So, @TheAtlantic ran a piece from Scott Lincicome on the #JonesAct. Scott is with @CatoInstitute & @CatoTrade and I would include him on this tweet, but he has me blocked.

Maybe that is because I am going to show how many things he gets wrong or misrepresents in his piece. Image
Alright...here is my breakdown.
1. Direct Costs. 5x cost in construction.

As usual, Scott does not account for the massive subsidies and offsets provided by China, Japan & Korea that build 94% of the world's ships.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
2. Why short-sea shipping is not used. It is TIME!

Why ship something from a site in rural Georgia to Boston by short-sea? You have to truck it to Savannah, wait & load on a ship, sail it with multiple stops, arrive in Boston and then truck...when you can just truck it. Image
3. Why has coastwise shipping decreases 44% since the 1960s?

highways.dot.gov/public-roads/s… Image
4. Perhaps if we provided the same benefits to trucking and rail that we do to shipping, we would see more short-sea shipping. However, that has not been the case; and that is why you see more cars and trucks on the roads on a system that eliminated short-sea shipping.
5. We built LNG carriers in the 1970s/80s under the Merchant Marine Act of 1936. But we did not start exporting LNG in any quantity until 2016.

I have supported a one-time build waiver to bring one LNG into the US fleet (because that is all you need).

6. Scott should really look at the issue of Wind Turbine installation to realize that the number of ships and mariners qualified to do this are in short supply around the world.

spglobal.com/marketintellig…
7. Because of the Jones Act of 1920, we have the Foreign Dredge Act of 1906? He may need to check his math!

He wants the US to give up its monopoly on domestic dredges to a Dutch of Chinese duopoly of dredges.

8. Hurricanes Maria and Fiona hit Puerto Rico the issue was not the transportation of goods into the island, but the breakdown of the inland transportation system. That has nothing to do with the Jones Act.

9. Average age of Jones Act ships is 20 years.

World Average is 19.7 years.

GREAT SCOTT 0.3 years! Image
10. "The competitive international market"? Three countries build 94% of the world's ships - China, Korea & Japan. There is no way we can compete when China gives $132B in subsidies from 2010 to 2018 or Korea $2B last year.

maritime-executive.com/article/south-…
11. The
@PhillyShipyard
example is true. But this is what happens when you turn off an assembly line and come back to it a decade later.

Also, you redesign the ships to run on LNG vice diesel fuel. The same inflation is happening in all shipyards.

phillyshipyard.com/commercial-pro…
12. So what does Scott, @cpgrabow, @CatoInstitute & @CatoTrade want for US shipping, is to bring in foreign ships, crews & laws. How would US truckers compete in a similar scenario?

freightwaves.com/news/borderlan…

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More from @mercoglianos

Mar 20
@TheAtlantic @scottlincicome 1/Compare this piece in @TheAtlantic versus that of @JerryHendrixII who argues "The Age of American Dominance is Over."

While Captain Hendrix warns about the dangers, Scott Lincicome of @CatoInstitute revels in it; but misrepresents the #JonesAct.

theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
@TheAtlantic @scottlincicome @JerryHendrixII @CatoInstitute 2/Scott brings up the direct cost and cites 5x cost to build in the United States. Yet, he fails to account for the massive subsidies and offsets by the three largest shipbuilding countries in the world - China, Korea, and Japan. @CSIS

reconasia.csis.org/hidden-harbors…
@TheAtlantic @scottlincicome @JerryHendrixII @CatoInstitute @CSIS 3/Why short-sea shipping is not used...It is TIME & COST!

Why ship something from a site in rural Georgia to Boston by short-sea? You have to truck it to Savannah, wait & load on a ship, sail it with multiple stops, arrive in Boston and then truck...when you can just truck it. ImageImage
Read 17 tweets
Mar 19
1/Today's moment of #Sealift comes just before the Battle of Midway. On May 23, 1942, while testing demolition charges on the islands fuel tanks, an accidental detonation destroyed 400,000 gallons of aviation fuel.
2/Pacific Fleet used the recently offload Hog Island freighter Nina Luckenbach to load 500 tons of bombs and 84,000 gallons of avgas. Escorted by destroyer Mustin, she arrived on May 31.
3/The ship arrived on May 31 and due to the lack of stevedores (the ship's crew do not usually move and operate the cargo gear in ports), the crew improvised cargo nets to offload bombs & barrels of avgas.

The 3rd Mate, an old steam-schooner sailor manned the winches.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 9
1/Talked about the Tryanny of Distance in WWII and in a modern Taiwan scenario over the last few days.

What about the fuel capabilities and requirements to sustain operations?

This info is drawn from @MSCSealift annual reports.
2/In FY 2022, the replenishment ships of MSC Atlantic.

Across 8 deployments & 7 exercises, MSC oilers pumped 163 million gallons of POL=3.9M bbls.

Using the new Lewis class oilers as base, that equals 25 ship loads during peacetime ops. ImageImage
3/In a typical @USPacificFleet deployment, USNS Guadalupe with the Lincoln CSG delivered 8 mil gals POL=190k bbls or 1.2x John Lewis capacity ImageImage
Read 13 tweets
Mar 7
1/Yesterday I tweeted on the Tyranny of Distance across the Pacific, comparing 1942 to 2023.

Today, what would happen should China decide to invade Taiwan?

This will look at the logistics of sustaining the @USNavy with fuel.

2/On March 6, 2023, the US had two Carrier Strike (CSG) and two Amphibious Ready Groups (ARG) stationed in the western Pacific. Another carrier was in the Med and two off the East Coast; and others in various state of repair/training. Image
3/To support them, @USPacificFleet has 7 Kaiser class oilers:

In West Pac: Guadalupe, Ericsson, Rappahannock, Tippecanoe & Yukon
On West Coast: Kaiser & Pecos

@GDNASSCO the new John Lewis is working up, with Milk to follow. ImageImage
Read 14 tweets
Mar 5
1/What is the biggest issue that the @USNavy faced in early 1942? TYRANNY OF DISTANCE

To Sydney from Hawaii=4,400NM
From Panama Canal=7,650NM
From San Diego=6,500NM

With the interdiction of fuel to Australia via Indian Ocean, the development of refueling bases was key. ImageImageImage
2/The importance of Pearl Harbor and its 4.1 million barrels of fuel storage demonstrate their importance.

But supporting Australia required the creation of several ocean refueling points for ships sailing from US West Coast & Panama...the first BOBCAT - Bora Bora in Tahiti. Image
3/The great circle from Pearl to Sydney ran:
▶️South of Johnston Atoll
▶️Through Howland/Baker Islands
▶️Just north of Fiji and Samoa
▶️Bisect New Caledonia
▶️Close to Gilberts, Solomons & New Hebrides

This helps explain the rush to build up the supply line across the Pacific.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 27
Someone sent me @brentdsadler excellent essay entitled "For the Larger Navy U.S. Needs, American Shipping and Shipbuilding Must Be Revived," from Oct 2022.

1/
heritage.org/defense/commen…
Brent has three key takeaways; and all of them are right on point. I will, however, take exception with a few of his supporting points.

2/
No question that US is too dependent on foreign industrial base for much of its production in case of conflict.

3/
Read 10 tweets

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