as permitted by law or regulation.
2/5: The agencies are focused on bringing crypto into the regulatory perimeter.

However, the hurdle to join the club of regulated actors that can offer crypto services is going higher to meet 'safety & soundness' standards.

Agency joint statement:

federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pre…
3/5: Secretary Yellen made this comment on calling for 'greater oversight' on November 16th.

That was the same day Genesis suspended withdrawals and post-FTX collapse.

The agency messaging is consistent with the White House Executive Order.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 15
The SEC is proposing a modification to the Custody Rule that impacts crypto.

Here are the winners and losers:

1. Big Winner: Anchorage - the only national bank that can custody crypto. Anchorage has a monopoly.

2. Cowen: Bank backed Prime Brokerage. The first bank to do… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
One other conclusion?

Regulators will continue to push crypto activity inside the regulated bank perimeter. (Stablecoins likely would be next via an act of Congress.)

Sec’y Yellen appears to have Segregation of Duties as a north star.

Meaning no single legal entity can… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Also happy 5 months bday to our baby girl.

Fun Facts:

1. Born on the day of ETH merge
2. Initials RSA (a popular encryption protocol)
3. Dad sleeps like a baby (wakes up kicking and screaming every 3 hours 😂)

Synchronicity
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15
1/ Joel Khalili (@JKFruit) has a great synthesis on SEC's Wells notice in Wired. Worth a read!

Here's why I am skeptical the SEC seeks to treat stablecoins as securities, and a hypothesis on what's really happening.

wired.com/story/confusio…
2/ First, note the SEC focused on BUSD (Binance) - not USDP (Paxos)

Second, Circle denied a Wells notice.

Third, stablecoins are not securities. See prior tweet re: Pocket Full of Quarters No Action Letter.

3/ Hypothesis: Regulators seek to reduce linkages between the US securities and banking system to Binance Int'l.

That would fit the facts: (i) Coindesk reports DOJ hesitating on AML actions, (ii) recent limits on US bank transfers in/out of Binance, (iii) and now BUSD.
Read 4 tweets

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