John Spencer Profile picture
Mar 16 6 tweets 2 min read
“Russia invaded the sovereign nation of Ukraine…no threat whatsoever to Russia…this is and remains a Russian frontal assault on the rules based international order that has been in place for 80 years" - General Milley today #RussiaUkraineWar
"their [Russia’s] military stocks rapidly depleting, their soldier are demoralized, untrained, unmotivated conscripts and convicts and their leadership is failing them..."
"Yet free people will not return to the shackles of tryanny. Ukrainians remains defiant with steel in their spine and courage in their veins & they have the broad support of the United States and the international community...Ukraine remains strong. They are capable and trianed"
"Lacking effective small unit leaders and absent the proper equipment this is a grinding attrition warfare that Russia is trying to execute. Wave after wave of Russian soldiers are thrown into the chaos of war absent any sort of synchronized coordination and direction."
"The Russians are wantingly killing civilians in large attacks and civilian infrasture in densely populated urban areas. The severely undertrained, poorly led, poorly equipped Russian forces are conducting mindless frontal attacks and sacrificing hundreds a day."
"Putin can end this war and he can end it today and he needs to do so. Free people are not easily conquered and the Ukrainian people are free and they will never give up in their fight to stay free."

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More from @SpencerGuard

Nov 23, 2022
A useful framework to evaluate Russia's military performance is the Principles of War (enduring principles from across the history of war). 🛢️
Objective: Direct every military operation toward a clearly defined, decisive, and achievable goal. In Feb 2022, Russia's objective was the seizure of Kyiv. It failed to allocate the necessary power to achieve that. Now, its objectives continues to change based on its means.
Offensive: Seize, retain, and exploit the initiative. Russia lost the initiative in the war in both April and September.
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