I would amend the NSW electoral act such that parties erecting such signs were fined one million dollars per sign and disqualified from the seat.
The purpose of these signs is to attempt to dupe voters for other candidates into thinking that just voting 1 is in any way a good idea, and deceitfully making the message look somewhat official if the viewer does not look too closely.
Yes Labor has been a culprit on this in the past too, also including running just-1 signs in some electorates and number-all-the-boxes signs in others at the same election.
More examples here where authorisation section is conveniently obscured. (I probably don't agree with the commentary, the signs case was more nuanced than that)
NSW Electoral Act 180 (h) forbids material that "contains a statement intended or likely to mislead an elector that the material is an official communication from the Electoral Commissioner or the Electoral Commission." I don't see how this is that.
It also doesn't seem to be a " voting direction intended or likely to mislead or improperly interfere with an elector in or in relation to the casting of his or her vote" (180 (a)) - I'd say the word "important" is misleading but not the statement about voting rules itself.
Also hard to see how it contains an untrue or incorrect statement (180(b)), since "important" is just an opinion, albeit one being expressed dishonestly.
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During the campaign it has been revealed the Labor candidate has an old conviction for driving without due care arising from a fatal car accident. Whether that will have any impact who knows.
The ordinary booth count in Arafura for 2020 consisted entirely of two mobile teams. I expect that will be the case again this time ntec.nt.gov.au/elections/curr…
Scuttlebutt re potential resignation/retirement of Mark Shelton.
A recount would be interesting. What makes it interesting is that Stephanie Cameron who would otherwise probably win easily is a bit disadvantaged by the Hare-Clark recount bug.
The bug (see kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2019/09/wonk-c…) would given the other two Liberals several hundred of their own votes back as a reward for getting excluded before Shelton was elected.
Probably Cameron is still the favourite but a model I just did had her only a few hundred ahead on recount primaries. She and Shelton did tend strongly to poll well together in the same booths (Meander Valley and surrounds), but most of those were smaller booths.
Tasmania's first ever FIDE-rated chess tournament (yes, surprising it's taken so long) was held this weekend to increase the number of Tasmanian players with FIDE ratings. 4 of the 5 unrated players in the event will get ratings. #taschess
This was a Scheveningen style team tournament. Carl Gorka scored 5/5 for the rated team and he may overtake me as #1 on the ACF rating list for Tas (will find out on Wednesday).
My highlight from a mediocre result. My previous move was Qb5xb2 and white responded Ra1-f1.
Now Black to play and make white resign immediately.
Again the Morgan data is not that recent (it's from January, so about the same vintage as YouGov 56 and Resolve which I had at 54.7.) And Morgan's ALP primary estimates are low cf other polls.
An issue with this Morgan and 2PPs is it has One Nation on the readout everywhere but they've only announced in a relatively small list of seats to this point. So doing preferences off those votes is tricky because many of those voters may actually vote 1 for someone else
Some poll-shaped content here with John Scales claiming the Voice is in trouble but no evidence cited other than focus groups (mainstream polling shows Yes with a solid lead at present).
It's also not clear if the comments re Yes being short or only barely ahead are meant to imply a very close Yes vs No race or Yes having barely 50% vs Yes, No and undecided.
By the way there is one detail I want about the Voice. I want the government to explicitly commit that if the Voice is elected, Group Ticket Voting won't be used.